Potential College Football Upsets: No. 24 Tulane & No. 3 Michigan Vulnerable Week 12?

Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
college football upset

Just two weeks remain in the 2023 college football regular season. Conference championship and bowl races are in the final stretch, and this time of year is prime for huge upsets. This article outlines college football underdogs of at least 10+ points that get their opponent in difficult scheduling situations. More so in college football than the NFL; letdowns, lookaheads, and rest advantages affect favorites. Let’s dig into the upset alert picks for Week 11 from the best college football betting sites.

This season, the underdogs outlined in this article have a record of 21-13-1 against the spread with four outright victories. We’ll make the case, and you decide if you want to make the picks on the moneyline or in your pick ’em pools. Compare college football odds from the best sports betting sites below with these upset candidates.


Browse odds from the best college football betting sites throughout this article. Click to place a wager on any of the games.

Michigan at Maryland, 12:00 p.m. ET

Michigan comes off an emotional win on the road at Penn State. Jim Harbaugh was suspended in a loudly criticized move while the team was on the plane to State College, and what that win meant to the team was visually evident in Sheronne Moore’s postgame interview. With a week for the dust to settle, that fresh wound likely heals a touch. Sandwiched right between the two biggest games of the season for the Wolverines is a trip to Maryland. The Terps secured bowl eligibility but have an opportunity to shake up the Big Ten East hierarchy this weekend.

Laying almost 20 points with a team that didn’t attempt a forward pass in the second half of the Penn State game is a bit generous. Perhaps the Harbaugh saga even begins to wear on the team before their supercharged season finale against their biggest rival.

Tulane at FAU, 12:00 p.m. ET

Tulane has been on a downward skid, if not just in the win-loss department. Since coming off a Week 6 bye, Tulane has been beating opponents by an average of 4.8 points per game. That slate included a two-point win against Rice, a three-point win against East Carolina, and a two-point win against Tulsa – all teams outside the top 100 in TheLines aggregate power ratings. On tap for the Green Wave is a potential winner-takes-all matchup for a spot in the AAC Championship game against UTSA. FAU is on a slide of their own, but at least handle this game at home.

Nevada at Colorado State, 3:00 p.m. ET

Despite not playing in Week 0, Colorado State hasn’t had an off week since Week 2. This game against Nevada marks their 10th straight game, a stretch that’s included six one-score games. Nevada comes to town with a newfound rivalry since former head coach Jay Norvell unceremoniously left Reno for Fort Collins and took a big part of the program with him. The Wolfpack bring just two wins to the table, which may cause Colorado State to take them lightly. The Rams also have a haul of a trip to Hawaii to close up their season, and only then will they get to rest.

Baylor at TCU, 3:30 p.m. ET

Like Michigan, TCU finds themselves double-digit favorites between games against their two most prominent opponents of the year, Texas and Oklahoma. However, TCU and Baylor have a fierce rivalry that lasted 124 years. Four of the last five games in this rivalry (recently named the “Bluebonnet Battle?”) have finished within one score. The previous time anybody won by more than 10 points was 2017. One more loss eliminates TCU from bowl eligibility – what more motivation does Baylor need in their rival’s home field? Dave Aranda is likely coaching for his job, and the Frogs may already be thinking ahead to making a bowl push against Oklahoma next week.

College Football Upset Watches: Teams Who Fired Their Coach

  • Mississippi State vs. Southern Miss ()
  • Texas A&M vs. Abilene Christian (FCS lines released closer to kickoff)
  • Boise State vs. Utah State ()


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