College Basketball Futures Odds: Which Mid-Major Bets To Consider In March?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
College Basketball Odds

With March Madness odds nearing tip-off, mid-major conference tournaments are right around the corner. Soon, you’ll begin to see college basketball futures odds available on sites with the best sportsbook promo codes. Let’s assess which players can carry their teams on deep runs, whether they’re the likely favorite, have longer price tags, or are stationed somewhere in between.

The odds below reflect where each team sits in the national title futures market. Click any of them to place a bet.

Colorado State Rams:

Haslametrics Ranking: #39

Within this crop of teams, the Rams have the best chance to make a deep run in the Big Dance. With the exception of a one-possession loss to Saint Mary’s, Colorado State steamrolled through the first two months of the year, showcasing its upside against non-conference competition. 

Hence, the Rams are built to string together a handful of wins in the Mountain West tournament. Point guard Isaiah Stevens is the straw that stirs the drink, tallying 16.2 points per game while compiling the third-highest assist rate nationally. He’s the ideal fit for Niko Medved’s Princeton offense, which employs constant motion, cuts, and picks on and off-ball.

Assuming Utah State wins the league’s regular season title, it should be favored come the conference tournament. Colorado State proved it’s more than capable of hanging with the Aggies in Saturday’s 20-point blitzkrieg. Joel Scott, the 2023 D-II Player of the Year, cashed in on Medved’s intricate scheme via a 7-of-8 shooting performance in the paint versus Utah State.

Granted, a team’s path and respective odds are critical factors to weigh before betting this time of year. I am not making the case to lock in a wager on the Rams to win the MWC tournament.

But Colorado State may be an undervalued commodity given the aforementioned allure with Utah State, San Diego State’s recent success, and even New Mexico’s enticing guard play. On Wednesday, the Lobos’ backcourt delivered against CSU in a prime situational spot.

The Rams are the lone team that will claim an at-large bid from this bunch. However, they should be motivated to improve their seeding on Selection Sunday via a strong performance in Las Vegas.

McNeese State Cowboys:

Haslametrics Ranking: #64

Remember Will Wade, who led LSU to the NCAA tournament in three of his five years in Baton Rouge? He’s on the verge of reaching the dance with another school in the same state.

Unlike Colorado State, McNeese State will assuredly hold the top spot in the Southland Conference tournament. The Cowboys should be heavily favored since defending champion Texas A&M Corpus Christi lost all of its starters, including current TCU guard Trevian Tennyson.

An upper-echelon mid-major is often overvalued come conference tournament time, particularly when they have an exploitable defense.

That isn’t the case with the Cowboys, as their defensive rating ranks in the 95th percentile (via CBB Analytics). Shahada Wells, a two-time transfer, leads the way at both ends, accruing the fourth-highest steal rate nationally while also notching a top-60 assist rate. Unsurprisingly, his usage rate is in the 91st percentile.

Laying the chalk with Wells & Co., assuming the price isn’t unreasonable, is worth considering for this conference tournament. They’re up to the task of pulling off an upset in March Madness, too.

Weber State wildcats:

Haslametrics Ranking: #141

After falling short against Montana State in a double-overtime thriller at the 2023 Big Sky tournament, the Wildcats are well-positioned to earn an NCAA tournament bid for the first time since 2016. Eric Duft’s group will present juicer odds than McNeese State, currently behind Eastern Washington and Northern Colorado in the conference standings.

Behind the league’s second-rated defense is point forward Dillon Jones. Similar to Wells, he’s an undervalued two-way commodity. Jones’ 6-foot-6, 235-pound frame makes him more of an eccentric asset, though, amassing a top-five defensive rebounding rate in the country.

Thanks to his guard-like tendencies, he’s also a matchup nightmare while attacking the paint.

Theoretically, Weber State will find its way onto my college basketball futures card if it avoids Eastern Washington until the conference title game — within its Big Sky tournament path.

Southern Illinois salukis:

Haslametrics Ranking: #104

For those who follow my picks for college basketball odds, you may recall my bet on the Salukis in the 2023 Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. They fell short in the semifinals but still possess the ideal attributes for a team with longshot pricing.

The Salukis operate methodically while producing a top-40 perimeter attempt rate across college basketball. These variables can lead to a high-variance outcome, making larger odds appealing.

Moreover, SIU has an ingredient it lacked last season — star power. With Marcus Domask and Lance Jones departing, lead guard Xavier Johnson has developed into one of the most explosive scorers in the country. In fact, he’s averaging the third-most points per game (23.2 ppg) with a top-10 assist percentage.

Drake’s Tucker Devries and Indiana State’s Robbie Avila will get their flowers ahead of Arch Madness, but Johnson proved he could deliver on the biggest stage in Saturday’s upset win over the Sycamores.

I’m very intrigued by Southern Illinois’ upside once again. Good luck with your bets on college basketball odds next month!

outside shots: college basketball betting picks

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Where Can You Bet On College Basketball Player Props?

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw betting on college props. Other states match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia allows betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks allow wagering (plus live bets) on college props, including in-state teams.

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