College Football Playoff Rankings: CFP Top 25 Vs. CFB Futures

Written By Brett Gibbons on November 3, 2021
College Football Playoff Rankings

The first College Football Playoff rankings of 2021 are out. To many’s surprise, Cincinnati was snubbed from the top four and Oklahoma dipped as low as eighth. How do these teams stack up against their College Football Playoff odds and what do those futures odds say the rankings should be?

Keep up to date with theLines for College Football Playoff content as the season turns into the home stretch and view live college football national championship odds as they change in your state.

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College Football Playoff Odds: Top Four In CFP Rankings

1. Georgia Bulldogs ()

The Committee, the books, everyone is in agreement with the top team. After dominant wins over three ranked opponents and rival Florida, the Bulldogs have taken over as odds-on favorites to win the title.

2. Alabama Crimson Tide ()

More agreement between bookmakers and the Committee– Alabama () sits second on oddsboards to win the National Championship. The Tide opened the year as the odds-on favorites, but dipped below Georgia after losing to Texas A&M on the road. Neither the market nor the Committee saw this as enough reason to fade them, though.

3. Michigan State Spartans ()

Despite a massive win over Michigan and a potential-Heisman performance by Kenneth Walker III, books aren’t totally sold on Michigan State. They’re fifth or sixth on boards depending on the sportsbook of choice. The major block likely stunting the market from flooding in on State to not only win the National Championship, but to even make the Playoff, is a trip to Columbus to face Ohio State. Coincidentally, the Buckeyes are top-three in odds to win the title this year.

4. Oregon Ducks ()

The statement made by the Committee with these rankings is that head-to-head outcomes matter; the Ducks nudge the Buckeyes by just one spot, but it turns out to be the most pivotal spot on the board. Curiously, Oregon’s odds to win the National Championship dipped at DraftKings Sportsbook, down to +5000 after the ranking announcement.

Oregon controls their own destiny for the season and lack major roadblocks ahead. They’re the favorites to win the Pac-12 ().

First Two Out

5. Ohio State Buckeyes ()

Despite being the first team out, the market is bullish on Ohio State this season. The Buckeyes are third almost universally with odds to win the National Championship, above Michigan State and Oregon, both of which come in ranked above Ohio State. According to the books, the Buckeyes will leapfrog at least one of those teams by the end of the season.

The most likely option? Ohio State beats Michigan State at home and claims the third or fourth Playoff spot come November 21. The market favors the Buckeyes to win the Big Ten this season ().

6. Cincinnati Bearcats ()

Call it disrespect, but bookmakers were ahead of the Playoff Committee when it came to ranking Cincinnati sixth. Their odds to win the National Championship () align with their ranking and College Football Playoff odds, being the sixth-best in college football. Teams above them include Ohio State and Oklahoma, who came in ranked two spots lower than the Bearcats.

CFP Rankings Vs. DraftKings Sportsbook Futures

RankingCollege Football PlayoffDraftKings Futures
1.GeorgiaGeorgia
2.AlabamaAlabama
3.Michigan StateOhio State
4.OregonOklahoma
5.Ohio StateCincinnati
6.CincinnatiMichigan State

Other Notable Teams

8. Oklahoma Sooners ()

Before the rankings were revealed, Oklahoma stood at +1000 to win the National Championship– fourth-best in the country. As soon as their initial ranking was released, they jumped to +1200 nearly instantly. Like ESPN’s Kirk Herbstreit said on the rankings broadcast, the Committee “used the eye test” and took their struggles heavily into account.

Sportsbooks, however, still value Oklahoma as a top-four team.

12. Baylor Bears ()

The Bears are the lowest-ranked team to still sit above +10000 at DraftKings Sportsbook. They have the highest deviation between ranking and standing on odds boards, sitting ninth on boards but 12th in the rankings. The other, coincidentally, is Big 12 conference-mate Oklahoma (who deviate four spots). With the Big 12 overall being devalued in the initial rankings, it would take a borderline miracle for Baylor to even make the Playoff.

Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons