Chiefs vs. Bengals: Championship NFL Betting Preview – January 29, 2023

Written By Staff on January 23, 2023 - Last Updated on January 31, 2023

The AFC Championship game will see the Kansas City Chiefs square off against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals (+105 moneyline odds to win) hit the road on January 29, 2023 at 6:30 PM ET on CBS against the Chiefs (-1.5). A total of 48 points has been set for the contest.

In this article we break down everything you need to know before placing a bet on the game, including key metrics, weather, injuries, and the best available odds.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of January 29, 2023 at 6:12 PM ET.

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Chiefs Vs. Bengals Betting Odds

Chiefs Vs. Bengals Player Props

Chiefs Vs. Bengals Betting Angles

Chiefs Vs. Bengals Weather

The weather forecast for Kansas City on Sunday is dry (scattered clouds) and calm (11 mph winds), with a high temperature of 22 degrees Fahrenheit (as of 6:12 PM on January 29).

Chiefs Vs. Bengals Injury Report

Kansas City Injuries

Player Pos. Injury Status Avg. Snap Count
Travis Kelce TE Back Probable 53.8
Mecole Hardman WR Pelvis Probable 39.1
Justin Watson WR Illness Questionable 33.0

Cincinnati Injuries

Player Pos. Injury Status Avg. Snap Count
Jonah Williams OT Knee Out 73.4
Alex Cappa OG Ankle Out 69.2
Drew Sample TE Knee Out 25.5
Chris Evans RB Gameday inactive Out 14.4

Chiefs Offense Vs. Bengals Defense

Chiefs Offense Stats (Rank) Bengals Defense
29.2 (1) Points/Gm 20.1 (5)
0.5 (1) Points/Play 0.3 (1)
413.6 (1) Yards/Gm 335.7 (16)
297.8 (1) Pass Yards/Gm 229.1 (23)
115.9 (20) Rush Yards/Gm 106.6 (7)
6.4 (1) Yards/Play 5.4 (15)
7.8 (1) Yards/Pass 6.6 (15)
4.7 (8) Yards/Rush 4.2 (6)
48.7% (2) 3rd Down % 39.6% (20)
69.4% (2) Red Zone % 52.0% (9)
23 (17) Turnovers 24 (11)
26 (3) Sacks 30 (29)

Bengals Offense Vs. Chiefs Defense

Bengals Offense Stats (Rank) Chiefs Defense
26.1 (7) Points/Gm 21.7 (16)
0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.3 (1)
360.5 (8) Yards/Gm 328.2 (11)
265.0 (5) Pass Yards/Gm 220.9 (18)
95.5 (29) Rush Yards/Gm 107.2 (8)
5.5 (11) Yards/Play 5.1 (7)
7.0 (8) Yards/Pass 6.1 (6)
3.8 (29) Yards/Rush 4.4 (15)
46.1% (3) 3rd Down % 38.3% (13)
64.9% (5) Red Zone % 67.3% (31)
18 (4) Turnovers 20 (20)
44 (20) Sacks 55 (2)

When The Chiefs Have The Ball

  • The Chiefs have the No. 1 offense in the NFL in terms of points per play (0.5), but will be facing the best defense in the league in that category, owned by the Bengals (0.3).
  • Kansas City is No. 3 in the league in sacks conceded (26), up against the pass rush ranked 29th, owned by Cincinnati (30).
  • The 297.8 passing yards per game the Chiefs average ranks them first in the NFL, while the 229.1 the Bengals allow ranks them 23rd in the league.
  • Kansas City converts 48.7% of its third downs (second in the league), while Cincinnati’s defense ranks 20th in that category (39.6%)

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When The Bengals Have The Ball

  • The Chiefs allow a score on 67.3% of their opponents’ red zone trips (31st in the league), while the Bengals’ offensive red-zone percentage is 64.9% (fifth).
  • The matchups don’t favor the Cincinnati offense in this game, with the No. 29 rushing attack in the NFL (95.5 yards per game), facing the No. 8 defense in that category. Kansas City allows 107.2 yards per game on the ground.
  • The Bengals have given up 44 sacks to rank 20th in the league. The Chiefs’ defense has compiled 55 (second-most).
  • Cincinnati has committed 18 turnovers, fourth-lowest in the NFL, while Kansas City has forced 20 turnovers (13th-fewest in the league).

Chiefs Betting Trends And Insights

  • The Chiefs went 6-10-1 ATS in the regular season, and are 0-1-0 in the postseason.
  • Kansas City has covered the spread four times this season (4-10-1 ATS) when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites (regular season and playoffs).
  • During the regular season, eight of the Chiefs’ games went over the point total, and zero of one in the playoffs.
  • In 10 games this season (in the regular season and playoffs), Kansas City and its opponents have scored more than 48 total points.
  • The Chiefs went 13-2 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite during the regular season (winning 86.7% of those games). In the postseason, they have a record of 1-0 when favored on the moneyline.

Bengals Betting Trends And Insights

  • The Bengals put together a 12-4-0 ATS record in the regular season and have an ATS record of 1-1-0 in the postseason.
  • When playing as at least a 1.5-point underdog, in the regular season and playoffs, Cincinnati has an ATS record of 3-0.
  • During the regular season, six Bengals games went over the point total. Their games have topped the total in one of two playoff opportunities.
  • Cincinnati has combined with its opponents to score more than 48 points in six of 16 regular and postseason games this season.
  • The Bengals were underdogs three times in the regular season and won twice. They are 1-0 in the postseason.

Chiefs Players To Watch

  • This season Patrick Mahomes II has registered 5,250 passing yards (308.8 YPG) while completing 67.1% of his passes, with 41 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. He also has 358 yards on the ground on 61 carries (plus four scores), averaging 21.1 yards per game.
  • Isiah Pacheco has taken 170 carries for a team-high 830 rushing yards (48.8 per game) and five touchdowns.
  • Travis Kelce has hauled in 110 catches for 1,338 yards, best on his team, and 12 touchdowns. He has been targeted 152 times, and averages 78.7 receiving yards per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has contributed with 78 catches for 933 yards and three touchdowns. He has been targeted 101 times and puts up 58.3 receiving yards per game.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has 687 receiving yards on 42 receptions (81 targets), with two touchdowns, averaging 40.4 yards per game.
  • This season Chris Jones leads the team with 15.5 sacks and has added 16.0 TFL and 44 tackles.
  • Nick Bolton’s 179 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions mean he’s the team’s leading tackler.
  • Juan Thornhill has a team-high three interceptions and has tacked on 71 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and nine passes defended in 16 games this season.

Bengals Players To Watch

  • Joe Burrow has passed for 4,475 yards (414-of-606), with 35 touchdowns and 12 interceptions (279.7 yards per game). He’s also rushed 75 times for 257 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Joe Mixon has 210 carries for a team-high 814 rushing yards (58.1 per game) and seven touchdowns. He also has 60 catches for 441 receiving yards and two touchdowns.
  • Samaje Perine has 394 yards on 95 carries (24.6 yards per game), with two rushing touchdowns. He also has 38 catches for 287 yards and four touchdowns.
  • Ja’Marr Chase has 87 catches (134 targets) and paces his team with 1,046 receiving yards (87.2 per game) while scoring nine touchdowns.
  • Tee Higgins has chipped in with 74 receptions (on 110 targets) for 1,029 yards and seven touchdowns.
  • Tyler Boyd is averaging 47.6 yards per game, with 58 catches for 762 yards and five touchdowns.
  • Trey Hendrickson has 8.0 sacks to lead the team, and has also racked up 6.0 TFL and 32 tackles.
  • Logan Wilson’s 121 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception mean he’s the team’s top tackler.
  • This season Vonn Bell leads the team with four interceptions and has added 78 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 1.0 sack, and seven passes defended.

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