CAA Tournament Odds: Top-Seeded Hofstra Not Favored In Betting Market

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 3, 2023
CAA Tournament odds

The CAA men’s basketball tournament tips off on Friday, and one of 13 programs will punch its ticket to the Big Dance. We’ll take a look at all of the pertinent 2023 CAA Tournament odds (courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook), schedule, and how you can watch. It all begins on March 3, yet Charleston — the favorite to win the tournament — won’t take the court until Sunday.

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CAA Tournament Odds

(Eastern Time)
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UNC Wilmington
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North Carolina A&T
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William & Mary
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Stony Brook
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Tournament Notes

As seen in the odds table above, No. 2 seed Charleston — not one-seed Hofstra — is priced at -115 to make its first March Madness appearance since 2018. That’s good for a 52.38% implied probability. A conference tournament title would signify Pat Kelce’s return to the dance after guiding Winthrop there in 2021.

Kelce’s team, this time around, is a true offensive threat on a national scale, tallying the 57th-rated adjusted efficiency in that regard (per KenPom). They’re hoisting up the ninth-highest 3-point rate to boot while converting at a 34.7% clip.

The 6-foot-4 Dolton Bolon isn’t a hyper-efficient marksman (32.3%), yet he’s still their primary scoring threat on a team with five players averaging double figures.

These Cougars also boast a top-10 ShotQuality half-court defense, but there’s potential negative regression looming. Keep in mind, they’re surrendering a 31.0% 3-point percentage despite their below-average ranking in open perimeter shots allowed.

Enter the aforementioned Pride, which knocked off Charleston in its lone regular season meeting on Jan. 28. That victory was the tiebreaker for the league’s regular season title. Speedy Claxton’s bunch has a well-balanced scoring distribution from inside and beyond the arc. Senior guards Aaron Estrada and Tyler Thomas represent three-level playmakers, with Estrada gifted consecutive CAA player of the year honors.

Additionally, the Pride have an ideal path in the tournament, only set to face one of Charleston or Towson — en route to another championship.

Nevertheless, I’d rather take a shot with the No. 3 seed — not just because of their juicier price tag. The Tigers were swept by Charleston this season, yet both games were extremely competitive, including one overtime session. Nicholas Timberlake & Co. exploited the Cougars’ perimeter defense in each matchup, too, shooting a combined 48.5% from the perimeter.

Most importantly, Pat Skerry’s team showcases a bottom-50 adjusted tempo, which is the antithesis of Charleston and Hofstra’s preferred pace. That’s a key to generating high variance — and pulling off an upset.

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CAA Tournament Schedule

  • First Round: Friday, March 3
  • Second Round: Saturday, March 4
  • Quarterfinals: Sunday, March 5
  • Semifinals: Monday, March 6
  • CAA Championship: Tuesday, March 7

How To Watch

The first three rounds can be viewed on the FloHoops streaming platform. Meanwhile, the CAA semifinals and title game, respectively, can be seen on CBS Sports Network. The finale gets underway on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET. Here is the rest of the conference tournament schedule.

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