College Basketball Bets: Baylor Vs. Cincinnati Odds For Big 12 Quarterfinals Thursday Night

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Written By Derek Wagner | Last Updated

The Big 12 Tournament continues on Thursday, as Baylor (22-9, 11-7) gets set to take on Cincinnati (20-13, 7-11). The Bearcats are eyeing revenge and a chance at a Quad 1 victory to bolster their tournament resume, while Baylor hopes to make some noise and possibly win the Big 12 Tournament and bolster their March Madness odds. Let’s examine my college basketball bets for tonight’s colossal quarterfinals matchup amongst CBB odds.

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BAYLOR VS. CINCINNATI ODDS: SPREAD, MONEYLINE, TOTAL

Baylor To Light It Up From the Perimeter?

The strength of this Baylor squad lies in their 3-point shooting, where they knock down 40.4% of their attempts. This is troublesome for the Bearcats, who defend inside the arc incredibly well, holding opponents to a mere 46.5% (top 40 in D-1), but their biggest weakness remains defending the three ball. Cincinnati ranks 12th in the Big 12 defending the three, allowing conference foes to shoot 35.7%.

Baylor accrues a top 120 perimeter scoring rate, with four players shooting north of 40% there. Unlike Kansas, they have the shooting to light up this Cincy defense from the outside. During the five-game stretch from Feb. 27 to Mar. 12, Cincinnati allowed opponents to shoot a blistering 41.2% from deep against them. Baylor can have a similarly hot shooting night against them, given their elite perimeter scoring, particularly from Langston Love, one of the best bench players in the nation. Love missed four games with a knee injury suffered against BYU in February but returned to the lineup last weekend against Texas Tech.

In their last matchup in January, Baylor only shot 25% from deep, sinking five perimeter shots. I expect a better shooting performance in this game from a well-rested Baylor squad that averages nearly nine threes per contest (top 50 in D-1).

Baylor To Collect Second Chance Opportunities

Conversely, Cincinnati is elite on the glass, ranking 35th in the nation at preventing offensive rebounds and ninth at rebounding their own misses. Their rebounding prowess was on full display last night when they outrebounded Kansas 49-38, including 16 offensive boards. That said, Kansas was dealing with injuries, and the Bearcats have struggled to keep opponents off the offensive glass their last six games.

Over their last six games, Wes Miller’s squad allowed 12.7 second-chance points per game over their last six games, which ranks in the 5th percentile (per CBB Analytics). This is where Baylor could have an edge, particularly with Cincinnati playing its third game in three days and possibly having tired legs.

My College Basketball Bets

While the motivation angle favors Cincinnati, who are fighting for their tournament lives, I’m skeptical of them being able to beat a Baylor squad on their third game in three days. This number was Baylor -4.5 early this morning but has since been steamed up to Baylor .

Rather than play Baylor full game, I decided to play the first-half spread. The best line for Baylor’s first half is currently: .

Best of luck with your college basketball bets tonight!

Utilizing Power Ratings

Haslametrics projects a final score of 73.5 – 69.4, favoring Baylor.

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COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYER PROPS: BAYLOR VS. CINCINNATI

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Where Can You Bet On College Basketball Player Props?

Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia all outlaw betting on college props. Ten other states match the guidance of banning in-state school prop betting.

Virginia allows betting on in-state schools but not props on in-state players. The remaining states with sportsbooks allow wagering on college props, including in-state teams.

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