The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 1, 2020, 1:41 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Chargers vs. Patriots props
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- The points total average for Chargers games this season is 52.5, 5.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
- Patriots games average 44 total points, three fewer than the total for this matchup.
- Chargers games have gone over 47 points on seven occasions this season (63.6% of matchups).
- New England’s contests have gone over 47 points on four occasions (36.4% of games).
- This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (46 points per game) is one fewer than the total for this contest.
- The Chargers are the 16th-highest scoring team in the NFL this year. The Patriots have scored the 27th-most points.
- These two teams combine to surrender 50.5 points per game, which is 3.5 greater than the total for this matchup.
- New England has allowed the 12th-fewest points in NFL play this season, while Los Angeles has given up the 25th-fewest.
Chargers Betting Insights
- Most of Los Angeles’ games this year — seven out of 11 — have hit the over (63.6%).
- Los Angeles has put together a 5-6 record against the spread this season.
- The Chargers are just 2-3 ATS when favored by at least one point.
Patriots Betting Insights
- Four of New England’s 11 games this year have gone over the point total (36.4% of its outings).
- New England has put together a 5-6 record against the spread this season.
- The Patriots are just 2-4 ATS when an underdog by at least one point.
When the Chargers Have the Ball
- The Patriots defense has allowed 23.2 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 25.2 the Chargers have scored.
- When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Los Angeles is 2-4 and 3-3 against the spread.
- New England is 4-1 overall and 4-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 23.2 points.
- The Patriots defense has given up an average of 352.5 yards per game so far this season, 45.3 yards fewer than the 397.8-yard average from the Chargers offense.
- On average, the Chargers gain 5.5 yards per play and the Patriots allow 6.
- In contests where the Los Angeles offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 2-3 against the spread and 1-4 overall.
- When the New England defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 3-3 against the spread and 3-3 overall.
- The Patriots defense has given up an average of 123.3 yards per game to opposing running games. That is 5.8 yards more than the rushing output per contest for the Chargers (117.2).
- When Los Angeles rushers gain at least a combined 117.2 yards this season, they are 2-3 overall and 3-2 against the spread.
- When New England limits opposing teams to 123.3 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
- This season, the Patriots have forced an average of 1.5 turnovers per game, compared to the 1.2 times Chargers have turned the football over in each contest.
- In games where they turn the football over 1.2 times or fewer this season, Los Angeles is 3-5 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
- New England’s record this season when they force more than 1.5 turnovers: 2-2 ATS, 2-2 overall.
When the Patriots Have the Ball
- The Patriots average 20.8 points per game, 6.5 fewer than the Chargers surrender per contest (27.3).
- New England is 4-2 against the spread and 4-2 overall a season ago when the team records at least 20.8 points.
- This season, Los Angeles has a 3-3 record against the spread and a 2-4 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 25.2 or fewer points.
- The Patriots average only 4.1 more yards per game (347), than the Chargers allow per contest (342.9). On average, the Patriots pick up 5.5 yards per play, while the Chargers give up 5.6 per play.
- Los Angeles’ record last season when they accumulated at least their season average in total yards: 4-2 overall and 2-1 ATS.
- Los Angeles has a 2-5 record ATS and a 3-4 record overall when holding its opponents to 342.9 yards or less.
- This season, the Patriots run for 29.1 more yards per game (149.6) than the Chargers allow per outing (120.5).
- When New England rushes for at least 149.6 yards, it had a 4-2 ATS record and a 4-2 overall record.
- Los Angeles is 2-4 against the spread and 1-5 overall when holding opponents to 120.5 rushing yards or less.
- This year, the Patriots turn the ball over 1.5 times per game, 0.4 more turnovers per game than the 1.1 the Chargers force on average.
- New England is 4-3 against the spread and 4-3 overall when it turns the ball over 1.5 or fewer times.
- This season, Los Angeles has a 1-1 record against the spread and a 1-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.1 turnovers.
Chargers Players to Watch
- Justin Herbert leads the team with 3,015 passing yards (301.5 yards per game) and has a 66.9% completion percentage this year (269-of-402) while throwing 23 touchdowns and seven interceptions. He also has 185 rushing yards on 41 carries with three touchdowns, averaging 18.5 yards per game.
- Rookie Joshua Kelley has rushed for 346 yards on 109 attempts (31.5 yards per game) while scoring two touchdowns.
- Austin Ekeler has 292 yards on 63 carries (58.4 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of five games. He also has 28 catches for 229 yards (45.8 ypg).
- This season, Keenan Allen has 85 catches (on 122 targets) to for 875 yards (79.5 per game) and seven touchdowns.
- Mike Williams has also tacked on 529 yards on 32 grabs with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 57 times and averages 52.9 receiving yards per game over 10 matchups this year.
- This year, Hunter Henry has caught 48 passes on 75 targets for 502 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 45.6 receiving yards per game.
- Joey Bosa has 7.5 sacks, 14 TFL and 28 tackles over nine games.
- So far this year, Rayshawn Jenkins has totaled 69 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception.
- Michael Davis has intercepted two passes to lead the team while adding 44 tackles, one TFL, and nine passes defended.
Patriots Players to Watch
- This year, Cam Newton has recorded 1,984 passing yards (180.4 yards per game) while going 178-for-266 (66.9% completion percentage) and throwing four touchdowns and nine interceptions. He has added 387 rushing yards on 92 carries with nine touchdowns, averaging 35.2 yards per game.
- Damien Harris has racked up a team-high 561 rushing yards (70.1 yards per game) and scored two touchdowns in eight games.
- This season, Damiere Byrd has 35 catches (on 55 targets) to lead the team with 502 yards (45.6 per game) with one touchdown.
- Jakobi Meyers’ statline this year shows 36 catches for 443 yards. He averages 49.2 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 47 times.
- James White has racked up 266 yards on 34 passes, averaging 29.6 yards per game on 42 targets.
- Chase Winovich has registered 3.5 sacks, four TFL, and 34 tackles this season.
- This year, Adrian Phillips has racked up 70 tackles, five TFL, and two interceptions.
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