College Football Upset Alerts: Target Teams With Something To Prove In Week 13?

Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
college football upset

As the 2023 college football regular season wraps up, there’s a lot left up for grabs. Teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and conference championship berths. Others are locked into their postseason fate, be it in a conference title game or at home. This article outlines college football underdogs of at least 10+ points that get their opponent in difficult scheduling situations. More so in college football than the NFL; letdowns, lookaheads, and rest advantages affect favorites. Let’s dig into the upset alert picks for Week 11 from the best college football betting sites.

This season, the underdogs outlined in this article have a record of 23-15-1 against the spread (60.5%) with four outright victories. We’ll make the case, and you decide if you want to make the picks on the moneyline or in your pick ’em pools. Compare college football odds from the best sports betting sites below with these upset candidates.


Browse the best odds throughout this article. Click to place a wager on any of the games.

Toledo at Central Michigan (), FRI 12:00 p.m. ET

Bowl eligibility has been within the reach of Jim McElwain & Co. for three weeks now. The Chippewas are on a two-game skid and are now faced with a win-or-go-home scenario heading into Week 13. On the other end, Toledo already has their spot in the MAC Championship game secured. Due to Liberty being unbeaten and Tulane ranked in the College Football Playoff rankings, the Rockets’ hopes for a New Year’s Six spot are feigned. Given the track record of Toledo coach Jason Candle, this is not just a play on the spread, but for CMU to win outright.

Alabama at Auburn (), 3:30 p.m. ET

The Iron Bowl is one of college football’s premier rivalries. The on-field product hasn’t been the league’s best, and games lately haven’t been consistent nail-biters… except when they play at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The last three trips to the Plains resulted in two Auburn victories (both outright upsets) and a two-point Alabama win in four overtimes (as 20-point favorites, a game Auburn likely should have won). With the SEC West locked up, Alabama still has a CFP spot at stake. Hugh Freeze is the lone FBS coach with back-to-back wins over Nick Saban (2014-15).

Washington State () at Washington, 8:00 p.m. ET

At 5-6, Washington State is a win away from bowl eligibility. Washington, on the other hand, has their seat in the Pac-12 Championship locked up. The Huskies are chasing a CFP position, meaning it’d be foolish to pick Wazzu for the outright upset, but their goal is simple this week: Beat your rival while staying healthy. A get-right spot against Colorado last week may return the Cougar offense to the tracks after falling entirely off for most of the back half of the season.

Bonus College Football Upset Alert: Colorado State At Hawaii

This article is reserved for 10+ point underdogs, so this game doesn’t exactly fit the bill. However, Hawaii is a team I’m throwing in underdog moneyline round robins this weekend. I pointed out Colorado State last week as well, but this is the Rams’ 11th straight game. To make matters worse, their 11th straight game comes in their longest road trip of the season. Aside from likely tired legs, the Rams lost their last two trips out to the Island, including as two-point favorites in 2021.

Despite bowl eligibility being just a win away, the athletic department really left Colorado State out to dry with this scheduling.


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