Tuesday College Basketball Best Bets: Wisconsin Due For Regression?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 29, 2022 - Last Updated on November 30, 2022
College basketball Best Bets

Following a dull evening on the college basketball odds board, Tuesday’s slate delivers its fair share of enticing games. Let’s dive into my college basketball best bets for Wake Forest at Wisconsin in the 2022 ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

Join our Discord betting channel (under the #roles server) and get an immediate alert for whenever I make a bet. Click on any of the odds below to place a wager as well.

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Wake Forest at Wisconsin: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Neither program finds itself in my college basketball power rankings, but there’s reason for concern for the home favorite. Subscribe to the Outside Shots podcast, as Scott Phillips and I break down everything college hoops betting.

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Badgers’ Fluky Start

Wisconsin boasts the 11th-ranked Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (per KenPom), and its opponents are shooting just 23.4% from behind the arc. Although Greg Gard’s teams have been reliable at that end of the court, the latter percentage isn’t sustainable.

According to ShotQuality, teams should be dialing up a 33.0% 3-point clip against Wisconsin. Enter Wake Forest, which utilizes a motion offense under Steve Forbes, stressing misdirection around the perimeter.

The Demon Deacons possess capable shooters at every position — led by Florida transfer Tyree Appleby thus far. Two-guard Daivien Williamson paced them in 3-point shooting last season, but he’s questionable with a back injury. Even if he doesn’t suit up, Damari Monsanto would provide Forbes with another floor spacer in Williamson’s place.

Related: 2023 March Madness Futures Odds

Moreover, the Badgers’ offense ranks No. 275 in half-court efficiency. Their most reliable facet stems from low-post touches via Tyler Wahl and Steven Crowl. But Forbes showcases the frontcourt to combat that, especially after reeling in Delaware transfer Andrew Carr.

Assuming Wake Forest generates enough stops, it’ll be in position to speed up Wisconsin while manufacturing clean perimeter looks in the process.

College Basketball Best Bets Conclusion

I bet Demon Deacons +5.5 on Tuesday morning, which you’ll find in our aforementioned Discord betting channel. I’d play this wager down to +5. Good luck with your own college basketball best bets for Wisconsin – Wake Forest.

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