Cardinals Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 17, 2022

Written By Staff on July 17, 2022

Nolan Arenado is just three hits away from his 100th of the season as his St. Louis Cardinals (50-44) get ready for a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds (34-57) on Sunday at 2:15 PM ET. St. Louis (-173 to win) has Steven Matz starting things off, while Cincinnati (+146) counters Graham Ashcraft.

The insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 17, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET.

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Cardinals vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Matz (STL) Pitcher Ashcraft (CIN)
3 – 3 W/L 4 – 2
37.1 IP 54.2
6.03 ERA 4.45
1.393 WHIP 1.354
10.6 K/9 5.3
1.9 BB/9 2

Cardinals Probable Starter Steven Matz

  • Matz gets the start for the Cardinals, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 6.03 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday, May 22 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the lefty went zero scoreless innings without allowing a hit.
  • In nine games this season, the 31-year-old has a 6.03 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .284 to his opponents.
  • Matz is trying to pick up his third quality start of the season in this game.
  • The opposing Reds offense has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.377) and ranks 22nd in MLB play with 84 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 19th in MLB with 724 total hits and 18th in MLB action scoring 390 runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Matz

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Joey Votto 9 .444 4 0 0 .500 .944
Brandon Drury 8 .500 4 1 2 .500 1.375
Tommy Pham 7 .571 4 1 2 .727 1.727
Kyle Farmer 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Donovan Solano 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Nick Senzel 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Matt Reynolds 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Reds Probable Starter Graham Ashcraft

  • The Reds’ Ashcraft (4-2) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Tuesday.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 4.45, a 2.667 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.354.
  • He has five quality starts in 10 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals have scored 431 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They are batting .251 for the campaign with 99 home runs, 14th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 17, 2022 at 1:35 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cardinals Stats vs Ashcraft

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Brendan Donovan 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Nolan Gorman 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
Tommy Edman 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
Tyler O’Neill 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Albert Pujols 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 1.000
Nolan Arenado 3 .333 1 1 2 .333 1.666
Andrew Knizner 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cardinals Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have won 30 of the 46 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (65.2%).
  • St. Louis has a record of 8-4 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -173 or shorter (66.7%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Cardinals’ implied win probability is 63.4%.
  • In the 94 games bookmakers have set an over/under for St. Louis, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-46-4).
  • The Cardinals have collected a 50-44-0 record ATS this season.
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Reds Betting Trends

  • This season, the Reds have been the underdog 72 times and won 27, or 37.5%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has entered 38 games this season as the underdog by +146 or more and is 13-25 in those contests.
  • The Reds have a 40.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 50 of their 91 opportunities.
  • The Reds are 42-49-0 against the spread in their 91 chances this season.

Cardinals Players to Watch

  • Paul Goldschmidt has 112 hits with a .414 on-base percentage and a .590 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Cardinals. He is batting .330 with 28 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Goldschmidt ranks second in batting average, second in on base percentage, and fifth in slugging among the qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Arenado is hitting .293 with 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Arenado’s batting average ranks 24th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 31st, and he is 13th in the league in slugging.
  • Tommy Edman is batting .259 with 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 31 walks.
  • Dylan Carlson is hitting .257 with 19 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 25 walks.

Cardinals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Edman 363 .259 64 7 33 .322 .699
Paul Goldschmidt 339 .330 64 20 70 .414 1.004
Nolan Arenado 331 .293 41 18 59 .359 .885
Dylan Carlson 261 .257 32 5 26 .325 .735
Brendan Donovan 216 .287 29 2 30 .395 .784
Tyler O’Neill 175 .240 23 4 28 .301 .655
Nolan Gorman 162 .241 26 9 22 .320 .764
Andrew Knizner 150 .207 11 1 17 .300 .560
Albert Pujols 149 .215 17 6 20 .302 .678
Corey Dickerson 119 .202 15 3 15 .256 .575

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury has 86 hits and an OBP of .336 to go with a slugging percentage of .528. All three of those stats rank first among Cincinnati hitters this season.
  • Among all qualified batters, Drury is 39th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 63rd, and he is 11th in slugging percentage.
  • Tommy Pham is slugging .391 while driving in 36 runs and batting .242 this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Pham’s batting average places him 102nd, his on-base percentage is 74th, and he is 109th in slugging.
  • Kyle Farmer has 72 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .336.
  • Tyler Stephenson has been key for Cincinnati with 53 hits, an OBP of .372 plus a slugging percentage of .482.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 309 .278 56 18 52 .336 .864
Tommy Pham 302 .242 53 11 36 .330 .721
Kyle Farmer 273 .264 31 6 46 .336 .728
Joey Votto 236 .216 24 6 30 .327 .700
Nick Senzel 215 .260 29 3 18 .319 .649
Tyler Naquin 171 .240 25 6 26 .305 .732
Tyler Stephenson 166 .319 24 6 35 .372 .854
Matt Reynolds 159 .252 26 3 15 .330 .695
Jonathan India 156 .231 16 4 15 .290 .636
Dónovan Solano 73 .288 7 1 6 .358 .755

Cardinals vs Reds Player Props

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