The Tampa Bay Buccaneers went all-in this past offseason with the signing of future Hall of Famer Tom Brady, and they subsequently added the likes of Rob Gronkowski, Leonard Fournette and Antonio Brown in their Super-Bowl-or-bust quest. The gambit paid off handsomely, as Tampa Bay will be the first team to host a Super Bowl in its home stadium when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Feb. 7.
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The Bucs accomplished the feat of getting to the Super Bowl the hard way, as they notched three straight road playoff wins over Washington, the Saints and the Packers. The latter pair of victories were especially noteworthy. Tampa upended a New Orleans squad that had beaten them twice during the regular season before toppling Aaron Rodgers and his array of talented teammates. The Buccaneers were forced to make do without Brown and star rookie safety Antoine Winfield against Green Bay, but both players are expected back for the Super Bowl.
Super Sunday is annually the biggest day on the sports betting calendar, and this year’s star-studded showdown should certainly be no different. Sportsbooks are brimming with an abundance of betting options for the showdown between Brady and Patrick Mahomes. With that in mind, let’s examine 10 ways you can bet on the Buccaneers in Super LV.
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10. Tom Brady Passing Yards
While it took Brady some time to hit his stride while operating in a completely new offense for the first time in his career, the 21-year-veteran’s football IQ and skill eventually took over and led to him putting up his best yardage total (4,633) since the 2012 season and throwing for more touchdowns (40) than in all but his historic 2007 campaign. Brady threw for between 348 and 399 yards in Weeks 15-17 before lighting up what had been a stingy Washington secondary for 381 in a Wild Card win. Since the Chiefs have allowed the fourth-lowest completion percentage (62.3) this season and postseason, oddsmakers are going a bit conservative with Brady’s yardage prop. Brady’s over/under for passing yards at DraftKings Sportsbook is 295.5. By comparison, Patrick Mahomes’ is 325.5.
PointsBet has the following passing yard over/unders on Brady to wager on:
- Brady to get 200+ passing yards: -1250
- Brady to get 250+ passing yards: -400
- Brady to get 300+ passing yards: -140
- Brady to get 350+ passing yards: +190
- Brady to get 400+ passing yards: +550
Of note, Brady set the record for passing yards in a Super Bowl three years ago when he put up 505 yards against the Philadelphia Eagles. He threw for 262 yards the next year against the LA Rams.
9. Single Game Parlay
Parlay bettors will love the offers at PointsBet Sportsbook as PB has Single Game Parlays. That allows bettors the chance to parlay items in a single game, such as the spread, over/under, player props, team points and more. To sign up for PointsBet go here.
8. Chris Godwin Receptions
Even with an extremely talented pass-catching corps that also includes Mike Evans, Brown and Gronkowski, Godwin and Brady quickly developed strong chemistry in their first season together. The fourth-year wideout posted 65 receptions across 12 regular season games, recording a solid 77.4% catch rate along the way. Godwin was heavily utilized in the short-to-medium passing windows, and his 12.9 yards per reception are a near-perfect match for the 12.8 yards per catch the Chiefs allowed receivers during the regular season. Kansas City was tough on receivers overall and Godwin averaged just under six catches per game, so his reception prop is likely to be modest. However, with KC likely to do a good job taking away deep shots to Evans, and Brown still very affected by his knee issues – this could be a game in which Godwin gets extra work.
7. Point Spread
The most popular bet for NFL games is on the point spread, and the Buccaneers, despite their homefield advantage, are currently -point underdogs. Tampa Bay is 11-8 (57.9%) against the spread this season, including 5-3 (62.5%) as a home team and 3-1 (75.0%) against AFC opponents. The Chiefs opened as -3 favorites at most top sportsbooks.
6. Leonard Fournette Rushing Yards
The Chiefs allowed 4.67 adjusted line yards per carry and 4.47 RB yards per rush during the regular season, both figures that ranked them in the bottom half of the league. KC gave up an acceptable 113.2 rushing yards per game on the road, but they often forced teams out of the run and faced a top-10 pass play percentage of 59.72 when traveling. Mahomes and company did conduct a successful first half ambush against the Buccaneers’ secondary in their Week 12 regular season meeting, but as Tampa Bay demonstrated versus Rodgers and the Packers, its ability to exert relentless pressure can disrupt any passing game. That extensive preamble is meant to establish that Tampa Bay should have a chance to establish a balanced attack in this game, and Fournette should once again be in line to helm the Bucs backfield. In that role during the team’s three-game postseason, the fourth-year back has averaged 4.4 yards per carry on his way to 211 rushing yards. If Fournette’s yardage prop registers at around the 50-mark, there could be an opportunity to exploit.
The Buccaneers went 5-3 (62.5%) straight-up at home this season, with one of those losses coming to the Chiefs by a 27-24 score back in Week 12. If you simply want to bet on whether the Buccaneers will win or lose, go the moneyline route over “point spread.” Of course you can parlay the Buccaneers moneyline with another Super LV wager.
4. Cameron Brate Receptions
Earlier in his career, Brate beat the odds as an undrafted free agent by – among other things – proving himself as a trusted route runner with sure hands and a nose for the end zone. However, his role has unsurprisingly been more modest over the last three seasons with the drafting of O.J. Howard and Gronkowski’s addition this past offseason. Nevertheless, Brady has surprisingly turned much more often to Brate than his former Patriots battery-mate over recent games, with the former posting an 11-149-1 line on 16 targets over Tampa Bay’s three-game playoff run. Brate also had three- or four-catch efforts on four occasions between Weeks 10 and 17, so his receptions prop is very likely to be around 4. Given KC’s stellar work against receivers this season, they helped funnel action to tight ends to the tune of an 84-954-9 line. Consequently, this may be an occasion to take a flier on the Over if Brate’s figure is low enough.
3. Leonard Fournette Receptions
That’s three reception-based wagers for the Bucs, and only one involves a receiver. While this might seem like overkill, a Fournette reception prop could well be viable if the number is realistic enough. Fournette has proven to be an excellent receiver over the last two seasons, and this past season, he posted 36 catches for 233 yards on 47 targets over 13 games in a part-time role. Fournette added 14 receptions on 17 targets during the three-game playoff run as well, and the Chiefs allowed the fourth-most targets (121) and third-most catches (93) to running backs during the regular season.
2. Alternate Point Spread
If the current point spread seems to large or small for you, you can always explore an alternate point spread. For example, if you think Tampa Bay can keep matters even closer than a field goal, you can get +130 odds on a Buccaneers +1.5 line at FanDuel Sportsbook. Conversely, if you feel the Chiefs are going to eventually separate enough to win a second straight Super Bowl by more than a touchdown, you can get a price of +400 for an alternate line of KC -7.5.
1. Game over/under and team totals
The Buccaneers averaged 30.7 points per game this season (regular season and playoffs), including 28.5 per home contest. The total points over/under for Super Bowl LV is a robust . The Chiefs gave up 24 points to Tampa Bay in the regular season meeting and KC allowed a solid 23.0 points per road contest this season.