2022-23 College Basketball Odds Preview: SEC Title Futures

Written By Derek Wagner on October 18, 2022 - Last Updated on October 26, 2022
sec basketball odds

We are less than a month away from the start of the college basketball season. Conference media days are in full swing, as fans everywhere are preparing for an exciting season ahead. KenPom released its preseason ratings over the weekend and features five SEC teams in the top 20. That being said, it’s time to dive into men’s SEC basketball odds for the upcoming season.

We’ll look at regular season title futures and Final Four odds to win the national championship. Click on the odds to bet now.

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Check out the SEC regular season conference championship odds below at Caesars Sportsbook.


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Texas A&M
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South Carolina
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Mississippi State
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Kentucky Wildcats

  • Odds to Win National Championship:

As a shocker to no one, John Calipari‘s Wildcats are one the favorites to win the SEC. Sahvir Wheeler and Oscar Tshiebwe return for another season. Although Tshiebwe’s return is enormous, the return of an elite distributor like Wheeler is probably just as important since point guards like him are hard to find and even harder to replace. Wheeler finished third in the nation with 6.9 assists per game and was a key contributor to Tshiebwe getting easy buckets around the rim.

  • Key Losses: TyTy Washington (NBA), Kellan Grady (NBA), Davion Mintz (NBA)

Taking the place of Washington this season will be incoming freshman Cason Wallace who was a top-10 recruit in the country and possibly one of the best two-way guards. The 6-foot-4 guard from Texas has room to improve on the offensive end, but his quick hands and footwork on defense could make him a difficult matchup come tournament time.

Another key addition to note to this Wildcats team is Ugonna Kingsley Onyenso. Onyenso is a 6-foot-11 center with a 7-foot-5 wingspan that could play important minutes off the bench for Calipari. The team struggled last season when Tshiebwe got into foul trouble and was unable to protect the rim effectively. Onyenso could solve this issue immediately with his enormous wingspan and defensive instincts. It will be unclear what Calipari’s plan is as far as rotation and minutes for Onyenso until the games officially begin.


Arkansas Razorbacks

  • Odds to Win National Championship:

Eric Musselman‘s squad is looking to build off of back-to-back Elite Eight appearances. He will have to do it with almost an entirely new team, however, as he only returns two players from last year. Musselman boasts the No. 2 recruiting class in the nation, highlighted by point guard Nick Smith who was one of the top-three recruits in the country. Currently the Razorbacks are +1700 at FanDuel Sportsbook to win the National Championship. They have gone to the Elite Eight in back-to-back seasons and have high aspirations to go further this year.

  • Key Losses: JD Notae (NBA), Jaylin Williams (NBA)

After getting bounced in the NCAA tournament by Duke, Musselman made size a priority this offseason. Jordan Walsh is a long combo forward that is listed at 6-foot-7 but has a wingspan of 7-foot-3 wingspan that could make him a matchup nightmare for his SEC opponents. To further add to the size, 6-foot-10 forward Trevon Brazile is transferring from Arkansas from Missouri. He will have big shoes to fill as Jaylin Williams led NCAA in charges drawn with 54 and finished second in the SEC in rebounds with 9.84 per game. Brazile struggled rebounding the ball in the team’s four games overseas and even drew public criticism from his head coach for his effort on the glass.

Although Musselman may have addressed the size issue, he may be hard pressed to replace the shooting he had last season. Stanley Umude shot 39.6% from three and JD Notae shot 33.6% from 3 in conference, respectively. Musselman may lean heavily on freshman guard Nick Smith to replace their perimeter scoring. It’s worth noting that JD Notae had the second-most turnovers in the SEC last season with 104. Smith should be an upgrade in this department.

Tennessee Volunteers

  • Odds to Win National Championship:

The Volunteers return nine players from last season’s campaign, with one of the most important being Olivier Nkamhoua. Tennessee gets a large part of their roster back this year that ranked third in adjusted defensive efficiency, turning their opponents over at a top-20 rate in the nation.

In addition to the nine returning players, the Volunteers will have additional help from incoming freshman Julian Phillips. Phillips is a lengthy 6-foot-8 forward who is a great catch-and-shoot player but will need to attack more to take his game to the next level.

The Volunteers will face a tough challenge of slowing down the high-tempo offense of the Arizona Wildcats in December before conference play begins.

Auburn Tigers

  • Odds to Win National Championship:

Coming in at thirteenth in KenPom’s preseason ratings were Bruce Pearl’s Tigers. Auburn’s guards will need to step it up this season as head coach Bruce Pearl was unable to add any shooting at the position via the transfer portal. The Tigers finished tenth in 3-point percentage in conference play last season.

  • Key Losses: Jabari Smith (NBA), Walker Kessler (NBA)

Walker Kessler is a huge loss to the interior of Auburn’s defense. Pearl was able to replace him with Morehead State transfer Johni Broome who averaged 3.9 blocks per game last year. Auburn’s defense, which was ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency last season and first in two-point field goal percentage in conference play (42.5%), shouldn’t suffer much regression this season with Broome in the middle.

Chance Westry figures to play valuable minutes at the small forward position this year for Bruce Pearl as projected starter Allen Flanigan is dealing with a family issue.


Florida Gators

  • Odds to Win National Championship:

The Gators are going to rely heavily on a transfer roster again this year. Incoming transfers Alex Fudge (LSU), Will Richard (Belmont), Trey Bonham (VMI) and Kyle Lofton (St. Bonaventure) figure to play big roles. The combination of Bonham and Richard will help the Gators from behind the arc as they were one of the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation last season.

New head coach of the Florida Gators Todd Golden is hoping to turn the Gators into competitors once again. Golden is coming off an impressive season as head coach at San Fransisco where the Dons finished 26th in adjusted defense and top 100 in tempo. If the Gators can speed things up on the offensive end like Todd Golden wants, this team could be dangerous.

According to reports, the Gators gave big man Colin Castleton a lucrative NIL deal to keep him from going pro. Castleton will be a huge part to the Gators success this season. Head coach Todd Golden thinks he can expand his offensive game to include a three-point shot. If Castleton can spread the court for Florida, this team becomes even more dangerous than previously thought.

Best of luck betting SEC basketball odds!

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