Monday College Basketball Best Bets: Creighton’s Litmus Test Vs. Texas Tech

Written By Eli Hershkovich on November 21, 2022
College Basketball Best Bets

After Feast Week began with a bang, it continues with an assortment of Thanksgiving-centric tournaments. For one, the 2022 Maui Jim Maui Invitational tips off with Creighton against Texas Tech. Let’s dissect my college basketball best bets for this top-25 matchup.

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Creighton vs. Texas Tech: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Both programs finds themselves in my college basketball power rankings, so what’s my betting angle? Subscribe to the Outside Shots podcast, as Scott Phillips and I dig into all of the upcoming holiday action.

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How Will Creighton Handle Pressure?

In the college basketball odds table above, you’ll find that Creighton is favored. For reference, the Bluejays opened -4 at numerous shops.

Greg McDermott’s team was hyped up all offseason after challenging Kansas in the 2022 NCAA Tournament. It also added North Dakota State transfer Baylor Scheierman, who gifts McDermott with another playmaker. He’s shooting 10-of-24 (41.3%) from behind the arc thus far.

Creighton’s Achilles heel was offensive miscues in 2021-22, as its turnover rate ranked No. 302 across Division I. The Bluejays have done a fine job of limiting them thus far, but they’ve yet to face a competent defense.

Enter Mark Adams’ Red Raiders. His ball pressure and no-middle structure always combines to manufacture an elite unit at that end of the court. In fact, Adams was the defensive coordinator on Chris Beard’s staff before Beard left for Texas.

There’s a certainly a chance that Ryan Nembhard, Arthur Kaluma, and Trey Alexander have refined their ball handling. However, I’m willing to bet against it in the early goings. If Texas Tech forces Creighton into more half-court sets than not, De’Vion Harmon & Co. should generate their fair share of takeaways.

Despite the Red Raiders’ poor offensive spacing, they boast a top-20 ShotQuality PPP in transition. That comes via a small sample size, yet they showcase a handful of explosive athletes, including Longhorns transfer Jaylon Tyson. They’ll get their chance to shine if the previous notion comes to fruition.

Even without Utah State Valley transfer Fardaws Aimaq, whose foot injury is expected to keep him out until February, Adams’ bunch can hang within a four-point spread.

Related: 2023 March Madness Futures Odds

College Basketball Best Bets Conclusion

I bet Texas Tech +4 (-110) on Sunday night, which you’ll find in our aforementioned Discord channel. Join the discussion, as fellow bettors dive into everything college basketball.

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