College Basketball Odds, Picks, Predictions Today: Will Ole Miss Cover Vs. Kentucky?
Among Tuesday’s college basketball odds, the No. 25 Ole Miss Rebels (16-6, 5-4) host the No. 14 Kentucky Wildcats (15-6, 4-4) at the Sandy and John Black Pavilion. The Rebels, which are higher than the Wildcats in my latest college basketball power rankings, are Ole Miss Rebels -5 (-110) on Bet365 favorites. Let’s handicap the odds and my favorite pick for Kentucky at Ole Miss, including options for your same-game parlay.
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kentucky at ole miss odds: spread, moneyline, total
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tuesday’s college basketball best bets: Ole miss ML
With the second half of SEC play set to begin, I’ve circled this game as a buy-low spot on the Rebels. If you’re unfamiliar with situational spots, they aim to uncover circumstances in which teams have exceeded or fallen short of their usual performance level — relative to the moneyline or point spread.
After four losses in the last five matchups, I expect an ultra-focused effort from Chris Beard’s squad. Ole Miss’ elite no-middle, switching defense is constructed to hinder Kentucky’s patented zoom action. According to Synergy, the Rebels rank in the 64th percentile when defending dribble hand-offs on a points-per-possession (PPP) basis.
Injury-wise, Wildcats point guard Lamont Butler (shoulder) will reportedly miss his second straight game. The San Diego State transfer owns a +15.3 net rating this season. While the 6-foot-11 Andrew Carr (back) is projected to start, his constraints were evident in Saturday’s loss against Arkansas, shooting just 1-of-4 from the field.
Conversely, Kentucky showcases the SEC’s worst adjusted defensive efficiency (AdjD). The absence of Butler’s ball pressure is glaring against Ole Miss’ five-out attack, as the Rebels possess a pair of explosive guards in Sean Pedulla and Jaylen Murray.
Additionally, center Malik Dia and Co. are primed for positive shooting regression following a four-game span with a combined 31.6% clip from behind the arc. The Wildcats’ drop coverage defense is the perfect cure.
Final Thoughts
On Monday, I wagered on Ole Miss ML (-140), which you’ll find on our sports betting Discord channel. Users can enroll in push notifications by heading to the #roles server. Good luck with your bets for Kentucky at Ole Miss odds!
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