2024 PGA TOUR Golf Bets: Charles Schwab Challenge Final Thoughts, Betting Card, OAD

The 2024 PGA TOUR golf season continues, with Colonial Country Club next on tap to host the Charles Schwab Challenge in Fort Worth, Texas, beginning Thursday. Scottie Scheffler, Collin Morikawa, and Jordan Spieth headline among Charles Schwab Challenge bets this week, as John Haslbauer provides his favorite picks among all the golf odds for this tourney. Below, you’ll find the best odds across betting sites for each player.

A week after some easier conditions than we would have hoped to see test the world’s best at Valhalla, the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial CC is sure to pose a more stern test of all-around golf with the help of Gil Hanse’s ambitious restoration project.

It remains to be seen just how differently the new look Colonial CC will play in 2024. Despite the drastic overhaul needed to re-sod the entire property, the scorecard yardage has been left largely unchanged. We can infer, however, that Gil Hanse’s vision is to return the course to how it was originally intended to be played, which means we should expect total driving to go rewarded and off-target ball-striking to be penalized more this week than we have seen in recent years at this event.

Below, we’ll go through my final Charles Schwab Challenge bets. Click the odds anywhere in this article to place Charles Schwab Challenge wagers. For a full breakdown of the tournament and course, visit my Charles Schwab Challenge preview. 

Charles Schwab challenge ODDS: THE FAVORITES

Find the comparison table at the bottom of this post for Charles Schwab Challenge odds and the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state. Navigate to my longshots post for more golf DFS picks and considerations.

HOW I BUILT MY Charles Schwab Challenge BETTING CARD

This week is the closest I have come to betting my outrights in the “Without Scottie Scheffler” market, but what’s the fun in that? Assuming he doesn’t get arrested again in Fort Worth, Scheffler won’t see much resistance this week. He’s looked great here the last two years with a playoff loss and T3 finish and he is a head and shoulders talent above the rest of the players in this field. In fact, there is no other player available at 50-1 odds or shorter who has even won on the PGA TOUR this season.

And yet, I’ve still chosen to take Scottie Scheffler head-on, hoping one of these guys can put on their best Stephan Jaeger impression. I’ve put a little less stock behind course history, given the unknown of how differently Colonial will play post-renovation, instead focusing on players who are reliable total drivers and proven scramblers in difficult conditions.

From a unit allocation standpoint, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly stake at the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge.

• Outrights – 3.5U in to pay 25U each
• FRL – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
• Full Tournament Matchups – 1U in to pay out 2U
• Props – 1.5U in to pay out 3U+ each

Charles schwab challenge BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3.5 UNITS)

Max Homa

My Bet: +2400
Best Available Odds:

I do strongly believe Homa is the second-best player in the field this week and I would give him the best odds of anyone not named Scottie Scheffler to win this week, so he was the first bet I placed after seeing his odds fall beyond the 20-1 mark.

He’s had good results at Colonial in the past, highlighted by a T9 here last year, and has really rounded into form on difficult scoring venues with top-10s at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, The Masters, and the Wells Fargo Championship.

Golf Odds Boosts: All users get a 30% bet365 profit boost on any golfer to win this week. BetMGM is also offering a 25% odds boost for PGA TOUR betting.

Tony Finau

My Bet: +3200
Best Available Odds:

I’ve approached the outright market this week from the perspective of “Who’s A-game is capable of beating Scottie Scheffler’s B-game?”. Tony Finau is on a short list of players in this field that fit that bill, as we’ve seen him look unconscious when the putter cooperates, leading to stress-free wins at the Mexico Open and Houston Open last season.

Finau was dreadful on the greens last week, which is no surprise, but most encouragingly, he led the entire PGA Championship field in SG: Approach. He’ll need to gain on the greens to contend, but a pair of top-5 finishes at Colonial in his last five visits suggests he is comfortable around these grounds.

Sepp Straka

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

I’m reading between the lines with how I expect this fresh new version of Colonial CC will play, but from everything I can discern from Gil Hanse’s interviews and quotes, the goal of his ambitious renovation is to make poor shots feel more consequential. That leads me to a player like Sepp Straka who continues to consistently gain in Total Driving and SG: APP, with an impressive resume in difficult scoring conditions.

Straka ranks top-20 in Driving Accuracy, SG: APP, and Weighted Par-4 Scoring, and has three top-15 finishes in Majors since 2023.

Keegan Bradley

My Bet: +6600
Best Available Odds:

This is a bit a of.a feel play for me on what looks to be a great number for a player of Keegan’s pedigree. He’s fully capable of following the same blueprint that worked for Emiliano Grillo in his 2023 victory, leaning on consistent ball striking form leading in. He looked like his vintage self at Valhalla last week where he gained over 9 strokes ball striking, and has quietly put together a stretch of three top-25s over his last four starts.

Taylor Moore

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

One of my favorite value bets at the PGA Championship last week, I can’t help but stay onboard with Taylor Moore at this discounted price after his impressive T12 showing. Moore has a game fit for difficult scoring conditions, averaging positive strokes gained across all four categories. The Valspar Championship has proven to be a correlated course with success at Colonial CC, as Sam Burns recently validated with cross-over wins in 2022. We’ll see if 2023 Valspar Champion Taylor Moore can keep that crossover trend going this week.

Austin Eckroat

My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:

My featured spotlight player of the week, I was a little surprised to see Eckroat slip this far down the odds board, but will gladly take it. He looked great at Valhalla last week and finished T18, marking his third top-20 finish over his last four starts. He’s missed just one cut since picking up his maiden PGA TOUR victory at the Cognizant Classic in February and has proven course history here already with a T16 finish in his 2023 Charles Schwab Challenge debut.

Chan Kim

My Bet: +20000
Best Available Odds:

It’s a daunting task to ask a 200-1 longshot to beat Scottie Scheffler in a 72-hole tournament. But if someone’s going to do it, I’ll take my chances on a player like Kim who has demonstrated high win equity with seven international wins between the Japan Tour and Korn Ferry Tour since 2019.

Kim ranks top-20 in SG: Ball Striking over the last 36 rounds, and has already piled up four top-15 finishes in the debut PGA TOUR season.

Charles Schwab challenge BETS: FIRST-ROUND LEADER (0.5 UNITS)

Tom Hoge

My Bet: +5000
Best Available Odds:

I really want to believe the TCU alumni can win in Texas, but his history across the Texas Swing leaves too much to be desired. Even still, he’s got the hot hand ranking No. 2 behind Scottie Scheffler in terms of SG: APP, and would not surprise me to see a hot start on Thursday.

Keegan Bradley

My Bet: +6000
Best Available Odds:

I really like the fit for Keegan on this golf course and expect him to be able to separate from the field with his consistent ball-striking. He’s always a FRL consideration when showing good form and drifting beyond 60-1 odds.

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +7000
Best Available Odds:

It’s never really a decision whether or not to bet Aaron Rai FRL at this point, but it does feel comforting to know he ranked No. 2 overall in my model this week and looked impressive here last year with a T12 finish.

Lee Hodges

My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:

No. 2 in terms of SG: APP at the PGA Championship behind Tony Finau, was none other than Lee Hodges, He’s proven to be a streaky ball-striker who can ride the hot hand week over week, but his putter has also shown encouraging signs of life in recent weeks too.

Cam Davis

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

This is a bit of a disrespectful number on Cam Davis, as he could certainly be playing better golf, but hasn’t completely lost form by any means either. We’re not far removed from his top 15 at The Masters, and he has played well at this venue before, finishing T7 in 2022.

Charles Schwab Challenge BETS: PROPS (2.5 UNITS)

Full Tournament Matchup: Max Homa > Jordan Spieth
My Bet: +100

I understand the Spieth hype at Colonial CC completely. I bet him as a single bullet at single-digit odds here a few years ago when he fell runner-up to Jason Kokrak. But this is not the same Jordan Spieth nor the same Colonial CC, so I’m selling high on the course history premium.

Homa has been objectively better than Spieth across all categories for the better part of two years now and it remains to be seen if Spieth’s magic at Colonial CC can withstand all the changes it has seen over the last year.

Top-20 Finish: Keegan Bradley

My Bet: +250
Best Available Odds:

The lack of proven stars in this field combined with Keegan’s sustained ball-striking form over recent months draws me straight to him in the placement market. He’s been selective with the number of events he’s played this season, so I expect him to show up here on a business trip knowing his game suits the course well.

Top-20 Finish: Chan Kim

My Bet: +475
Best Available Odds:

With four top-15 finishes this season already, including one in Texas, Chan Kim has been golfing at an elevated level for too long to ignore. He’s a proven ball-striker and will just need a cooperative putter to get himself into the top-20 mix.

Golf Daily Fantasy Contests

Check out my golf DFS picks post for the Charles Schwab Challenge for Underdog drafts strategy, along with traditional DFS contests.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Max Homa

I managed to escape the West Coast Swing without using Homa yet, which means I’m starting to run out of viable options for him. As mentioned at the top, I give Homa a better chance than anyone not named Scottie Scheffler to win at Colonial CC, so considering he has already been used at a high rate in OAD, this selection is an easy choice for me.

If not Homa, I would also consider playing Collin Morikawa, Tony Finau, or Jordan Spieth in OAD.

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Charles Schwab challenge BETS: THE CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s PGA TOUR golf bets. Best of luck this week with your own Charles Schwab Challenge bets, and see you on Sunday for the RBC Canadian Open tournament preview.