College Football Odds: How I’m Betting Conference Title Futures

Written By Brett Gibbons on August 3, 2022
college football odds

College Football is right around the corner and now is the time to lock in some conference futures. While conferences like the Big Ten and SEC have runaway favorites, many have odds that vary so much book-to-book or week over week, that they provide value to bettors. Below, I’m going to lay out my college football conference futures betting card and how you shopping for the best price on odds works in your favor.

A rule of thumb– I approach betting conferences from an exposure standpoint rather than throwing a dart at a single team. Therefore, when betting multiple teams to win a single conference, I never bet odds that would offer negative net ROI. In other words, my units bet never exceeds the potential winnings for any of the odds I bet on (ex. two units down means I don’t bet lower than +200).

Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now at the best available prices in your state. 

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College Football Odds: Pac-12 Futures

The Pac-12 market has moved quite a bit this offseason, which has opened up opportunity for bettors. Those who got in early saw a good price for USC if they were interested. I locked them up at +325 at Caesars Sportsbook shortly after the market opened. After they landed stars Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison, their price dropped like a rock.

What comes with their price drop was inflation for Utah, who can be found for +300 at FanDuel Sportsbook as of Aug. 2.  I put equal amounts on USC (+325) and on Utah (+300). According to where I bet these teams at, there’s an implied win rate of 48.5% that one of these teams wins the conference with high ROI.

Utah returns a ton of experience and production from a team that won the Pac-12 in resounding fashion a year ago. I see this as an opportunity for Kyle Whittingham to take advantage of high turnover among his biggest competitors, Oregon and Washington. USC may also take more than a year to rise to power in the Pac-12 and the Trojans have real concerns on defense and the offensive line.

However, say Lincoln Riley works out; after all, it did at Oklahoma. He’s get the conference’s most-talented quarterback and skill positions. A championship-seasoned coach with a talented QB goes a long ways in college.

Pac-12 Betting Card

  • USC to win Pac-12 Conference +325 (placed May 3 at Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Utah to win Pac-12 Conference +300 (placed Aug. 2 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Get College Football Week 1 odds here

College Football Odds: Big 12 Championship

Similarly to the Pac-12, I chose to split the pot between two teams in the Big 12. Oklahoma is a shortening favorite as the dust settles on a wild coaching carousel, but they can be found at +220 as of Aug. 2 at Caesars Sportsbook. The other team that’s worthy of a bet is Oklahoma State, who has longshot +700 odds at BetRivers. The Pokes’ inflated price comes thanks to real steam around Texas, especially in the wake of their new roster additions.

Oklahoma State has won fewer than eight games twice since 2008, but has appeared in just one Big 12 Championship Game (2021). A lot from the ’21 team exits– no one more important than DC Jim Knowels– but experience on the offensive line and the hiring of DC Derek Mason makes OKST one of the most dependable teams in the conference. Also note that, while many defensive starters depart, Knowels ran a system that rotated a lot of guys in, so these rising starters aren’t green to the game.

Despite high turnover, especially in the coaching ranks, the Oklahoma Sooners have the most championship experience in the Big 12. Brent Venables is a three-time National Champion (once with Oklahoma as a DC) and he has a talented roster at his disposal. As Riley proved in years past, the keys can be handed to new coaches and the program not miss a beat.

I chose to fade Baylor since a bet on them is a bet on a one-year sample size. They’re also starting a new QB, Blake Shapen, who has three starts in his career.

Big 12 Betting Card

  • Oklahoma to win Big 12 Conference +220 (placed Aug. 2 at Caesars Sportsbook)
  • Oklahoma State to win Big 12 Conference +700 (placed Aug. 1 at BetRivers Sportsbook)

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College Football Odds: To Win The MAC

I wrote up a more in-depth MAC Football Betting Preview not long ago and explained that line shopping goes a long way in this conference. No one really seems to have a grasp on it, with different teams being favored by varying degrees at different books.

Ultimately, I chose four teams to have exposure to in the MAC this year: Toledo, Central Michigan, Northern Illinois, and Miami OH. My brief reasoning behind that (and, again, you can get a much more in-depth explanation above) is that Toledo is the most talented, CMU is the most explosive, NIU is the most experienced (and the defending champion), and Miami OH has the best QB.

The Bet

  • 0.59u on NIU +850 (BetRivers)
  • 0.96u on Miami OH +450 (BetRivers)
  • 0.75u on Toledo +400 (DraftKings Sportsbook)
  • 0.52u on CMU +600 (FanDuel)

Check back all season long for College Football best bets and game previews with TheLines.

More College Football Conference Title Odds

Big 10 Futures

SEC Title Futures

ACC Title Futures

AAC Title Futures

Sun Belt Title Futures

Mountain West Title Futures

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

View all posts by Brett Gibbons
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