Chiefs vs. Texans: NFL Betting Preview – September 10, 2020

Posted By Staff on September 8, 2020 - Last Updated on September 10, 2020
NFL Week 15 odds

The Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) are 9-point favorites on Thursday against the Houston Texans (0-0). The point total is set at 54.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings Sportsbook as of September 8, 2020, 1:51 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs. Texans: Betting preview

 

Chiefs vs. Texans odds

Injury Report (Sept. 8)

Chiefs: No Injuries Listed
Texans: No Injuries Listed

Over/Under Facts

  • Last season, in games that featured the Chiefs, the point total was set at an average of 47.4, which is 7.1 points fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Games featuring the Texans averaged 47.7 total points last season, 6.8 fewer than the total for this matchup.
  • Chiefs games went over 54.5 points on five occasions last season (31.2% of matchups).
  • Texans games went over 54.5 points on three occasions last season (18.8%).
  • Last year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (51.8 points per game) is 2.7 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • These teams surrendered a combined 43.3 points per game a season ago, 11.2 fewer points than this contest’s total.

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City played in seven games last year that went over the point total (50% of its opportunities).
  • Kansas City went 8-6 against the spread last year.
  • The Chiefs had an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 9-point favorites last season.

Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston hit the over in just 42.9% of games last year.
  • Houston’s record ATS last season was 6-7-1.
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Chiefs vs Texans: Last 5 Meetings

  • Kansas City is 3-2 straight up in the past five contests.
  • The Texans have covered one time in those games.
  • Kansas City has scored 122 total points while allowing 120 total points to Houston.

When the Chiefs have the ball

  • The average points per game output for the Chiefs last season (28.2) was 4.1 greater than the 24.1 the Texans gave up in each contest.
  • Kansas City was 6-1 overall and 3-3 against the spread when they scored at least 28.2 points last season.
  • When Houston allowed opposing offenses to score 24.1 points or fewer last year, they were 9-1 overall and 5-3-1 against the spread.
  • The total number of yards the Chiefs offense put up and the Texans defense gave up per game last season are within 9.3 yards of each other (379 to 388.3).
  • Kansas City’s went 5-1 overall and 1-3 ATS last season when they racked up at least their season average in total yards.
  • When the Houston defense allowed less than their season average for total yards last season they were 7-2 overall and 4-4 ATS.
  • The Chiefs averaged 98.1 rushing yards per game last season, 23.4 yards fewer than the Texans allowed to opposing rushing attacks (121.5).
  • When Kansas City rushed for a combined 98.1 yards last season, they were 7-0 overall and 4-2 ATS.
  • When Houston held opposing teams to 121.5 rushing yards or fewer last year, they were 7-3 overall and 4-4-1 ATS.
  • Last season, the Texans forced an average of 1.4 turnovers per game, compared to the 0.9 times Chiefs turned the football over in each contest.
  • Kansas City was 5-0 overall and 3-1 ATS last season when they didn’t turn the football over.
  • When they forced more than 1.4 turnovers in a game last season, Houston was 3-1 overall and 2-1-1 ATS.

When the Texans have the ball

  • The Texans averaged 23.6 points per game last year, 4.4 more than the Chiefs gave up per matchup (19.2).
  • When Houston scored at least 23.6 points last season, they went 7-2 overall and 6-2 ATS.
  • Last season, Kansas City had a 6-1 record overall and a 3-3 record ATS in games when it held opponents to 28.2 or fewer points.
  • The Texans gained 362 yards per game in 2019, 12.4 more than the 349.6 yards the Chiefs gave up per outing.
  • When Kansas City kept its opponents to 349.6 yards or less last year, it had a 6-1 record ATS and a 7-1 record overall.
  • Last season, the Texans averaged 125.6 rushing yards per game, just 2.6 fewer yards per game than the Chiefs allowed per contest (128.2).
  • Last year, Houston had a 6-3 overall record and a 4-3 record ATS in games the team rushed for at least 125.6 yards.
  • Kansas City went 9-1 overall and 8-1 ATS when holding opponents to 128.2 rushing yards or less last season.
  • The Texans turned the ball over 1.4 times per game last year, equal to the number of turnovers the Chiefs forced per game.
  • In games in 2019, Houston went 7-2 overall and 4-3 ATS when they turned the ball 1.4 or fewer times.
  • Last season, Kansas City went 6-1 overall and 3-2 ATS and when it forced at least 1.4 turnovers.

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Last year, Patrick Mahomes racked up 4,031 passing yards (287.9 yards per game) while going 319-for-484 (65.9% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and five interceptions in 14 games. He added 218 rushing yards on 43 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 15.6 yards per game.
  • Darrel Williams amassed 141 rushing yards on 41 carries (11.8 yards per game), with three touchdowns on the ground over the course of 12 games in 2019.
  • Last season, Travis Kelce was targeted 136 times and had 97 catches for 1,229 yards (76.8 ypg) and scored five touchdowns in 16 games.
  • Tyreek Hill had 58 catches on 88 targets for 860 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games last season. He put up 71.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Over 14 games, Sammy Watkins caught 52 passes on 90 targets for 673 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 48.1 receiving yards per game.
  • Last season, defensive end Chris Jones totaled nine sacks, eight tackles for losses (TFL), and 36 tackles in 13 games.
  • In 15 games over his 2019 campaign, linebacker Anthony Hitchens totaled 89 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks.
  • Last season, Tyrann Mathieu reeled in four interceptions and added 74 tackles, three TFL, two sacks, and 13 passes defended in 16 games.

Texans Players to Watch

  • Last year, Deshaun Watson threw for 3,852 yards (256.8 yards per game) while going 333-for-495 (67.3% completion percentage) and throwing 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in 15 games. He added 413 rushing yards on 82 carries with seven touchdowns, averaging 27.5 yards per game.
  • In 2019, Duke Johnson Jr. rushed for 410 yards on 83 carries (25.6 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns over the course of 16 games. He also caught 44 passes for 410 (25.6 ypg) and three touchdowns.
  • In 15 games last season, Randall Cobb was targeted 83 times, recorded 55 catches for 828 yards (55.2 ypg), and scored three touchdowns.
  • Will Fuller added 670 yards on 49 grabs with three touchdowns. He was targeted 71 times and put up 60.9 receiving yards per game in 11 matchups last year.
  • Over 14 games in 2019, Brandin Cooks caught 42 passes on 72 targets for 583 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 41.6 receiving yards per game with the Rams.
  • Linebacker Whitney Mercilus showed out with an impressive statline of 7.5 sacks, nine TFL, 47 tackles, and two interceptions over 16 games.
  • Linebacker Zach Cunningham collected 136 tackles, seven TFL, and two sacks in 16 games over the course of his 2019 campaign.
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