Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Buy-Low Opportunity On West Virginia?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on January 14, 2023
College Basketball Best Bets

Saturday’s college basketball odds boards features a bevy of intriguing ranked teams, but let’s hone in on an unranked matchup in Norman, Ok. between Oklahoma and West Virginia. Here are my college basketball best bets for this Big 12 clash.

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West Virginia at Oklahoma: Spread, Moneyline, Total

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‘Eers In A Prime Situational Spot

If you’re unfamiliar with this particular betting notion, situational spots seek to reveal conditions in which programs have consistently outperformed or underperformed their normal level of play — relative to the moneyline or spread.

After four straight losses — both straight up and against the spread — to begin Big 12 play, this game represents a buy-low spot on West Virginia.

Variance is certainly apart of every sport. Nevertheless, ShotQuality notes that the Mountaineers should have won their last three games. Hence, Bob Huggins’ team has missed quality looks, which is showcased by their 27.4% performance from behind the arc during that stretch.

Sharpshooter Erik Stevenson has been at the forefront of their missed shots, going 5-of-19 in these defeats.

Enter the Sooners, allowing a 27.2% 3-point clip to date — good for the sixth-lowest efficiency in the country. Considering Porter Moser runs a semblance of a no-middle defense, which centers around limiting dribble penetration, their opponents should be hitting outside jumpers. They just haven’t fallen — yet.

Not only should we see positive regression from the ‘Eers, but their pressure defense should force its fair share of takeaways against a turnover-prone Oklahoma bunch as well.

Related: 2023 March Madness Futures Odds

College Basketball Best Bets Conclusion

I bet West Virginia +3, which you’ll find in our aforementioned Discord betting channel. I’ve also sprinkled a bit on WVU ML (+130), but factor in a smaller edge.

Eli’s Bet: WVU +3 (-110)
Best Available Line: WVU

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