2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: CJ Cup Byron Nelson Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues, with TPC Craig Ranch next on tap to host the CJ Cup Byron Nelson in McKinney, Texas, beginning Thursday. Jordan Spieth, Tom Kim, and Si Woo Kim headline among CJ Cup Byron Nelson favorite bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.

One of the most puzzlingly named events on the PGA TOUR calendar, the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch, hits center stage this week. With a Signature Event and Major looming in the following two weeks, it’s a bit harder to get excited about the action in store, with many of the game’s best either skipping entirely or withdrawing throughout tournament week. In any case, these odds pay out the same as any other week on the PGA TOUR season for us golf bettors, and it serves as a good opportunity to build up the bankroll before the more exciting weeks ahead.

We should expect birdies in masses this week. Winning scores pushed well beyond 20-under par in each of the first three contests at TPC Craig Ranch. That creates plenty of opportunity to exploit value on birdie-makers who may have peaked in the easier Fall Swing leg of the PGA TOUR schedule earlier this season. 

Below, we’ll go through my final Byron Nelson bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place CJ Cup Byron Nelson wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my CJ Cup Byron Nelson preview.

CJ Cup Byron Nelson ODDS: THE FAVORITES

Click on any of CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.

HOW I BUILT MY CJ Cup Byron Nelson BETTING CARD

TPC Craig Ranch has always favored longer hitters, considering there is little reward for driving accuracy here, and its Zoysia fairways do not allow for much rollout, ultimately rewarding players with the longest carry distance. That advantage for long hitters will be accentuated by the soft conditions left behind by a rainy tournament week in Texas, so I’ve decided to build a longer card of outrights, with ample exposure to players with elite driving distance and proven history in comparable easy scoring conditions.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson.

• Outrights – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
• FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
• Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each

CJ Cup Byron Nelson BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)

Adam Scott

My Bet: +2700
Best Available Odds:

A veteran Australian steadily improving week by week in an ongoing quest to break one of the longest winless draughts of his career, it’s easy to draw parallels between Adam Scott and Jason Day leading up to his 2023 Byron Nelson victory. Few others atop this leaderboard possess Scott’s pedigree, distance, and spike-putting upside, so he stands out to me as the best value to target amongst the favorites this week. He’ll look to improve on a solid T8 showing at this event last year with ten top-25s over his last 12 starts.

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Thomas Detry

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

Thomas Detry may be a consensus top-5 player in the world without a win across the PGA or DP World Tour at this point in his career. He’s given himself plenty of opportunities lately however, with three top-10 finishes this season, including two in his last three starts. His closest call came in his last stop in Texas, where he finished one stroke shy of Stephan Jaeger at the Valero Texas Open. As a bomber with spike putting upside, TPC Craig Ranch is an ideal fit for Detry’s game as he continues to try to knock the door down for his first career victory.

Keith Mitchell

My Bet: +4500
Best Available Odds:

It’s hard for me to go back to Keith Mitchell in the outright market after his colossal implosion at the Valspar Championship that turned a 3-stroke 54-hole lead into a T17 final finish. Admittedly, I did not jump to bet Mitchell at this number at the beginning of the week, however after Will Zalatoris’ withdrawal, the value on this number was too good for me to pass up at second glance. Mitchell is an elite ball striker in this field, particularly with his long irons, ranking No. 7 in Proximity: 200+.

Adam Schenk

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

There’s a lot to like about Adam Schenk’s game right now leading into the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. He has three top-20 finishes over his last five starts between The Masters, Valero Texas Open, and THE PLAYERS. He has gained on the field in terms of Driving Distance in every event he’s played this season, and ranks top-10 in SG: APP over the last 12 rounds. Schenk also has the perfect game for birdie fests, as he ranks top-20 in both SG: P (L36) and SG: P (Bentgrass).

Maverick McNealy

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

The final addition to my betting card this week, McNealy fits the mold I’m looking for in terms of elite Driving Distance, spike putting upside, proven form on comp courses, and solid overall form this season. Appearing to be fully recovered from injury now in 2024, McNealy has posted three top-15 finishes in his last seven starts, including a T13 at the Mexico Open, one of the top comp courses to TPC Craig Ranch.

Peter Kuest

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:

The golf betting community is behind Peter Kuest in full force this week. Does that make us A Tribe Called Kuest? It’s easy to see why Kuest is so popular at this price, as he’ll come in hot off of back-to-back top-10 finishes and return to the scene of his T14 finish at the 2023 Byron Nelson. Kuest is a bomber with a streaky putter, which sets up well for the birdie fest in store at TPC Craig Ranch.

Jake Knapp

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds:

Jake Knapp profiles as a carbon copy of Peter Kuest, with the added bonus of already proving capable of winning on a comparably long, windy, and easy-scoring venue at the Mexico Open earlier this season. Already holding three top-5 finishes this season, Knapp may be the early frontrunner for Rookie of the Year and is too talented to be available at this long of a price in such a weak field.

Hayden Springer

My Bet: +20000
Best Available Odds:

I have an irrational appreciation for Hayden Springer’s game as a pure bomber who has also shown flashes of impressive approach play and spike-putting upside to begin his rookie season. A two-time winner on the Canadian Tour last fall, Springer has shown impressive flashes on the PGA TOUR already, finishing T3 at the Puerto Rico Open six starts ago.

CJ Cup Byron Nelson BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Maverick McNealy

My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:

A long hitter with a reliable short game is the baseline for what I’m looking for in an FRL contender at a softer-than-usual TPC Craig Ranch. McNealy’s game is in great form leading in, and he’s shown a great track record to date in birdie fests.

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

We finally hit pay dirt in 2024 with our first Rai FRL at last week’s Zurich Classic. While nothing about TPC Craig Ranch screams as a fit for Aaron Rai’s game, he’s shown enough form in last week’s performance to justify riding the hot hand again.

Kevin Yu

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

Always a FRL consideration, it’s difficult to trust Yu’s short game to hold up over four rounds, however there’s no question his elite ball-striking and driving distance should help generate ample birdie looks at TPC Craig Ranch.

Peter Kuest

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

There’s even more Kuest Love in this article, as it turns out. The Monday Qualifying savant has made a living out of posting the low round of the day this year as he’s needed to earn his status week to week. He should be a threat to go low on Thursday in easy scoring conditions.

Ryan Fox

My Bet: +9000
Best Available Odds:

Ryan Fox had a great showing alongside Garrick Higgo at the Zurich Classic last week where the duo finished T4. He got off to a hot start at The Masters, so like Kevin Yu, he’s becoming more of the type of player I prefer to find exposure to in earlier rounds.

CJ Cup Byron Nelson BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Adam Scott > Alex Noren

My Bet: -110

Both veterans boast consistent course history and a sustained baseline of top-30 finishes on the PGA TOUR this season. While it’s understandable to find these two at coin flip odds in this matchup, the softer conditions in store should ultimately favor Adam Scott as a more suitable fit for this course, as he’ll be able to lean on his elite Driving Distance to counteract the limited rollout on these fairways.

Top-20 Finish: Jake Knapp

My Bet: +370
Best Available Odds:

I’m very bullish on the importance of comp course history at other easy, windy, and long venues we’ve seen on TOUR this season. That makes Knapp an ideal value in this market, as he’s proven to thrive in these exact conditions despite some inconsistent form on shorter or difficult-scoring tracks more recently.

Top-20 Finish: Peter Kuest

My Bet: +400
Best Available Odds:

There’s always one player I find myself going back to in each and every market, and this week, it’s Kuest. TPC Craig Ranch is an ideal fit for his game, and while I don’t expect him to continue to finish top-10 every single week, this doesn’t seem to be the spot where that streak of his will come to an end.

Top-20 Finish: Hayden Springer

My Bet: +650
Best Available Odds:

As more of a flyer placement bet, these long odds are worth chasing for the upside Springer displayed in comparable conditions at the Puerto Rico Open earlier this season. He’s also a fixture on my outright card, so this bet should serve as some helpful insurance for the 2024 rookie.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Adam Scott

You really cannot go wrong in One And Done this week, as projected ownership appears to be extremely balanced. While Jordan Spieth is the odds-on favorite, he’s expected to be passed over in OAD, as he continues to deal with a nagging wrist injury. There is no obvious choice here, but Scott stands out to be as the best course fit for TPC Craig Ranch with trending recent form and proven results at this event in the past. While he hasn’t exactly put himself in contention much this season, he continues to circle closer and closer to picking up his first PGA TOUR win since 2019.

If not Scott, I would also consider playing Jason Day, Alex Noren, or KH Lee in OAD.

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CJ Cup Byron Nelson BETS: THE CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own CJ Cup Byron Nelson bets, and see you next week for the Wells Fargo Championship.

CJ Cup Byron Nelson Odds Comparison Table