Champions League: PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds, Picks & Predictions

We’ve reached the semifinals of the UEFA Champions League and it brings a clash between sides from the German Bundsliga and the French Ligue 1. Bayern Munich makes the trip to face Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of the two-leg series at Parc des Princes in Paris Tuesday night. We have you covered with our best Bayern Munich vs. Paris Saint-Germain best bets.

Bayern Munich outgunned Mainz 4-3 on the road in Bundesliga action their last time out, which came Saturday. Paris Saint-Germain rolled to a 3-0 blanking of Angers on the road in a Ligue 1 fixture Saturday. In the head-to-head matchups between the sides in Champions League play, Bayern Munich owns a 9-6-0 advantage. That includes a 1-0 victory on Day 5 of league play in the 2024/25 Champions League. Let’s take a look and give you our top Bayern  Munich vs. Paris Saint-Germain betting tips.

Bayern Munich Seeking to Set the Tone

Bayern Munich ran their mark to 17 wins and two draws in their last 19 matches overall as they downed Mainz on the road Saturday. Die Roten stand atop the Bundesliga with a record of 26 wins, 4 draws and one loss. They stand 15 points clear of Borussia Dortmund for the top spot.

Against Mainz, Bayern was sluggish in the opening half but got in gear after intermission. Die Roten used a spirited rally and kept their unbeaten string alive. Bayern trailed 3-0 at the half before turning things around in the second half. Nicolas Jackson got Die Roten on the board in the 53rd minute to make it a 3-1 score. Later, in the 73rd minute, Michael Olise tallied a goal to cut the margin to 3-2 as time ticked down in the match.

Jamal Musiala, who came on as a sub in the contest, knotted the score in the 80th minute by scoring from close range. Just three minutes later, Harry Kane, who came off the bench at the half, scored his 33rd goal of the league season in the 83rd minute. His marker, from six yards out, gave Die Roten the lead. They didn’t relinquish it the rest of the way to earn the victory, despite Mainz’s best efforts to tally the equalizer.

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Paris Saint-Germain Looking to Defend Home Turf

Paris Saint-Germain won for the eighth time in their last nine matches as they posted a clean sheet on the road against Angers Saturday in Ligue 1 action. PSG ran their record in Ligue 1 to 22 wins, three draws and five losses on the year. They own a six-point lead over Lens for the top spot in the league.

Against Angers, Paris Saint-Germain had an early chance only for keeper Herve Koffi to be up to the task. Less than a minute after that opportunity, Lee Kang-in gave PSG the 1-0 advantage in the seventh minute. Paris Saint-Germain maintained their pressure and eventually took a 2-0 advantage in the 39th minute on a goal by Senny Mayulu.

In the second half, PSG kept pressing and it paid dividends. Lucas Beraldo headed in a cross from Lee in the 52nd minute for a 3-0 advantage. Paris Saint-Germain continued to control the contest and didn’t let Angers make a push. They were stingy defensively even after Gonçalo Ramos was handed a red card in the 74th minute. Paris Saint-Germain held a 17-6 edge in shot attempts and a 10-1 margin in shots on goal in the victory.

Bayern Munich vs. Paris Saint-Germain Prediction

We’ve got a matchup of a pair of sides that have no problem scoring goals. Bayern Munich owned a +14 goal differential in league play of the Champions League. Meanwhile, PSG was a +10 in that department. PSG is a +11 in goal differential in the knockout stages. On the flip side, Bayern Munich is a +11 as well entering this one. While we know the teams can score, this match may be a bit more defensively oriented than one might expect. Bayern had just four shots on target in the first leg against Real Madrid in the quarterfinals. PSG kept Liverpool from recording a shot on target and just three shot attempts in the first leg at Parc des Princes. Therefore, this screams a defensive struggle. Take the shocking under as a result.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals (+225, FanDuel) or Under 3.5 Goals (-112, FanDuel)

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