Cardinals Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 16, 2022

Written By Staff on July 16, 2022

Nolan Arenado is just three hits away from his 100th of the season as his St. Louis Cardinals (49-44) get ready for a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds (34-56) on Saturday at 2:15 PM ET. St. Louis (-181 to win) has Miles Mikolas starting things off, and Cincinnati (+154) will counter with Nick Lodolo.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of July 16, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET.

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Cardinals vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Mikolas (STL) Pitcher Lodolo (CIN)
6 – 7 W/L 2 – 2
113.1 IP 24.1
2.62 ERA 4.44
0.979 WHIP 1.603
7 K/9 12.2
1.7 BB/9 3.3

Cardinals Probable Starter Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas (6-7) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.62 ERA in 113 1/3 innings pitched, with 88 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s last time out was on Monday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 33-year-old has a 2.62 ERA and 7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .212 to opposing batters.
  • Mikolas is aiming to notch his third quality start in a row in this game.
  • The opposing Reds offense has a collective .241 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 720 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 387 runs scored. It has the 25th-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 22nd in home runs (83) in all of MLB.
  • The 33-year-old ranks 10th in ERA (2.62), 10th in WHIP (.979), and 54th in K/9 (7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 16, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Mikolas

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Joey Votto 21 .190 4 1 4 .250 .679
Jonathan India 5 .400 2 1 2 .400 1.400
Nick Senzel 5 .200 1 1 1 .200 1.000
Max Schrock 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500
Tyler Naquin 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Kyle Farmer 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Tommy Pham 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Donovan Solano 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Reds Probable Starter Nick Lodolo

  • The Reds will send Lodolo (2-2) to the mound for his sixth start this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.44 and 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .297 in five games this season.
  • None of Lodolo’s five starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
  • The Cardinals are batting .250 this season, eighth in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .401 (12th in the league) with 97 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 16, 2022 at 1:31 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Cardinals Stats vs Lodolo

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Edman 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tyler O’Neill 3 .333 1 0 1 .333 1.000
Nolan Arenado 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Paul Goldschmidt 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.667
Dylan Carlson 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.500
Edmundo Sosa 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Albert Pujols 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Cardinals Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have compiled a 29-16 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 64.4% of those games).
  • In games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -181 or shorter, St. Louis has a 6-4 record (winning 60% of its games).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Cardinals have an implied win probability of 64.4%.
  • St. Louis has played in 93 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 43 times (43-46-4).
  • The Cardinals have put together a 49-44-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.7% of the time).
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Reds Betting Trends

  • This season, the Reds have won 27 out of the 71 games, or 38%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Cincinnati is 9-20 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +154 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 39.4%.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 49 of their 90 chances.
  • The Reds are 42-48-0 ATS in their 90 games with a spread this season.

Cardinals Players to Watch

  • Paul Goldschmidt has racked up 110 hits with a .414 on-base percentage and a .584 slugging percentage, all club-bests for the Cardinals. He is batting .329 with 28 doubles, 19 home runs and 47 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters in MLB action, Goldschmidt’s batting average ranks second, his on-base percentage ranks second, and he is fifth in the league in slugging.
  • Arenado has 21 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 33 walks while batting .293.
  • Among qualifiers, Arenado ranks 24th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
  • Tommy Edman has 16 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 30 walks while hitting .257.
  • Dylan Carlson has 19 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 25 walks while hitting .259.

Cardinals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Edman 358 .257 61 7 33 .319 .696
Paul Goldschmidt 334 .329 63 19 67 .414 .998
Nolan Arenado 331 .293 41 18 59 .359 .885
Dylan Carlson 255 .259 31 5 25 .329 .737
Brendan Donovan 213 .286 28 2 29 .391 .781
Tyler O’Neill 172 .238 23 4 28 .293 .648
Nolan Gorman 161 .236 25 9 22 .317 .758
Andrew Knizner 146 .205 11 1 17 .297 .557
Albert Pujols 145 .214 15 6 20 .299 .678
Corey Dickerson 119 .202 15 3 15 .256 .575

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury has 85 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .531, both of which lead Cincinnati hitters this season.
  • Among all the qualifying hitters in MLB, Drury’s batting average ranks 38th, his on-base percentage ranks 65th, and he is 10th in slugging percentatge.
  • Tommy Pham has collected 73 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .330.
  • Pham is currently 103rd in batting average, 76th in on-base percentage and 111th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
  • Kyle Farmer leads Cincinnati with an OBP of .339 this season while batting .267 with 20 walks and 31 runs scored.
  • Tyler Stephenson has been key for Cincinnati with 53 hits, an OBP of .380 plus a slugging percentage of .494.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Drury 305 .279 56 18 51 .337 .868
Tommy Pham 302 .242 53 11 36 .330 .721
Kyle Farmer 270 .267 31 6 46 .339 .735
Joey Votto 232 .216 24 6 30 .328 .703
Nick Senzel 214 .262 28 3 18 .318 .650
Tyler Naquin 168 .244 25 6 26 .306 .741
Tyler Stephenson 162 .327 24 6 35 .380 .874
Matt Reynolds 158 .253 26 3 15 .331 .698
Jonathan India 153 .229 15 3 14 .285 .612
Dónovan Solano 70 .286 7 1 6 .351 .751

Cardinals vs Reds Player Props

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