Chargers vs. Broncos: Week 16 NFL Betting Preview – December 27, 2020

Posted By Staff on December 23, 2020

The Los Angeles Chargers (5-9) host the Denver Broncos (5-9) on Sunday, December 27, in a matchup between AFC West foes at SoFi Stadium. Los Angeles is favored by  and the over/under is set at .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 22, 2020, 1:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chargers vs Broncos Betting Odds

Chargers vs Broncos Props

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Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Chargers games average 51.1 total points per game this season, equal to the over/under for this matchup.
  • Games involving the Broncos this year have averaged 47.9 points per game, a 0.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
  • Chargers games have gone over 48.5 points on eight occasions this season (57.1% of matchups).
  • Denver’s games have gone over 48.5 points on seven occasions (50% of games).
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (43.1 points per game) is 5.4 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • The Chargers score the 21st-most points in the league this season, while the Broncos’ offense puts up the 28th-most.
  • These two teams allow a combined 56 points per game, 7.5 higher than the total for this matchup.
  • Denver has surrendered the 27th-fewest points in NFL play this season, while Los Angeles has given up the 26th-fewest.
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Chargers Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles’ games have hit the over in eight out of 14 outings this season (57.1%).
  • Los Angeles has compiled a 7-7 record against the spread this season.
  • The Chargers are just 1-2 ATS when playing as at least 4.0-point favorites.

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver’s games have gone over the point total in seven out of 14 opportunities this season (50%).
  • Denver has an 8-6 record against the spread.

Chargers vs Broncos: Head to Head

Chargers vs Broncos: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/1/2020 Chargers Broncos -3.00 44.00 -175 +150 485-351 LAC 31-30 DEN
12/1/2019 Chargers Broncos -4.5 38.5 -220 +190 359-218 LAC 23-20 DEN
10/6/2019 N/A Chargers N/A N/A N/A N/A 350-246 DEN 20-13 DEN

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Chargers Have the Ball

  • The Chargers have averaged 4.8 fewer points per game this season (23.4) than the Broncos have allowed (28.2).
  • When they meet or exceed their scoring average this season, Los Angeles is 3-4 and 4-3 against the spread.
  • When the Denver defense allows 28.2 points or fewer this year, the Broncos have accumulated a 4-4 overall record and a 7-1 record against the spread.
  • The Broncos defense has given up an average of 364.7 yards per game this season, 19.7 yards fewer than the 384.4 the Chargers offense has averaged.
  • The Chargers pick up 5.4 yards per play while the Broncos allow 5.5 per play.
  • In contests where the Los Angeles offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 3-3 against the spread and 2-4 overall.
  • When Denver allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 3-5 against the spread and 3-5 overall this season.
  • The Broncos have allowed opposing rushing attacks to average 134.6 yards per game, compared to the 111.4 yards the Chargers offense has averaged on the ground per contest.
  • When Los Angeles rushers gain at least a combined 111.4 yards this season, they are 2-4 overall and 3-3 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Denver defense allows opponents to pick up less than 134.6 yards on the ground, they are 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall.
  • This season, the Broncos have forced an average of 0.9 turnovers per game, compared to the 1.1 times Chargers have turned the football over in each contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, Los Angeles is 5-5 overall and 6-4 against the spread.
  • Denver is 4-4 against the spread and 3-5 overall this season when they force at least 0.9 turnovers in a game.

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos rack up 19.7 points per game, 8.1 fewer than the Chargers allow per contest (27.8).
  • Denver is 5-1 against the spread and 4-2 overall a season ago when the team scores at least 19.7 points.
  • This season, Los Angeles has a 4-3 record against the spread and a 3-4 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 23.4 or fewer points.
  • The Broncos rack up 21.7 fewer yards per game (323.4), than the Chargers give up per contest (345.1). On average, the Broncos gain 5.2 yards per play, while the Chargers allow 5.6 per play.
  • Los Angeles has a 3-6 record ATS and a 4-5 record overall when holding its opponents to 345.1 yards or less.
  • This season, the Broncos average 118.8 rushing yards per game, just five fewer yards per game than the Chargers allow per outing (123.8).
  • Denver has a 3-2 ATS record and a 2-3 overall record when the team rushes for at least 118.8 yards.
  • This season, Los Angeles is 4-4 against the spread and 3-5 overall when holding opponents to no more than 123.8 rushing yards.
  • The Broncos turn the ball over 2.1 times per game, one more turnover per game than the 1.1 the Chargers force on average.
  • Denver is 7-3 against the spread and 4-6 overall when it turns the ball over 2.1 or fewer times.
  • This season, Los Angeles has a 2-1 record against the spread and a 2-1 record overall when it forces at least 1.1 turnovers.

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Chargers Players to Watch

  • Justin Herbert leads the team with 3,781 passing yards (290.8 yards per game) and has a 66.5% completion percentage this year (353-of-531) while throwing 27 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in 13 games. He also has 199 rushing yards on 45 carries with four touchdowns, averaging 15.3 yards per game.
  • Austin Ekeler has rushed for 467 yards on 99 carries (58.4 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in eight games. He also averages 43.4 receiving yards per game, grabbing 45 passes for 347 yards.
  • In 13 games, Joshua Kelley has rushed for 354 yards on 111 carries (27.2 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Keenan Allen has hauled in 100 passes to lead the team with 992 yards while scoring eight touchdowns. He has been targeted 147 times and averages 70.9 yards per game.
  • Hunter Henry has added 613 yards on 60 catches with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 92 times and averages 43.8 receiving yards per game.
  • Mike Williams has caught 38 passes on 68 targets for 594 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 45.7 yards per game in 13 contests.
  • Joey Bosa has 7.5 sacks to lead the team, and has also added 15 TFL and 38 tackles over 12 games.
  • This season, Kenneth Murray has totaled 96 tackles, five TFL, and one sack.
  • Michael Davis has a team-high three interceptions and has tacked on 50 tackles, two TFL, and 12 passes defended.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • This year, Drew Lock has put up 2,330 passing yards (194.2 yards per game) while going 205-for-355 (57.7% completion percentage) and throwing 14 touchdowns and 13 interceptions in 12 games. He has added a 138 rushing yards on 37 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 11.5 yards per game.
  • Melvin Gordon III has taken 173 attempts for a team-leading 814 rushing yards (62.6 yards per game) while scoring eight touchdowns in 13 games.
  • Phillip Lindsay has 502 yards on 118 carries (45.6 ypg), with one rushing touchdown over the course of 11 games.
  • Tim Patrick has been targeted 71 times and has 46 catches to lead the team with 657 yards (50.5 ypg) while scoring six touchdowns in 13 games this season.
  • Jerry Jeudy’s statline this year shows 41 catches for 655 yards and two touchdowns. He averages 46.8 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 91 times.
  • Noah Fant has collected 560 yards on 52 passes with three touchdowns in 2020, averaging 43.1 yards per game on 78 targets in 13 contests.
  • Bradley Chubb has notched a team-leading 7.5 sacks, while adding eight TFL and 42 tackles.
  • This season, Alexander Johnson has racked up 107 tackles, four TFL, and one sack.
  • Justin Simmons leads the team with four interceptions and has added 89 tackles, two TFL, and seven passes defended.

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