Chiefs vs. Raiders: NFL Betting Preview – October 11, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 7, 2020 - Last Updated on October 9, 2020

The undefeated Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 11 points against the 2-2 Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday, October 11 at Arrowhead Stadium. The over/under is set at 54.5 for the contest.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 9. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

Injury Report

Chiefs:
CB Bashaud Breeland: Out (Suspension); NT Chris Jones: Questionable (Groin); OT Martinas Rankin: Out (Knee); NT Khalen Saunders: Out (Elbow); CB Alex Brown: Out (Torn ACL); QB Jordan Ta’amu: Out (Illness); DB L’Jarius Sneed: Out (Collarbone); DE MIke Danna: Questionable (Hamstring)

Raiders:
DT Maliek Collins: Questionable (Shoulder); RB Jalen Richard: Questionable (Ankle); FS Lamarcus Joyner: Questionable (Ribs); DT Maurice Hurst: Out; G Richie Incognito: Out (Achilles); QB Marcus Mariota: Questionable (Undisclosed); TE Nick O’Leary: Out (Heart); OT Trent Brown: Questionable (Calf); WR Tyrell Williams: Out (Shoulder); DT Daniel Ross: Out (Foot); WR Marcell Ateman: Out (Undisclosed); WR Rico Gafford: Questionable (Hamstring); WR Henry Ruggs III: Questionable (Knee); WR Bryan Edwards: Questionable (Ankle); LB Tanner Muse: Out (Toe); CB Damon Arnette: Out (Thumb)

Total Facts

  • The over/under in this game is 56.5 points– 9.7 higher than the average total in Chiefs games this season.
  • The average total for Raiders games is 57.8 points– 1.3 more than this game’s over/under.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have yet to combine to score more than 56.5 this season.
  • Las Vegas’ contests have gone over 56.5 points on two occasions (50% of games).
  • The total for this matchup is  0.5 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams (57).
  • The Chiefs are the ninth-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Raiders have scored the 10th-most points.
  • These teams surrender a combined 47.5 points per game– nine fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Las Vegas has surrendered the 24th-fewest points in the league this season, while Kansas City has given up the second-fewest.
New Players get a Risk Free Bet at Fanduel Sportsbook
1
$1,000
Risk Free Bet
Up to $1,000 refund if you lose your first bet
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
To Claim: Click Play Now

Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Just one of Kansas City’s four games this year have failed to go over the point total.
  • Kansas City has compiled a 3-1 record against the spread this season.

Raiders Betting Insights

  • Las Vegas is 2-2 against the spread.
  • Each of Las Vegas’ four games this year have gone over the point total .

Chiefs vs Raiders: Last 5 Meetings

  • In the past five meetings, Kansas City has a 5-0 record against Las Vegas.
  • Las Vegas has scored 99 fewer points than Kansas City in their past five games.
Chiefs vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
12/1/2019 Chiefs 332-259 OAK 40-9 KC
9/15/2019 Raiders 464-307 KC 28-10 KC
12/30/2018 Chiefs 409-292 KC 35-3 KC
12/2/2018 Raiders 469-442 KC 40-33 KC
12/10/2017 Chiefs 408-268 KC 26-15 KC

When the Chiefs Have the Ball

  • The Raiders defense has allowed 30 points per game this season. The Chiefs average 29.2 points per game.
  • In games where Kansas City score at least 29.2 points this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • Las Vegas is 2-1 overall and 2-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 30 points.
  • The Chiefs offense has averaged 405.8 total yards per game this season– 17.3 yards more than the Raiders defense has allowed (388.5).
  • On average, the Chiefs pick up 6.1 yards per play and the Raiders give up 6.2.
  • When Kansas City hits their 2020 average in yardage, they are 2-0 overall and 1-1 against the spread this season.
  • When the Las Vegas defense allows less than their season average for total yards this season, they are 1-1 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • The Raiders defense gives up an average of 138 rush yards per game. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Chiefs (129.2).
  • In games where the Kansas City run for at least their season average this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 against the spread.
  • When Las Vegas holds opposing teams to 138 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • The Chiefs have turned the ball over 0.5 times per game this season, while the Raiders have averaged 0.5 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they don’t turn the football over this season, Kansas City is 2-0 overall and 1-1 against the spread.
  • Las Vegas’ record this season when they force more than 0.5 turnovers: 1-1 ATS, 1-1 overall

When the Raiders Have the Ball

  • The Raiders rack up 27.8 points per game– 10.3 more than the Chiefs allow per outing (17.5).
  • Las Vegas is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 27.8 points.
  • This season, Kansas City has a 2-0 record against the spread and a 2-0 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 29.2 or fewer points.
  • The Raiders average 20.2 more yards per game (376.2), than the Chiefs give up per matchup (356).
  • The Raiders gain 5.7 yards per play, while the Chiefs give up 5.4 per play.
  • In games Kansas City limits its opponents to 356 or fewer yards, it has a 1-0 record ATS and a 1-0 record overall.
  • The Raiders rush for 115.2 yards per game– 45.8 fewer per game than the 161 the Chiefs allow per outing.
  • Las Vegas has a 2-1 ATS record and a 2-1 overall record when the team rushes for at least 115.2 yards.
  • Kansas City is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when holding opponents to 161 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Raiders turn the ball over 1.5 times per game– 0.3 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.8 the Chiefs force on average.
  • Las Vegas is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall when it turns the ball over 1.5 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.8 or more turnovers, Kansas City has a 1-0 record against the spread and a 1-0 record overall.

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes leads the team with 1,134 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and no picks (283.5 yards per game) and has a 67.3% completion percentage this year (101-of-150). He also has 108 rushing yards on 18 carries with one touchdown, averaging 27 yards per game.
  • Rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire has taken 71 attempts for a team-leading 304 rushing yards (76 yards per game) and one touchdown in four games. He’s also caught 14 passes for 129 yards (32.3 receiving yards per game).
  • Travis Kelce has 24 receptions for a team-high 297 yards and two touchdowns. He has been targeted 33 times and averages 74.3 yards per game over four outings.
  • Tyreek Hill has caught 19 passes for 286 yards and four touchdowns over the course of four games. He averages 71.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 29 times.
  • This year, Sammy Watkins has caught 19 passes on 27 targets for 198 yards and a touchdown, averaging 49.5 receiving yards per game.
  • Frank Clark has three sacks, three TFL, and 10 tackles over four games.
  • So far this season, Anthony Hitchens leads the Chiefs with 26 tackles.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has picked off one pass while adding 22 tackles and two passes defended four over games.

Raiders Players to Watch

  • This year, Derek Carr has racked up 1,093 passing yards (273.3 yards per game) while going 106-for-144 (73.6% completion percentage) and throwing eight touchdowns and zero interceptions in four games.
  • Josh Jacobs has a team-high 300 rushing yards (75 yards per game) and three touchdowns in four games. He has added 13 catches for 100 yards (25 receiving yards per game).
  • This season, Darren Waller has 29 catches (40 targets) for 245 yards (61.3 per game) and a touchdown in four games.
  • Hunter Renfrow has added 16 catches for 199 yards and one touchdown in four games. He averages 49.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 22 times.
  • Nelson Agholor has caught eight passes on nine targets for 118 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 29.5 yards per game.
  • Maxx Crosby has a team-high three sacks, and has also racked up three TFL and seven tackles over four games.
  • Johnathan Abram has collected 23 tackles, two TFL, and one interception.
  • This season, Nicholas Morrow has one interception, 21 tackles, and one pass defended four in games.

Powered By Data Skrive using data from

Staff Avatar
Written by
Staff

View all posts by Staff