Despite sportsbook executives all but conceding on California sports betting passing in 2022, a new poll reveals growing momentum. Both Prop 26 and Prop 27 have seen an uptick in support. In order to pass, one of these bills requires more than 50% of the total votes.
Even with the increase, neither measure sees 50%, according to the new poll.
Sports Betting Hopes Continue
The poll was conducted by the San Diego Union-Tribune and KGTV 10News. 43% of potential voters support Prop 26, the tribal bill, and 32% support Prop 27, the online sportsbooks bill. This is an increase compared to an earlier survey by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies.
In the Berkley poll, just 31% supported Prop 26 with 27% supporting Prop 27. This indicates either a growing interest in a California sports betting market or just represents a different voter base. The KGTV poll had more voters who bet on sports regularly as well as understand the differences between the two bills.
During G2E 2022, DraftKings CEO Jason Robins did state that more time was needed. Voters could better understand the measures in 2024 than they would ahead of the November 2022 ballot. The difference in the results of the two polls supports Robins’ beliefs.
What This Means
The results of the KGTV poll should raise some optimism for CA sports betting. It indicates that sports bettors support both measures while those who are not betting fans oppose. This means that if more sports betting fans show up in November, one of the measures, likely Prop 26 based on the poll, could pass.
However, neither proposition is polling for over 50%. Lawmakers are still preparing to make a push for California in 2024 should the measures fail in November. Since campaigning began for these measures, no poll has shown overwhelming support for the California betting market.
There are still several weeks for officials to raise awareness and campaign in favor of their respective measures. California is the most populated state in the US, so no poll can truly represent the masses with small sample sizes. The next few weeks will be crucial for the California sports betting market.