Bubble Betting: Latest Odds On Colorado State, Other Fringe Tourney Teams To Make The Cut

Written By Matt Burke on March 11, 2021
Bubble odds to make NCAA tournament Colorado State Xavier Utah State

Selection Sunday is just a few days away, and teams on the NCAA tournament bubble are scrambling to make a case for an invite to the 2021 Big Dance.

Bubble betting is now a thing at top US sportsbooks, including DraftKings Sportsbook.

Here we take a look at the odds for fringe NCAA tournament teams to make the cut.

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Bubble odds: To make the NCAA tournament

A look at the latest bubble odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Hover over the odds you like and click “Bet Now” to place a wager.

To Make NCAA Tournament

(Eastern Time)
Michigan State
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Colorado State
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Penn State
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Livin’ on the edge

The biggest bubble news Wednesday came from the Big East Tournament as both Xavier and Providence lost. The Friars’ loss effectively puts a nail in their 2021 NCAA Tournament coffin, while the Musketeers are on life support.

Had Xavier just been able to defeat Butler, which entered Wednesday’s game with a 10-14 record – they would have been in good shape to grab an at-large bid. Now they are part of Joe Lunardi (ESPN) and Jerry Palm’s (CBS) “First Four out.” Xavier had been -118 to make the Dance before Wednesday’s game.

The Xavier loss has had a big impact on bracket projections as Syracuse is now a part of Lunardi and Palm’s “Last Four In.”

The Orange play No. 1 seed Virginia in the ACC Tournament today at noon ET. An upset win over the Cavaliers would likely lock Syracuse into the big tournament, but now Jim Boeheim’s crew might not even need it thanks to the happenings in the Big East.

There are also a pair of Mountain West teams on the bubble that will both be in action Thursday.

Colorado State (+110 to make the NCAA Tournament at DraftKings) plays Fresno State late tonight and Utah State will take on UNLV. Lunardi and Palm both had Colorado State as “in” Thursday morning, and both had Utah State as “out.”

Here is a comparison of Lunardi and CBS Sports’ Jerry Palm’s “Last Four In” and “First Four out” as of Thursday morning.

BracketologistLast Four InFirst Four Out
Joe LunardiSyracuse, Louisville, Drake, Utah StateWichita State, Saint Louis, Colorado State, Ole Miss
Jerry PalmSyracuse, Wichita State, UCLA, Colorado StateUtah State, Drake, Saint Louis, Boise State

Bubble trouble for blue bloods?

DraftKings Sportsbook took down Duke‘s “To Make the Tournament” odds Thursday after a positive COVID test wiped out the Blue Devils’ ACC tourney game against Florida State.

Duke had shown some life in the ACC tournament as they had rattled off two straight wins, one over Boston College and the other over Louisville. The Blue Devils’ “To Make The Tournament” odds had subsequently changed, as they were +325 at DraftKings Sportsbook early Thursday morning – just prior to the news – a day after being +600.

But due to the positive test, it is likely that Duke’s season is over. The Blue Devils likely would have had to beat FSU and win another game on Friday to be considered for an at-large bid.

Conversely, another blue blood on the bubble – Michigan State – could cement its spot in the Big Dance today. The Spartans play Maryland in a Thursday Big Ten Tournament tilt that starts at 11:30 in the morning.

Tom Izzo’s crew struggled greatly with the Terrapins just two weeks ago as they were dumped 73-55.

All told, though, the Spartans will likely get in even if they are dropped by Maryland today. The Spartans are -1667 to make the big tourney at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Maryland needs the game more than the Spartans as they are -835 to make the Dance at DraftKings.

Matt Burke Avatar
Written by
Matt Burke

Matt Burke is the Sports Editor and Head of Evergreen/SEO Content at TheLines.com. He is the Founder and former Editor-in-Chief of MetroBet, a digital and print sports betting platform, and was the Executive Sports Editor at Metro US Newspapers (New York, Philadelphia, Boston) from 2014-2020. Matt has covered Super Bowls and Final Fours, and his work has appeared for Sports Illustrated, CBS Sports, the Eagle Tribune, Gloucester Daily Times and Newburyport Daily News. Matt is a graduate of the University of Connecticut.

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