Chiefs vs. Dolphins: Week 14 NFL Betting Preview – December 13, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 8, 2020

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) are favored by  against the Miami Dolphins (8-4) on Sunday, December 13, at Hard Rock Stadium. The point total is set at  for the outing.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 8, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chiefs vs Dolphins Betting Odds

Chiefs vs Dolphins Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • The points total average for Chiefs games this season is 52, 3.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Games involving the Dolphins this year have averaged 42.9 points per game, a 5.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • Chiefs games have gone over 48.5 points on seven occasions this season (58.3% of matchups).
  • In five (41.7%) games this season, the Dolphins have combined with their opponents to go over 48.5 points.
  • The total for this matchup is 48.5 points, 7.5 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.
  • The Chiefs are the second-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Dolphins have scored the 16th-most points.
  • The over/under for this game is set at 48.5 points, 9.6 points higher than the two teams’ opponents scoring average.
  • Kansas City is the league’s sixth-ranked scoring defense while Miami is the second-ranked.
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Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has put together a 6-6 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chiefs are 4-5 ATS when favored by at least 7.5 points.
  • Kansas City’s games have gone under the point total in seven out of 12 outings this season (58.3%).

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Miami has a 9-3 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins are 3-0 ATS when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • Four of Miami’s 12 games this year have gone over the point total (33.3% of its opportunities).

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Chiefs Have the Ball

  • The Chiefs score 30.8 points per game, 13.1 more than the 17.7 the Dolphins surrender per game.
  • In games where Kansas City score at least 30.8 points this season, they are 6-1 overall and 4-3 against the spread.
  • When the Miami defense allows 17.7 points or fewer this year, the Dolphins have accumulated a 6-0 overall record and a 6-0 record against the spread.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed an average of 355.2 yards per game so far this season, 72.4 yards fewer than the 427.6-yard average from the Chiefs offense. On average, the Chiefs gain 6.5 yards per play and the Dolphins allow 5.6.
  • When the Kansas City offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 6-0 overall and 3-3 against the spread this season.
  • When Miami allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 6-0 against the spread and 6-0 overall this season.
  • The Dolphins defense has given up an average of 122.3 yards per game to opposing running games. That total is about the same as the rushing output per contest for the Chiefs (112.7).
  • When Kansas City rushers gain at least a combined 112.7 yards this season, they are 5-0 overall and 3-2 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Miami defense allows opponents to pick up less than 122.3 yards on the ground, they are 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • The Dolphins have forced 1.1 more turnovers in each game this season (1.8) than the Chiefs have committed (0.7).
  • When Kansas City doesn’t turn the football over this season, they are 4-0 overall and 2-2 against the spread.
  • Miami’s record this season when they force more than 1.8 turnovers: 5-1 ATS, 5-1 overall

When the Dolphins Have the Ball

  • The Dolphins score four more points per game (25.2) than the Chiefs allow (21.2).
  • Miami is 6-0 against the spread and 5-1 overall a season ago when the team notches at least 25.2 points.
  • Kansas City has a 4-3 record against the spread and a 6-1 record overall in games when it allows opponents to score 30.8 points or less.
  • The Dolphins rack up 38.4 fewer yards per game (319.8), than the Chiefs give up per contest (358.2). On average, the Dolphins gain 5.2 yards per play, while the Chiefs allow 5.6 per play.
  • Kansas City has a 4-1 record ATS and a 5-0 record overall when holding its opponents to 358.2 yards or less.
  • The Dolphins rush for 96.5 yards per game, 35.9 fewer per game than the 132.4 the Chiefs allow per outing.
  • When Miami rushes for at least 96.5 yards, it compiled a 6-1 ATS record and a 5-2 overall record.
  • This season, Kansas City is 3-3 against the spread and 6-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 132.4 yards on the ground.
  • This year, the Dolphins turn the ball over 1.2 times per game, 0.4 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.6 the Chiefs force on average.
  • Miami is 6-1 against the spread and 5-2 overall when it turns the ball over 1.2 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.6 or more turnovers, Kansas City has a 2-2 record against the spread and a 4-0 record overall.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Chiefs Players to Watch

  • Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 3,815 yards while completing 68.3% of his passes (316-of-463), with 31 touchdowns and two interceptions (317.9 yards per game). He’s also carried the ball 48 times for 235 yards and two touchdowns, averaging 19.6 yards per game.
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire has taken 151 attempts for 692 rushing yards (62.9 yards per game) and four touchdowns. He’s also caught 30 passes for 234 yards (21.3 receiving yards per game) with one touchdown through the air.
  • This season, Travis Kelce has 82 catches (on 110 targets) to lead the team with 1,114 yards (92.8 per game) while scoring eight touchdowns.
  • Tyreek Hill’s statline this year shows 74 catches for 1,079 yards and 13 touchdowns. He averages 89.9 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 111 times.
  • This year, Mecole Hardman has caught 30 passes on 42 targets for 449 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 37.4 receiving yards per game.
  • Chris Jones has collected a team-leading 5.5 sacks, while adding one TFL and 31 tackles.
  • Daniel Sorensen has racked up 74 tackles, two TFL, and three interceptions this year.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has a team-high five interceptions and has tacked on 58 tackles, two TFL, and seven passes defended.

Dolphins Players to Watch

  • Myles Gaskin has taken 121 carries for a team-leading 477 rushing yards (59.6 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns in eight games. He’s also caught 32 passes for 249 yards (31.1 receiving yards per game).
  • DeVante Parker has been targeted 87 times and has 56 catches to lead the team with 677 yards (56.4 ypg) and scored four touchdowns.
  • Mike Gesicki’s statline this year shows 39 catches for 537 yards and four touchdowns. He averages 44.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 62 times.
  • Jakeem Grant has caught 28 passes on 43 targets for 298 yards and one touchdown, averaging 24.8 yards per game.
  • Emmanuel Ogbah has eight sacks to lead the team, and has also collected five TFL and 36 tackles.
  • This season, Jerome Baker has collected 79 tackles, three TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

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