Tuesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Auburn Suffer Letdown At Missouri?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on January 25, 2022 - Last Updated on January 27, 2022
College Basketball Best Bets

Following one of the best games of the season in Kansas-Texas Tech, Tuesday’s college basketball slate shouldn’t disappoint either with 10 ranked squads in action. Let’s dive into my college basketball best bets for Auburn at Missouri ⁠— the Tigers’ first matchup as the No. 1 ranked team in program history.⁠

Click on the odds below to place a bet.

In this COVID era, some of these wagers are dependent on player availability, so check back on them and follow me on Twitter. You can continue the discussion in our Discord betting community, as we dissect all of the games.

No. 1 Auburn Tigers at Missouri Tigers

Bruce Pearl’s unit sits atop my college basketball power rankings while coming off its most impressive win of the season, covering against Kentucky on Saturday. Not only could a letdown be in store, but Auburn now faces a Missouri bunch that’s racked up quality wins against Alabama and at Ole Miss.

According to ShotQuality, the Tigers are generating the third-highest defensive rebounding rate in SEC play. Cuonzo Martin’s frontcourt possesses the length to challenge Auburn’s Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler, and it’ll slow down the tempo if it’s able to hold its own on the glass.

That, in turn, would minimize the total number of possessions while helping Mizzou hang within a larger spread.

Moreover, Martin’s perimeter-oriented defense is positioned well against an offense that relies on off-the-dribble 3s at the highest rate in-conference. The Tigers’ transition defense is another story, yet K.D. Johnson & Co. will likely struggle to produce clean looks around the arc in half-court sets.

At the other end, Missouri presents the third-worst offensive spacing in Division I, allowing opponents to collapse on-ball late in the possession. But Auburn’s most glaring liability is defending post-ups, which the home underdog is converting at a higher percentage versus SEC competition. The Tigers need Kobe Brown & Co. to deliver some efficiency for their perimeter offense to open up.

This bet is not for the faint of heart, but we’re plugging our noses in what’s set up to be Mizzou’s Super Bowl.

Eli’s Bet: Missouri +14 (placed on Monday night at PointsBet Sportsbook)
College Basketball Best Bets: Missouri +13 or better
Best Available Line: Missouri

Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich