College Basketball Betting Odds: Alabama On Upset Alert Vs. Texas A&M?

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated
college basketball odds

There are seven SEC matchups among Saturday’s college basketball odds, including Texas A&M (15-9, 6-5) at No. 16 Alabama (17-7, 9-2). The Aggies are motivated to boost their tournament resume and pick up their sixth Quad 1 victory. Meanwhile, Nate Oats’ squad enters the game on extra rest, having not played since last Saturday. Let’s dig into my pick for this critical matchup.

Click on any of the odds below to place a wager on college basketball odds. These options are the best available in your state.


Dictating Tempo

Texas A&M takes difficult shots, ranking 264th in effective field goal percentage. However, the Aggies are elite at getting to the charity stripe. They’re led in that department by two-guard Wade Taylor, whose craftiness and ability to get to the line should aid their efforts in dictating tempo in this matchup.

The Tide commit 19.1 fouls per game, which ranks No. 251 in D1. Therefore, there should be a plethora of opportunities if Taylor gets downhill and into attack mode. Tyrece Radford should also play a role in that department, as he’s gone to the line 26 times over the past four games.

Moreover, Buzz Williams institutes a 1-2-2 three-quarter court press defense, which can throw off the rhythm of this high-powered, uptempo opponent. Alabama thrives in transition, ranking No. 15 in the nation in adjusted tempo. If the Aggies can set up their press early, the Tide may struggle to sink shots offensively, even in front of their home crowd.

The Aggies own the conference’s second-lowest turnover rate in SEC play, which should help dictate pace and limit Alabama’s transition baskets. On the flip side, Texas A&M ranks second in potential quick points allowed on breakaway steals, according to Haslametrics.

Aggies Due For Positive Regression?

Taylor is the straw that stirs the drink, but the rest of the squad has largely failed to contribute on the offensive end.

Despite averaging a career-high 15.1 PPG, Radford has been mildly disappointing this season, shooting a career-worst 27.4% from deep. That said, the Alabama defense has allowed an open three rate of around 23%, according to ShotQuality, which ranks No. 211 nationally.

ShotQuality also notes that A&M is due for positive regression in most offensive categories, from post-ups to free throws.

Their most recent struggles in this department came at Auburn, where the Tigers snatched 15 offensive boards, resulting in an eye-popping 24 second-chance points. Should these struggles continue, A&M could turn this game into a physical slugfest in the post.

Utilizing Power Ratings

Haslametrics projects a final score of 84.1-74.0, favoring Alabama. Erik Haslam, who owns and operates this college hoops analytics site, will make his return to Outside Shots in March.

Join’s managing editor Stephen Andress and senior college hoops writer Eli Hershkovich, as they analyze this weekend’s slate on the latest podcast below.


Best of luck with your bets on college basketball odds this weekend!

COLLEGE basketball PLAYER PROPS: ALABAMA vs. texas A&M

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Where Can You Bet On College Basketball Player Props?

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw betting on college props. Ten other states match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia allows betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks allow wagering on college props, including in-state teams.


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