Chargers vs. Broncos: NFL Betting Preview – November 1, 2020

Posted By Staff on October 27, 2020 - Last Updated on October 30, 2020

The Denver Broncos (2-4) are 3.5-point underdogs in an AFC West matchup against the Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) on Sunday, November 1, at Empower Field at Mile High. The contest’s over/under is set at 45.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 30. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Information

Total Facts

  • The points total average for Chargers games this season is 50.5– 5.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • Games involving the Broncos this year have averaged 44.8 points per game–  0.2 points more than the over/under for this contest.
  • Chargers games have gone over 45 points on three occasions this season.
  • Denver’s games have also gone over 45 points on three occasions.
  • This year’s combined scoring average for these two teams (44.1 points per game) is 0.9 fewer than the total for this contest.
  • The Chargers score the 21st-most points in the NFL this season, while the Broncos’ offense scores the 28th-most.
  • These two teams combine to allow 51.2 points per game, which is 6.2 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • Denver has surrendered the 16th-fewest points in the league this season, while Los Angeles has given up the 18th-fewest.
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Chargers Betting Insights

  • Los Angeles is 5-1 against the spread.
  • The Chargers have an ATS record of 1-1 when favored by at least three points.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the point total in three of six opportunities this season.

Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver’s games have gone over the point total in three out of six opportunities this season.
  • Denver has put together a 4-2 record against the spread this season.

Chargers vs Broncos: Head to Head

Chargers vs Broncos: Last 2 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/1/2019 Chargers Broncos -4.5 38.5 -220 +190 359-218 LAC 23-20 DEN
10/6/2019 N/A Chargers N/A N/A N/A N/A 350-246 DEN 20-13 DEN

When the Chargers Have the Ball

  • The Chargers average points scored this season (24.8) and the Broncos points allowed (25.5) are within 0.7 points of each other.
  • In games where Los Angeles score at least 24.8 points this season, they are 1-2 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • Denver is 1-1 overall and 2-0 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 25.5 points.
  • The Broncos defense has given up an average of 339.2 yards per game so far this season– 66.6 yards fewer than the 405.8-yard average from the Chargers offense.
  • On average, the Chargers gain 5.8 yards per play and the Broncos allow 5.2.
  • When Los Angeles offense totals at least their average yard output this season, they are 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall.
  • When the Denver defense allows less than their season average for total yards, they are 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • The Chargers have averaged 124.5 yards per game on the ground this season– 15.5 yards more than the Broncos have allowed to opposing rushing attacks (109).
  • When Los Angeles rushes for at least their season average, they are 2-1 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • This season, when the Denver defense allows opponents to pick up less than 109 yards on the ground, they are 1-2 against the spread and 0-3 overall.
  • The Chargers have turned the ball over 1.2 times per game this season, while the Broncos have averaged one takeaway per contest.
  • When Los Angeles turns the football over 1.2 times or fewer this season, they are 2-2 overall and 4-0 against the spread.
  • Denver is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 overall this season when they force at least one turnover in a game.

When the Broncos Have the Ball

  • The Broncos average 6.4 fewer points per game (19.3) than the Chargers allow (25.7).
  • When Denver puts up at least 19.3 points, it is 2-0 against the spread and 1-1 overall.
  • This season, Los Angeles has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 1-2 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 24.8 or fewer points.
  • The Broncos collect 43.4 fewer yards per game (322.8), than the Chargers allow per outing (366.2). The Broncos average 4.9 yards per play, while the Chargers give up 5.6 per play.
  • Los Angeles has a 2-1 record ATS and a 2-1 record overall when holding its opponents to 366.2 yards or less.
  • This season, the Broncos average 113.7 rushing yards per game, just 0.7 more yards per game than the Chargers allow per outing (113).
  • When Denver runs for at least 113.7 yards, it compiled a 2-1 ATS record and a 2-1 overall record.
  • Los Angeles is 1-1 against the spread and 0-2 overall when holding opponents to 113 rushing yards or less.
  • The Broncos turn the ball over 2.3 times per game, 1.5 more turnovers per game than the 0.8 the Chargers force on average.
  • Denver has a 3-1 record against the spread and a 1-3 record overall when it turns the ball over 2.3 times or less.
  • When it forces 0.8 or more turnovers, Los Angeles has a 4-0 record against the spread and a 2-2 record overall.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • Justin Herbert has 1,542 passing yards (308.4 yards per game), 12 touchdowns, and three picks and has a 67.4% completion percentage this year (124-of-184) in five games. He also has 121 rushing yards on 25 carries with two touchdowns, averaging 24.2 yards per game.
  • Rookie Joshua Kelley has ran for 232 yards on 75 attempts (38.7 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown in six games. He also averages 19.5 receiving yards per game, grabbing 13 passes for 117 yards.
  • Keenan Allen has hauled in 44 passes to lead the team with 481 yards while scoring two touchdowns. He has been targeted 64 times and averages 80.2 yards per game over six outings.
  • Hunter Henry has added 25 catches for 291 yards and one touchdown in six games. He puts up 48.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 41 times.
  • Joey Bosa has collected 4.5 sacks, seven TFL, and 16 tackles over six games.
  • Kyzir White has totaled 54 tackles, three TFL, and 0.5 sacks this season.
  • Melvin Ingram has a team-high one interception and has tacked on two passes defended three in games this season.

Broncos Players to Watch

  • This year, Drew Lock has thrown for 679 yards (169.8 yards per game), one touchdown, and four picks while going 57-for-102 (55.9% completion percentage) in four games.
  • Melvin Gordon has picked up 349 rushing yards (69.8 yards per game) and four touchdowns in five games.
  • Philip Lindsay has 204 yards on 39 carries (68 ypg) over the course of three games.
  • This season, Tim Patrick has 23 catches (33 targets) for 354 yards (59 per game) and two touchdowns in six games.
  • In his rookie season, Jerry Jeudy has 19 catches for 286 yards and a touchdown, averaging 47.7 receiving yards per game.
  • Noah Fant has added 257 yards on 22 passes with two touchdowns in 2020, averaging 51.4 yards per game on 34 targets.
  • Bradley Chubb has 4.5 sacks, five TFL, and 17 tackles over six games.
  • So far this year, A.J. Johnson has collected 47 tackles, two TFL, and one sack.
  • Justin Simmons has one interception, 39 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended six in games.

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