College Basketball Futures Draft: Bettors Gauge NCAA Tournament Value

Written By Eli Hershkovich on February 24, 2022
NBA Draft Odds

Selection Sunday is almost two weeks away. With that in mind, I was joined by four college basketball bettors (some might fondly say degenerates) for this NCAA tournament odds snake draft. Below, we break down our favorite futures bets for the big dance, including national title and Final Four prices.

You can continue the discussion in our Discord betting community, as we dissect all of the games throughout the day. Stay up-to-date on the top-68 programs with my college basketball power rankings.

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NCAA Tournament Odds Snake Draft

Matt had the first pick in odd-numbered rounds, with Hayden selecting first in even-numbered rounds. The best available odds for each of these selections is linked below. Click on the odds to place a bet.

 Matt MarquartDavid StallEli HershkovichJordan MajewskiHaydenGOAT
Round 1ArizonaBaylorKentuckyGonzagaKansas
Round 2DukeHoustonArk Final 4AuburnTX Tech Final 4
Round 3IllinoisOhio StateUConnNova Final 4Purdue Final 4
Round 4Bama Final 4USC Final 4Texas Final 4TN Final 4UCLA Final 4
Round 5Memphis Final 4San Fran Final 4North TX Final 4SDSU Final 4UAB Final 4

Round 1

1.01: Arizona ()

Matt Marquart: Besides Gonzaga, Arizona is the only team currently in the top 10 of KenPom’s Adjusted Offensive (AdjO) and Defensive (AdjD) Efficiency. The Wildcats present better odds than Gonzaga at the moment.

Adjusted Efficiency accounts for the estimate efficiency (points scored or allowed per 100 possessions) a team would accrue or allow against the average Division I opponent.

1.02: Baylor ()

Eli Hershkovich: The Wildcats present the one of the most efficient uptempo offenses in the country, and they control the pace with an elite rebounder in Wooden Award candidate Oscar Tshiebwe (). Assuming five-star freshman TyTy Washington (ankle) is healthy for the NCAA tournament, John Calipari’s bunch presents the deepest roster across Division I.

For disclosure, I backed Kentucky at +3000 in December.

NCAA Tournament Odds

Washington, #3, is not only a dynamic shot creator, but he also owns a top-220 assist rate.

1.04: Gonzaga ()

Hayden: The Jayhawks have some concerns on the defensive end, but if Ochai Agbaji plays well, they can pull it off.

Round 2

2.01: Texas Tech (Final Four )

Hayden: I don’t think there are many teams that can win national title this year, so I’ll take Texas Tech to make Final Four. The Red Raiders have the best defense in the country. Whether or not their offense can avoid the scoring droughts is the question.

NCAA Tournament Odds

If not for Agbaji, Bryson Williams, #11, would be leading the 2021-22 Big 12 Player of the Year race.

2.02: Auburn ()

Jordan Majewski: I’m not a big fan of the shot selection sometimes, but the Tigers have confident dribble dominant guards, one of the best pure players in the country and an elite interior defense. They certainly possess enough to string together enough wins as a likely No. 1 seed.

2.03: Arkansas (Final Four )

Eli Hershkovich: Similar to Texas Tech, the Razorbacks’ half-court offense can get a bit stagnant at times, but JD Notae is lethal in the pick-and-roll sets — on or off-ball. They also showcase the SEC’s premier defense with a completely switchable unit, especially with Jaylin Williams’ improvement matching up with opposing guards. Who would’ve thought we’d be saying that about Eric Musselman-led NCAA tournament odds?

2.04: Houston (⁠)

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Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich