Now that the dust has settled on Champions League odds for the first leg of the quarterfinals last week, the remaining quarterfinalists in action will be called upon again Wednesday with 3 p.m. ET kickoffs for those watching in the United States. Advantages may have been earned in the first 90 minutes, but there are still at least another 90 to go.
On Wednesday, Manchester City will think it was a job done at the Etihad but you can never rule out Bayern Munich in front of their own support. A simultaneous kickoff features Benfica having to do things the hard way after going 2-0 down to Inter Milan in the first leg.
Inter Milan vs. Benfica: Leg 2 Odds
Aggregate Score: Inter 2, Benfica 0
Bettors should be aware during the Champions League knockout rounds that the three-way moneyline is only for 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If the aggregate-goal score after two legs is tied, there will be two 15-minute periods of extra time. However, it’s possible for a Champions League match to go to extra time with a Leg 2 score that was not tied. In this case, three-way moneyline bets for Leg 2 are graded for the team that leads after 90 minutes.
If you are looking for a moneyline bet that pays out on the team to move on to the next round, look for “To Advance” or “To Qualify” props at your sportsbook.
Inter vs. Benfica Expected Goals
Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several factors, including shot type, shot angle and distance from goal. Similarly, expected goals allowed (xGA) measure the quality of a team’s defense.
Champions League Today: Inter vs. Benfica Best Bets
- Inter Milan Win and Under 2.5 Total Goals +360
A 2-0 win in Lisbon was certainly a turn-up for the books but it was Inter Milan who wrote the story against Benfica. Not only do they have that first-leg advantage in their back pocket but they also have home advantage for the second.
This means Simone Inzaghi’s men do not have to go too crazy if at all at the San Siro. A routine victory and an Italian defensive masterclass is how you would expect this to all pan out and this is exactly what I am expecting in a few days.
Benfica had their wings clipped in the Portuguese capital and you do wonder how much they have left in the tank after a great run in this season’s Champions League. Unfortunately for them, I think it will be the end of the road as I back the home win and under 2.5.
- Exact Score: Inter Milan 1-0 +675
Not only do I think that Inter will earn victory and goals will be at a premium, but I also believe that the blue and black half of Milan will win by the narrowest of margins. This tie is already on life support, now the Nerazzurri will look to choke Benfica out of the game.
Something that they managed when fellow Portuguese outfit Porto arrived at the San Siro in the Round of 16. It was a 1-0 home win that evening – albeit the visitors were reduced to 10 men but the history books do not care for disciplinary matters.
While the sportsbooks are seemingly not caring about Benfica and their ability to score on Italian soil. Another 1-0 home win is priced at +650 before the game gets underway and in my eyes, this is worth some serious consideration.
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Bayern Munich vs. Manchester City: Leg 2 Odds
Aggregate Score: Bayern 0, Man City 3
Bayern vs. Man City Expected Goals
Champions League Today: Bayern vs. Manchester City Best Bets
- Bayern to win
After their mauling in Manchester, Bayern Munich is certainly going to have to roll the dice at the Allianz Arena. Three goals down as far as the tie is concerned and now Thomas Tuchel’s men are hanging on by a thread.
Hanging on, but not completely out of the equation either, and with no other choice to go for it, I can see the German giants managing to win the second leg. However, winning the second leg and making further tournament progress are two totally different things.
With such a healthy cushion to soften their journey across the continent, Manchester City does not have to go for broke and can afford a slender victory – especially if some of their key names are rested beforehand.
- Over 3.5 Goals +152
If Bayern Munich is to have any chance of overturning their current deficit, they are going to have to score at least three goals at the Allianz Arena and that is before we consider Manchester City’s own attacking threat.
A threat that can be explained in two words: Erling Haaland. The Norwegian’s appetite for goals is not going to be quashed just because of a monstrous performance in the first leg and therefore, the former Borussia Dortmund man is always going to help any total tally.
This is why I have opted for at least four total goals to be scored in Germany on Wednesday. Admittedly I thought the first leg was going to be a tactical masterclass but I was proved wrong. Now I am hoping the return is nothing short of all-out attacking warfare.