After a night in which No. 1 Auburn went down at Arkansas, Wednesday’s college hoops schedule promises to deliver a similar level of intrigue. Let’s dig into my college basketball best bets for a Big 12 matchup between No. 9 Texas Tech at Oklahoma — a win that the Sooners desperately need for their NCAA tournament resume.
Click on the odds below to place a bet.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma Sooners
Although the Red Raiders are on a three-game winning streak, they may be without guards Adonis Arms (hip) and Terrence Shannon Jr. (knee) for this matchup. Arms represents Texas Tech’s second-best playmaker (17.9% assist rate) despite his turnover issues.
Mark Adams’ bunch is aiming to improve its 2022 March Madness seeding, but there’s pressure on the Sooners, as they need a marquee victory to remain in the conversation after losing eight of their first 10 conference games. Therefore, it’s a sell-high, buy-low spot.
The Red Raiders operate Adams’ patented no-middle defense, which centers around denying dribble penetration while forcing opponents to operate around the perimeter. Porter Moser’s attack is shooting just 28.3% in Big 12 play, but it’s accruing enough clean looks to the point where it’s due for positive regression.
According to ShotQuality, Oklahoma is tallying the 48th-most open shots from behind the arc in Division I. If Umoja Gibson & Co. are on from distance, they’ll have an easier time slowing down the pace and keeping Texas Tech out of transition.
When Adams’ offense is in the halfcourt, it uses the pick-and-roll with Bryson Williams and Kevin Obanor often. But Moser’s defenses are known for cutting off dribble penetration via ball screens, forcing turnovers in the process.
Schematically, Moser has an edge at both ends. I’m backing the home underdog to stay within a possession in a motivational spot.
Eli’s College Basketball Best Bets: Oklahoma +3 (-110)
Best Available Line: Oklahoma