Georgia At Ole Miss Opening Odds: College Football Week 11 Look-Ahead Lines
As the calendar flips to November, the sprint to the postseason begins. By the time Week 11 kicks off, we’ll have the first set of College Football Playoff rankings and a presidential election come and gone. One of the weekend’s biggest swing games will be between the Georgia Bulldogs (6-1, 4-1) and Ole Miss Rebels (6-2, 2-2). Look-ahead odds line Georgia as a -5.5 road favorite over Ole Miss. Could Lane Kiffin & Co. send the next shockwave through the CFB world?
No. 2 Georgia at No. 19 Ole Miss kicks off Saturday, Nov. 9, at 3:30 p.m. ET on ABC. How might these odds change as the weekend progresses? Let’s take a look.
Georgia At Ole Miss Odds
The odds below are the best prices available across college football betting sites. Find opening odds from the top betting apps below.
Hopes of this being a top-10 (or top-five) matchup fizzled after Ole Miss was upended by Kentucky and LSU. Georgia recovered from a loss at Alabama by securing a road win over No. 1 Texas in Week 8. That road win for the ’Dawgs is extremely valuable coming into what should be another raucous environment. The Rebels also proved to be vulnerable at home against a team with a stout defensive front in Kentucky; Ole Miss’ usually high-octane ground game mustered just 92 yards in the 20-17 loss.
Heading into Week 10, Georgia likely gets back an extremely valuable piece to its offensive line: Tate Ratledge. The 2023 All-American guard sprained his ankle in Week 3 and underwent tightrope surgery to repair it. Week 10’s SEC availability report listed Ratledge as probable against Florida. Last season, he allowed just four pressures and was flagged once.
On the other side, watch for the availability of star receiver Tre Harris, who missed Ole Miss’ Week 9 win against Oklahoma. Starting lineman Jeremy James suffered an injury in Week 1 and hasn’t returned to play yet. An anchor on the defensive line, Walter Nolen, left Week 9’s game and didn’t return. Their availability is worth watching this weekend as Ole Miss travels to face Arkansas.
With 2016’s win over Georgia vacated, Ole Miss doesn’t have an NCAA-recognized victory over the Bulldogs since 1996 (12 games). Georgia leads the all-time series, 33-12-1. From 1966-2002, this was an annual rivalry.
What do Georgia at Ole Miss opening odds mean?
Adjusted for the vigorish (at -200), Georgia has a 63.7% implied win rate. Sportsbooks line Ole Miss with a 36.2% implied probability of winning the game.
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Georgia at Ole Miss Week 11 Opening Odds
College Football Look-Ahead Lines
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Watch for this line to adjust after Week 10. Georgia plays archrival Florida in the “World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party” as -16 favorites, down from -22 on the lookahead line. Georgia knows how to handle this rivalry, winning six of the last seven with an average margin of victory of 21.2 points.
On the other side, Ole Miss plays a tricky game at Arkansas. The Rebels opened at -6.5 on the road, bumped to -7, but the resistance hits there. The Razorbacks earlier pulled off an outright upset of Tennessee in Fayetteville but suffered their first home loss to LSU two weeks ago.
SEC play has been rocky for the Rebels. Ole Miss hasn’t cleared 28 points in conference play and started 2-2, one of which was a 20-17 rock fight with Kentucky — the Rebels’ first home loss since 2022. While UK took Georgia to the wire in Lexington, the loss hasn’t shaped out to be an exceedingly excusable one.
Lining this game around five points affords the books some leniency. Instead of risking putting this number too high or too low near a key number and incurring a large liability on one side, this number nudges the betting market to shape it out. Whether you’re betting either side, patience is a virtue with this tilt.
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