Chiefs Super Bowl Odds: RB Isiah Pacheco, Jerick McKinnon Props

Written By Derek Wagner on February 9, 2023 - Last Updated on February 12, 2023
chiefs super bowl props

As the Eagles and Chiefs take center stage in Super Bowl LVII betting, sportsbooks wasted no time posting Chiefs Super Bowl props for the big game. One matchup that may have a significant impact on the outcome will be the Chiefs running backs against the Eagles rush defense. The two-headed backfield featuring Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon makes for an intriguing matchup for a statistically below average Eagles defense.

The spread for the game has Kansas City against Philadelphia, and the game has a -point over/under. Scroll to the bottom to compare odds for all Super Bowl player props. Place a bet on Chiefs Super Bowl props by clicking any odds in this article.

Chiefs Super Bowl Props: RB Isiah Pacheco

This table automatically pulls the best available odds on Pacheco props across sportsbooks in your state so you don’t have to search. For more props analysis for the Super Bowl, visit or NFL Player Props page.

Rushing Yards Props

The first thing that jumps out to those viewing Pacheco props is that the yardage looks low. That’s because it is. Pacheco has averaged 61.4 yards per game during the Chiefs seven-game winning streak. In fact, Pacheco has gone over this number in five of those seven games. His best performance being against Jacksonville in the divisional round where he went for 95 yards.

While the Eagles have one of the most talented pass rushing units in the league, they struggle mightily against the run. The Eagles rank 21st in rush defense DVOA and 24th in yards per rush allowed. The bottom line: the holes will be there, should Pacheco get enough carries.

This season, 42% of Pacheco’s carries (86/191) and 46% of his yardage (436/945) came between the guards. His highest rush frequency come off the left middle, per PFF.

Pacheco’s highest yards per attempt comes off the left end (6.1), which is where Josh Sweat has been lining up at ROLB in the postseason. For reference, he has earned a measly 54.4 and 64.4 run defense grade in the two postseason games, per PFF. Undoubtably, the Chiefs are aware of this weakness. This may be the most effective rushing lane for Kansas City with Jordan Davis clogging up the interior for the Eagles defense.

To further add to the idea that Pacheco will go over his rush yards, Eagles opponents have averaged 4.8 YPC with their primary running back over their last six games. As long as game script doesn’t force them to throw, the Chiefs and Pacheco should be able to play their advantage in the ground attack.

Anytime Touchdown

Although Travis Kelce has been the primary red zone target for the Chiefs in the postseason, the Eagles have the playmakers at linebacker with Nakobe Dean and T.J. Edwards to keep him in check. Dean and Edwards both grade in the top-20 in coverage grade from the linebacker position, according to PFF. This should benefit Pacheco anytime touchdown backers as Kansas City could be forced to look elsewhere in the red zone.

Chiefs Super Bowl Props: RB Jerick McKinnon

McKinnon Over/Under 20.5 Rushing Yards

At first glance, this number looks incredibly low for McKinnon. That is in large part due to his recent snap count. Over the past five games, McKinnon has been on the field for 35 running plays, amounting to 24 rushes for a miniscule 43 yards. His longest carry during that span was for 7 yards.

Lately, Pacheco has simply been the better back. In fact, in the postseason, McKinnon is only averaging 1.7 yards per carry while Pacheco is at 5.5 per carry. Unless you believe McKinnon will pop a big gain, there’s not much reason to bet his over.

Receiving yards

Although he only has two receptions in the postseason, he’s always a threat to go over his receiving yard prop. Averaging 27.8 receiving yards per game, it’s certainly feasible for him to bounce back in the Super Bowl.

According to Football Outsiders, the Eagles defense ranks 24th defending running backs in the pass game, allowing a generous +7.6% DVOA. Pair that with the fact that the Eagles have not fared well since Week 10 against some best pass catching backs in the league.

  • Aaron Jones: 3 receptions, 56 yards
  • Saquan Barkley: 2 receptions, 20 yards
  • David Montgomery: 3 receptions, 38 yards
  • Tony Pollard: 6 receptions, 61 yards
  • Saquan Barkley 2 receptions, 21 yards

Over bettors have reason to be optimistic for a McKinnon bounce back game given this favorable matchup.

Keep in mind the Chiefs injuries to their wide receivers could aid the over as well. Kadarius Toney, Mecole Hardman, and Juju were all banged up against the Bengals. If those injuries linger into the Super Bowl, McKinnon could be the beneficiary of more targets in the passing game.

On the flip side, McKinnon has not gone over this number in last three games. In all those games, the Chiefs were playing in positive game script for a good majority of the game.

Anytime Touchdown

McKinnon was a staple of the Chiefs red zone attack at the end of the season. After only scoring 1 TD in the first 12 weeks of the season, McKinnon found the end zone nine times in the final six weeks of the regular season. However, he has yet to score in the playoffs.

That being said, bettors who are optimistic he can turn the corner in the Super Bowl can get him at a whopping +195 odds to cross the goal line. Fantastic odds for someone who did so 10 times this season.

BetMGM Big Game Boost For Kansas City Chiefs Betting

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Cross-Sport Specials

Over at DraftKings Sportsbook, there are a variety of Super Bowl prop bets that are intertwined with other sports. For instance, you can wager on whether Vegas Golden Knights center Jack Eichel will tally more points against the Anaheim Ducks than the Chiefs’ total number of rushing touchdowns against the Eagles.

Eichel is priced as the favorite (-150), but he hasn’t delivered a goal nor an assist since Jan. 19. On the flip side, Kansas City is averaging just under one rushing score per game this season, and we previously outlined how McKinnon may be used more so through the air than on the ground. Hence, this betting market makes for a tricky proposition.


Given the favorable matchup against a generous Eagles run defense, I’ve played Pacheco’s over rush yards at 50.5 The best available line is currently . Best of luck betting Chiefs running back props for the Super Bowl!


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