Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Value In Conference USA Championship

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 12, 2022
College Basketball Best Bets

We’re one day away from Selection Sunday, and today’s NCAA basketball slate delivers plenty of intriguing storylines along the way. Let’s break down my college basketball best bets for the Conference USA tournament title game between UAB and Louisiana Tech.

Click on the odds below to place a bet, and continue the discussion in our Discord betting community, as we dissect the biggest games of the day. Stay up-to-date on the top-68 programs with my college basketball power rankings.

BetMGM March Madness Special Offer! Bet $10 on a moneyline and win $200 if either team makes a 3-pointer!

UAB Blazers vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Although Blazers received a double-bye in the league tourney, they needed triple overtime to knock off Middle Tennessee on Friday. Hence, the Bulldogs playing their fourth game in four days doesn’t seem as arduous as it normally would.

With a win, Andy Kennedy’s bunch would earn a ticket into the big dance for the first time in six seasons. On the flip side, Louisiana Tech is aiming for its first March Madness appearance since 1991. So where’s the betting value?

  • All of Eli’s College Basketball Best Bets

Jelly Legs Could Be An Issue

Considering UAB generates the 38th-quickest average possession length across college basketball (via KenPom), it’ll likely deal with some level of fatigue throughout. It doesn’t help that Eric Konkol’s squad ranks just outside the top 100 of that department, either.

In their two previous meetings — with the Blazers winning both — Kennedy’s attack exposed the Bulldogs’ perimeter defense, which surrenders the conference’s fifth-highest 3-point scoring rate. Nevertheless, ShotQuality notes that UAB received shooting luck in the process and should’ve split their regular season series.

Don’t anticipate a similar amount of positive variance in this one, especially since Jordan “Jelly” Walker & Co. won’t have as much lift on their jumpers.

If Kennedy calls for more pick-and-roll and cutting action as a result, Louisiana Tech’s effective off-ball defense will be up to the task.

UAB’s Exposable Interior Defense

Bulldogs 6-foot-7 forward Kenneth Lofton, Jr. averaged 22 points per game on 64.0% shooting against the Blazers this season. Why? Because UAB possesses the conference’s third-least efficient post-up defense.

Expect double teams to come if Lofton’s success continues, which would open up Louisiana Tech’s perimeter shooting. Konkol’s team owns a 36.5% 3-point clip in league play while accumulating the third-highest scoring rate from distance.

UAB – Louisiana Tech Conclusion

Look for the Bulldogs to at least hang within a possession — if not win outright. We’ll hopefully be watching Lofton do his thing in the NCAA tournament.

Best Available Line: Louisiana Tech
Eli’s College Basketball Best Bets:

 

Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich