Browns vs. Steelers: Week 17 NFL Betting Preview – January 3, 2021

Posted By Staff on December 29, 2020

The Cleveland Browns (10-5) are  when they host the Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3) in an AFC North matchup on Sunday, January 3, 2021 at FirstEnergy Stadium. The game has an over/under of .

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of December 28, 2020, 2:41 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Browns vs Steelers Betting Odds

Browns vs Steelers Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Betting the Total (Over/Under)

  • Browns games have gone over 42.5 points on 10 occasions this season (66.7% of matchups).
  • Pittsburgh’s games have gone over 42.5 points on 10 occasions (66.7% of games).
  • The total for this matchup is 42.5 points, 9.4 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.
  • These two teams combine to yield 45.7 points per game, which is 3.2 greater than the total for this matchup.
  • The points total average for Browns games this season is 52.1, 9.6 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • This season, Steelers games have resulted in an average scoring total of 45.5, which is three points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Browns are the 14th-highest scoring team in the league this year. The Steelers have scored the 12th-most points.
  • Pittsburgh has allowed the second-fewest points in the league this season, while Cleveland has given up the 21st-fewest.
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Browns Betting Insights

  • Cleveland has compiled a losing 6-9 record against the spread this season.
  • The Browns have an even ATS record of 1-1 when playing as at least seven-point favorites.
  • Most of Cleveland’s games this year — eight out of 15 — have gone over the point total (53.3%).

Steelers Betting Insights

  • Pittsburgh’s games have hit the over in eight out of 15 opportunities this season (53.3%).
  • Pittsburgh has a 9-6 record against the spread.
  • The Steelers are 2-3 ATS when an underdog by at least seven points.

Browns vs Steelers: Head to Head

Browns vs Steelers: Last 3 Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
10/18/2020 Steelers Steelers -3.00 50.00 -175 +150 277-220 PIT 38-7 PIT
12/1/2019 Browns Steelers -1 40 -120 +105 323-279 PIT 20-13 PIT
11/14/2019 Browns Browns -3 41.5 -152 +133 293-236 CLE 21-7 CLE

Check out TheLines YouTube channel to learn more about betting tips and picks for this week’s NFL action.

When the Browns Have the Ball

  • The Browns have put an average of 25.6 points per game on the scoreboard this season, 6.4 more than the 19.2 the Steelers have surrendered in each contest.
  • When they meet or outpace their scoring average this season, Cleveland is 7-1 and 4-4 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh is 6-0 overall and 4-2 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 19.2 points.
  • The Browns hold a 68-yard advantage in total yards gained versus total yards allowed compared to the Steelers defense this season (370.3 to 302.3). The Browns average 5.8 yards per play while the Steelers give up 4.9 per play.
  • When the Cleveland offense puts together a game with at least their 2020 average in yardage, they are 7-1 overall and 4-4 against the spread this season.
  • When Pittsburgh allows fewer total yards to opposing offenses than their season average, they are 5-2 against the spread and 6-1 overall this season.
  • The Browns have averaged 145.5 yards per game on the ground this season, 39.4 yards more than the Steelers have allowed to opposing rushing attacks (106.1).
  • In games where the Cleveland rushing attack puts together at least their season average, the Browns are 5-0 overall and 2-3 against the spread.
  • When Pittsburgh limits opposing teams to 106.1 rushing yards or fewer this year, they are 6-3 against the spread and 7-2 overall.
  • The Browns have turned the ball over 1.1 times per game this season, while the Steelers have averaged 1.8 takeaways per contest.
  • In games where they turn the football over 1.1 times or fewer this season, Cleveland is 9-2 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
  • Pittsburgh’s record this season when they force more than 1.8 turnovers: 7-4 ATS, 10-1 overall

When the Steelers Have the Ball

  • The Steelers score 0.2 fewer points per game (26.3) than the Browns give up (26.5).
  • When Pittsburgh scores at least 26.3 points, it is 8-0 against the spread and 8-0 overall.
  • Cleveland has a 4-4 record against the spread and a 7-1 record overall in games when it allows 25.6 points or less.
  • The Steelers collect 25.2 fewer yards per game (330.6), than the Browns allow per contest (355.8). On average, the Steelers pick up 5.1 yards per play, while the Browns give up 5.5 per play.
  • Cleveland has a 4-5 record ATS and a 6-3 record overall when holding its opponents to 355.8 yards or less.
  • The Steelers rush for 84.3 yards per game, 27.9 fewer per game than the 112.2 the Browns allow per outing.
  • Pittsburgh has a 6-2 ATS record and a 7-1 overall record when the team rushes for at least 84.3 yards.
  • Cleveland is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall when holding opponents to 112.2 rushing yards or less.
  • This year, the Steelers turn the ball over 1.1 times per game, 0.2 fewer turnovers per game than the 1.3 the Browns force on average.
  • Pittsburgh is 8-2 against the spread and 9-1 overall when it turns the ball over 1.1 or fewer times.
  • When it forces 1.3 or more turnovers, Cleveland has a 5-1 record against the spread and a 6-0 record overall.

Get the best betting breakdowns and picks on TheLines sports betting podcast

Browns Players to Watch

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 3,367 yards while completing 62.7% of his passes (288-of-459), with 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions this year (224.5 yards per game).
  • Nick Chubb has taken 176 attempts for 959 rushing yards (87.2 yards per game) while scoring 11 touchdowns in 11 games.
  • This year, Kareem Hunt has rushed for 804 yards on 188 carries (53.6 ypg), with six rushing touchdowns. Hunt also helps out in the passing game, catching 37 passes for 300 (20.0 ypg) while scoring five touchdowns.
  • This season, Jarvis Landry has 67 catches (on 95 targets) to lead the team with 789 yards (52.6 per game) with three touchdowns.
  • Rashard Higgins has added 544 yards on 35 catches with four touchdowns. He has been targeted 49 times and puts up 41.8 receiving yards per game in 13 matchups this year.
  • Over 12 games, Austin Hooper has caught 42 passes on 65 targets for 398 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 33.2 receiving yards per game.
  • Myles Garrett has 12 sacks to lead the team, and has also collected 10 TFL and 44 tackles.
  • Malcolm Smith has racked up 73 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception this season.
  • Denzel Ward has picked off two passes to lead the team while adding 46 tackles, one TFL, and 17 passes defended.

Steelers Players to Watch

  • Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3,804 yards while completing 65.6% of his passes (399-of-608), with 33 touchdowns and 10 interceptions (253.6 yards per game).
  • James Conner has taken 160 attempts for a team-leading 683 rushing yards (48.8 yards per game) while scoring six touchdowns in 14 games.
  • Benny Snell Jr. has 358 yards on 108 carries (23.9 ypg), with four rushing touchdowns.
  • Diontae Johnson has been targeted 140 times and has 85 catches to lead the team with 828 yards (59.1 ypg) and scored seven touchdowns.
  • Chase Claypool’s statline this year shows 57 catches for 772 yards and eight touchdowns. He puts up 51.5 receiving yards per game and has been targeted 98 times.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has totaled 766 yards on 91 passes with eight touchdowns in 2020, averaging 51.1 yards per game on 120 targets.
  • T.J. Watt has collected a team-leading 15 sacks, while adding 23 TFL, 54 tackles, and one interception.
  • In 14 games, Avery Williamson has totaled 103 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has a team-high four interceptions and has tacked on 75 tackles, one TFL, and 10 passes defended.

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