College Football Odds: Ohio State At Michigan Player Props, Expert Betting Picks, Predictions

Written By Brett Gibbons | Last Updated
Ohio State Michigan odds

The 2023 college football regular season culminates with the year’s top matchup. The No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) visit the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (11-0) as road underdogs while the home team has moneyline odds to win. The winner clinches a seat in the Big Ten Championship Game and, likely, the College Football Playoff. This is the third straight top-five matchup between these two bitter rivals, and KFord Ratings rank “The Game” as the year’s top matchup in his Watchability Rankings. Ohio State at Michigan kicks off Saturday, Nov. 25, at 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX.

Check out complete college football odds for Week 13 and beyond.

Michigan Vs. Ohio State Odds

Compare odds from the best college football betting sites below. Click on the odds in the table to place a bet now.

Ohio State vs. Michigan PLayer Props

Home Team vs. Away Team Quick Look

Ohio StateStatMichigan
3.01 (12th)PPD3.84 (4th)
0.90 (2nd)PPD/A0.75 (1st)
6.3 (19th)YPP6.3 (20th)
3.9 (1st)YPP/A4.1 (4th)

Table key: Power (TheLines aggregate power rating), KFord (KFord Rating), PPD (points per drive scored), PPD/A (points per drive allowed), YPP (yards per play), YPP/A (yards per play allowed)

Michigan Wolverines Preview

Few teams have taken care of business on a regular basis as much as Michigan has. Aside from a prime lookahead spot at Maryland last week, the Wolverines haven’t played in a one-score game all season long. QB JJ McCarthy pieced together a strong argument to be considered in the first round of the upcoming NFL Draft; he ranks second in passer rating and fourth in completion rate nationally. Top target Roman Wilson was limited the last two games but is optimistic to play Saturday.

The last two seasons, it’s been the run game that’s propelled Michigan to back-to-back victories over Ohio State. However, Blake Corum appears to be a step behind last year after suffering a late-season injury. His complement, Donovan Edwards, is rushing for fewer than half the yards he averaged per carry last year (3.4 vs. 7.5).

Keep an eye on LaDarius Henderson and Myles Hinton, as Henderson missed last week and Hinton has battled injury throughout much of this year. The Wolverines have struggled in pass protection lately. McCarthy was pressured eight times against Maryland, 17 times against Purdue, and on half of his eight dropbacks against Penn State.

The defense allowed no more than two scores through 10 games to start the season. That unit also held the Buckeyes to 55.6% of their average scoring marks in the last two matchups.

Ohio State Buckeyes Preview

The Buckeyes missed a few defensive starters the past couple of weeks. Defensive tackle Michael Hall Jr. is expected to return Saturday but sat out the last two games. Safety Lathan Ransom has been injured and majorly out of the lineup, and All-American linebacker Tommy Eichenberg sat the last two games. Both are expected back, but watching the pregame injury report is worth watching.

Ryan Day and offensive coordinator Brian Hartline revamped the Ohio State offense this year to fit their personnel. Gone are the elite QBs like Justin Fields and CJ Stroud. Kyle McCord has been a solid starter but lacks his predecessors’ true vision and elite accuracy. Marvin Harrison Jr. has been a fixture of the offense, but McCord will likely need to involve other options besides Harrison this week.

The play of the offensive line improved this season. New tackle Josh Simmons was a concern along the front to start the year but now provides a safe anchor at the left tackle position. The line generates a push well in the run game, although pass protection is a concern.

The biggest difference for Ohio State this season has been the step up defensively. The Buckeyes jumped from 12th in points per drive allowed last season to second this year, and no team has scored more than 17 points. Expect more of a resistance to Michigan’s run game this year than last.

Week 13: Michigan vs. Ohio State Preview

While the Wolverines played dominant football all season long, the team remained static in performance week over week. On the other side, the Buckeyes are finding their stride at the right moment, disposing of their last two opponents a combined 75-6 (Michigan State, Minnesota). Ohio State has a more tested resume, going on the road to both Notre Dame and Wisconsin. Both teams played Penn State and won with similar methods and point margins.

For the first time in a long while, Michigan has the quarterback edge in the game. McCarthy has been extremely efficient picking his spots, recording 16 big-time throws and just nine turnover-worthy plays (per PFF). McCord has improved but struggles seeing the field at times, especially when pressured. The crutch of having the game’s best receiver in Harrison helps McCord, and the junior is looking to Harrison more by the week.

The style of offense the Buckeyes adapted this season matches up better with Michigan than in years past.

“Day learned a lot about how to call a game with measured aggression against Georgia last year,” Kelley Ford mentioned on TheLines College Football Podcast. In the past two matchups, Day took a lot of heat for calling conservative game plans against the Wolverines.

Safe Confines

Go Blue support may never have been higher than now. While Jim Harbaugh serves his suspension, Michigan has fallen into villainy to much of the CFB world amid their sign-stealing investigation. Luckily for the Wolverines, they handle this game in Ann Arbor – a huge leg-up. While support is through the roof at The Big House, vitriol for the program has never been higher in Columbus.

Temperatures for the game are forecast to be a hair above freezing. In the past couple of years, chilly weather benefitted the run-heavy and smash-mouth approach for Michigan.

KFord Rating assessment

Find Kelley’s work all season long with TheLines!

The winner of this game will be my No. 1 Most Deserving team heading into the Conference Championship Game weekend. The only question is, will the Committee move them to No. 1 as well?

I have Michigan -3.5, which is a 61% win expectancy. It has the nation’s No. 1 defense, compared to Ohio State’s No. 2 ranked defense. The Wolverines have the nation’s No. 6 offense, while Ohio State’s is “only” No. 17.

For the model, that, plus the fact that this game is in Ann Arbor, is the difference in the game.

Kelley Ford, TheLines College Football Podcast

Ohio State at Michigan Odds: Best Bets

These two teams rank in the top five nationally in every measurable category. To list what each team does well would be stating the obvious.

In a lower-total game () – especially for a typically high-scoring rivalry – I’m betting Ohio State +3.5. Michigan closed out Penn State with 28 consecutive runs in the second half. That game plan, which also relied on Penn State not being able to move the ball offensively, isn’t a viable option against Ohio State. The Buckeyes field a similarly elite defensive unit but a much more potent offense, even if it’s not to the level of recent Buckeye offenses.

As Ford pointed out, Day has been able to call aggressive game plans. So long as the offense trusts their aggressive calls, Ohio State should avoid a third-straight blowout at the hands of their bitter rival.

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