College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Tech Sweep Big 12 Rival Baylor?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on February 16, 2022 - Last Updated on February 17, 2022
College Basketball Best Bets

Wednesday’s college hoops schedule features eight ranked teams, including a top-15 matchup between No. 7 Baylor and No. 11 Texas Tech. Let’s break down this game to determine whether there are any college basketball best bets for it.

Click on the odds below to place a bet.

You can even continue the discussion in our Discord betting community, as we dissect all of the games throughout the day. Stay up-to-date on the top-68 programs with my college basketball power rankings.

Baylor Bears at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Both teams are dealing with injuries, but the Bears’ wounds are a tad more significant. Not only did Baylor center Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua undergo season-ending knee surgery following Saturday’s win over Texas, but guard LJ Cryer (foot) is also questionable.

Meanwhile, Red Raiders guards Kevin McCullar (ankle) and Sardaar Calhoun (COVID-19 protocols) are game-time decisions. McCullar is generating the team’s highest assist rate and posted a 12-5-5 stat line in Texas Tech’s upset win in Waco, Texas on Jan. 11.

Coincidentally, each team runs a no-middle defense, yet the Red Raiders’ set-up is more susceptible against stout perimeter offenses. Mark Adams’ unit is surrendering the Big 12’s sixth-highest open 3-point rate while the Bears generate plenty of off-the-dribble shots from behind the arc (via ShotQuality).

Cryer’s status will be a key factor in that regard, as he’s producing Baylor’s most efficient perimeter clip (46.7%).

Moreover, Scott Drew’s bunch will miss Tchamwa Tchatchoua’s presence on the glass, along with his ball-screen coverage. Not only is Texas Tech an underrated offensive rebounding team, but it runs plenty of pick-and-roll and off-ball action in Adams’ motion offense.

If McCullar suits up, his prowess for picking apart opposing defenses in those sets will be a tough task for Baylor to stop.

Minus Tchamwa Tchatchoua, the Bears need four-star freshman Jeremy Sochan to step up. The 6-foot-9 forward didn’t play in their first meeting. He’s a valuable contributor on the boards and with his ballhawk-like presence.

Given Texas Tech’s significant home-court advantage, the current spread is spot on with my numbers. Unless an intriguing in-game angle arises, I won’t be betting on it.

Eli’s College Basketball Best Bets: Pass
Best Available Line: Texas Tech

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Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

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