Saturday College Basketball Odds, Picks, Predictions: Wisconsin, Arkansas Worth Betting?

, , ,
Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
College Basketball Odds

With the tip-off of March Madness odds nearing, plenty of sell-high opportunities exist for teams that are playing at their peak. Notable metrics can assist with handicapping college basketball odds, too. Let’s examine which ones to consider for Saturday’s loaded slate.

Click any of the odds below to bet on sites with the best sportsbook promo codes. The tables below showcase spread, moneyline, and total markets for each matchup. 

No. 13 Illinois at Wisconsin; 1 p.m. ET on btn

Although I’m bearish on Wisconsin’s long-term outlook, this game represents a chance to buy low on the Badgers. They’ve lost six of their last eight games, including Tuesday’s defeat at lowly Indiana. Enter Illinois, winners of four of its previous five contests despite yielding an average of 1.18 points per possession (PPP) during that stretch.

In particular, Illini center Coleman Hawkins & Co. rank in the fifth percentile of percentage of points allowed from that vicinity. That spells doom against Wisconsin, which owns a top-40 field goal clip on near-proximity attempts against the average opponent (per Haslametrics).

Steven Crawl and Tyler Wahl, two of their three leading scorers, are adept at finishing near the rim. If they establish themselves early on, Illinois will be forced to play at Wisconsin’s preferred methodical pace. That isn’t how Illinois is constructed for success, generating a top-60 adjusted tempo while converting on a myriad of transition opportunities.

My raw numbers make this line closer to Wisconsin -2 in a prime bounce-back spot. Conversely, Haslametrics forecasts a score of 77.6-77.2, barely favoring the Badgers.

The Tar Heel State announced North Carolina online sportsbooks will go live on March 11. Residents can sign up for pre-launch bonus bets.

Arkansas at no. 16 kentucky; 1:30 p.m. ET on CBS

Whether you’re fading the Wildcats or betting on the Razorbacks, neither is for the faint-hearted. In this case, you can do both!

For bettors who can stomach a wager on the dreadful Hogs, there’s value according to my betting model. Kentucky is coming off four wins in its last five games. Their most recent victories were against Alabama and Mississippi State. The Wildcats defied all odds (literally) in the latter matchup, closing as high as +4.5 against the Bulldogs. Evidently, the market expected a letdown for the Wildcats in Starkville, Miss.

Meanwhile, Arkansas handed Vanderbilt its third SEC win on Tuesday. The market has likely soured on Eric Musselman’s squad as a result.

However, the Razorbacks are nearing full strength with Trevon Brazile returning to the rotation. They also gave Kentucky fits in their first meeting without Brazile, shielding the paint with nine blocks. Assuming Brazile continues to see his minutes ramp up, Arkansas’ stout rim defense should help generate fast-break points against the Wildcats’ vulnerable transition defense.

My raw numbers have this line right around Kentucky -12. On the other hand, Haslametrics projects a score of 91.2-74.2, heavily favoring the Wildcats.

watch outside shots: college basketball picks

Erik Haslam runs the analytics site referenced above and will return to Outside Shots once conference tournaments are underway. Catch this weekend’s betting preview below.

  • You can subscribe to the audio-only version of the show on AppleSpotify, or wherever you find your favorite podcasts.

Where Can You Bet On College Basketball Player Props?

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw betting on college props. Other states match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia allows betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks allow wagering (plus live bets) on college basketball player prop odds, including in-state teams.

College Basketball Player Props Available At Underdog

Claim Your $100 Bonus at Underdog Fantasy Today
$100 bonus
On Deposit
First Deposit Match up to $100
PLUS a Free Pick’Em Special
Win Up to 100x Your Entry in a Single Night
Use Bonus Code: THELINES

BEST promo codes For COLLEGE BASKETBALL odds

UP TO $1,000
In Bonus Bets
First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000, or Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets
Sign Up, Deposit and Play Today in VA!
Gambling Problem? Call or TEXT 1-800-Gambler 21+
Use Bonus Code: THELINESVA
up to $1,500
In Bonus Bets
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: THELINES
$1,000 FIRST BET
On Caesars
Up to $1,000 Back as a Bonus Bet if Your Bet Loses
Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Promo Code: THELINES1000
Bet $5
Get $150
Win or Lose
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now
Up to $100
Bonus Bet
Up to $100 Back if Your First Bet Doesn’t Win
Get Your Bets Boosted
To Claim: Click Play Now
$500 BONUS
2nd Chance Bet
Up To $500 in Bet Credits
ONLY 1x Play Through!
Use Exclusive Bonus Code: LINESRIV

21+ in most states to use sportsbook bonus codes. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.