Buccaneers vs. Chargers: NFL Betting Preview – October 4, 2020

Posted By Staff on September 29, 2020 - Last Updated on October 2, 2020

Oddsmakers give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) the advantage on Sunday, October 4, 2020 against the Los Angeles Chargers (1-2). Tampa Bay is favored by 7 points.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of October 2. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings.com.

Betting Information

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Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay’s games have hit the over in two out of three outings this season (66.7%).
  • Tampa Bay has put together a 2-1 record against the spread (ATS) this season.
  • The Buccaneers are 2-0 ATS when favored by at least six points.

Chargers Betting Insights

  • Zero of three of Los Angeles’ games this year have gone over the point total.
  • Los Angeles has a 2-1 record ATS this season.
  • The Chargers are 0-1 ATS when an underdog by at least six points.

Buccaneers vs Chargers: Last 5 Meetings

  • Tampa Bay has won three of the past five matchups against the Chargers.
  • Los Angeles has scored one fewer point than Tampa Bay in their past five games.
Buccaneers vs Chargers: Last Five Meetings
Date Home Team Total Yards Result
12/4/2016 Chargers 349-330 TB 28-21 TB
11/11/2012 Buccaneers 426-279 SDC 34-24 TB
12/21/2008 Buccaneers 41-24 SDC
12/12/2004 Chargers 31-24 SDC
11/17/1996 Chargers 25-17 TB

When the Buccaneers Have the Ball

  • The Buccaneers, on average, score 8.3 more points per game this season (27.3) than the Chargers allow (19).
  • In games where Tampa Bay scores at least 27.3 points this season, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 ATS.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows 19 points or fewer this year, the Chargers have a 1-0 overall record and a 1-0 record ATS.
  • The Chargers defense has given up an average of 337 yards per game this season– just three yards more than the 334 the Buccaneers offense has averaged.
  • The Buccaneers pick up 5.4 yards per play while the Chargers allow 5.4 per play.
  • When the Tampa Bay hits their average yardage, they are 2-0 overall and 2-0 ATS.
  • When Los Angeles holds opponents under their average yardage, they are 1-1 ATS and 1-1 overall this season.
  • The Chargers defense has given up an average of 109.3 yards per game to opposing running games– 17.3 more yards than the Buccaneers average on the ground (92).
  • In games where the Tampa Bay reaches their season average rushing yards this season, the Buccaneers are 1-0 overall and 1-0 ATS.
  • When the Los Angeles defense allows opponents to pick up less than 109.3 yards on the ground, they are 0-1 ATS and 0-1 overall.
  • The Buccaneers have committed one more turnover per game this season (1.7) than the Chargers defense has forced (0.7).
  • When Tampa Bay turns the football over 1.7 times or fewer this season, they are 1-0 overall and 1-0 ATS.
  • Los Angeles’ record this season when they force more than 0.7 turnovers: 1-0 ATS, 1-0 overall

When the Chargers Have the Ball

  • The Chargers score three fewer points per game (17.3) than the Buccaneers give up (20.3).
  • When Los Angeles scores at least 17.3 points, it is 1-0 ATS and 0-1 overall.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has a 2-0 record ATS and a 2-0 record overall in games when it holds opponents to 27.3 or fewer points.
  • The Chargers average 117.7 more yards per game (425.7), than the Buccaneers allow per game (308). On average, the Chargers pick up 5.7 yards per play, while the Buccaneers give up 4.7 per play.
  • Tampa Bay has a 1-1 record ATS and a 1-1 record overall when holding its opponents to 308 yards or less.
  • The Chargers run for 81.4 more yards per game (151.7) than the Buccaneers allow per outing (70.3).
  • When Los Angeles runs for at least 151.7 yards, it had a 2-0 ATS record and a 1-1 overall record.
  • This season, Tampa Bay is 1-0 ATS and 1-0 overall when holding opponents to no more than 70.3 rushing yards.
  • This year, the Chargers turn the ball over 1.7 times per game– 0.3 fewer turnovers per game than the Buccaneers force on average (two).
  • Los Angeles has a 2-0 record ATS and a 1-1 record overall when it turns the ball over 1.7 times or less.
  • This season, Tampa Bay has a 2-0 record ATS and a 2-0 record overall when it forces at least two turnovers.

Buccaneers Players to Watch

  • Tom Brady has 753 passing yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions on 65.1% completion percentage (251 yards per game).
  • Ronald Jones II leads the Bucs with 142 yards on 37 carries (47.3 yards per game) while scoring one touchdown.
  • Leonard Fournette has 123 yards on 24 carries (41 ypg), with two rushing touchdowns.
  • This season, Scotty Miller has 10 catches (on 14 targets) for a team-high 167 yards (55.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
  • Chris Godwin has 11 catches for 143 yards and one touchdown in two games. He averages 71.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 13 times.
  • Mike Evans has caught 10 passes on 18 targets for 108 yards and four touchdowns, averaging 36 yards per game in three games.
  • Jason Pierre-Paul has recorded three sacks, while adding two TFL and nine tackles.
  • In 2020, Devin White leads Tampa Bay with 33 tackles and has two TFL.
  • Mike Edwards has one interception, four tackles and one pass defended three in games this season.

Chargers Players to Watch

  • In his rookie year, Justin Herbert has 641 passing yards (320.5 yards per game), two touchdowns, and two interceptions. He’s gone 57-for-82 passing (69.5%) and has tacked on a 33 rushing yards on seven carries with one touchdown (16.5 yards per game).
  • Austin Ekeler has 236 yards on 47 carries (78.7 yards per game) and a touchdown in three games. He also averages 47.3 receiving yards per game– catching 16 passes for 142 yards.
  • Joshua Kelley has 43 carries for 167 rushing yards (55.7 yards per game) and one touchdown in three games. He also has four catches for 58 yards.
  • Keenan Allen has been targeted 37 times and has 24 catches to lead the team with 265 yards (88.3 ypg) and one touchdown.
  • Hunter Henry has added 16 catches for 206 yards on 23 targets (68.7 receiving yards per game).
  • Joey Bosa has three sacks, five TFL, and 11 tackles over three games.
  • Rookie Kenneth Murray leads the Chargers with 23 tackles and a tackle for loss so far in 2020.

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