2023 Open Championship Odds: Scottie Scheffler On All-Time Top-20 Heater
Although many sports bettors are attracted to both outright and each-way bets for The 151st Open, there’s an insane storyline, by golf standards, in the betting market for top-20 finishes. Ahead of the oldest golf tournament running — and the last major championship of 2023 — let’s break down how World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is playing some of the most consistent golf we’ve seen since Tiger Woods before considering his betting options in Open Championship odds.
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Open Championship Odds: Top-20 Finish
Scheffler On Wild Top-20 Streak
Scheffler is -250 at BetMGM Sportsbook to deliver a top-20 finish at Royal Liverpool. Those odds are tied for the shortest on the board for this market, despite Rory McIlroy representing the betting favorite to win the British Open (+575).
Scheffler’s top-20 price tag is also equivalent to a 75.0% implied probability. Why is that notable? He hasn’t slid outside the top 20 of a single golf betting event since The CJ Cup on Oct. 23, 2022. It dates all the way back in Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season — good for 18 straight tournaments!
The PGA TOUR’s record book inside its media guide does not keep records for top-20 finishes, but it does for top 10 … and Scheffler is nearing all-time company.
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Open Championship Odds: Top-10 Finish
Scheffler’s Top-10 Streak May Be Even More Impressive
Scottie has slotted into the top 10 in each of the other majors this year. He hasn’t finished outside the top 10 in an event since the week after The Masters in April, when he finished … 11th. This run includes a runner-up finish to Viktor Hovland at the PGA Championship.
Scottie has 14 top-10 finishes in the 2022-23 PGA TOUR season. Here is the list of most top-10 finishes in the modern era in a season:
| Top-10 Finishes | Player | Season |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Tom Kite | 1981 |
| 18 | Vijay Singh | 2003 |
| Vijay Singh | 2004 | |
| Vijay Singh | 2005 | |
| 17 | Tiger Woods | 2000 |
| 16 | Tom Watson | 1980 |
| Payne Stewart | 1986 | |
| Tiger Woods | 1999 | |
| 15 | Jordan Spieth | 2015 |
| Dustin Johnson | 2016 | |
| Tom Kite | 1982 | |
| Mark O’Meara | 1984 | |
| Jim Furyk | 2003 | |
| Jon Rahm | 2021 |
How Has Scheffler Not Won More This Year?
The 27-year-old has only notched two victories on TOUR since January, and — most importantly — no major championships. His lone “major” win came at the 2022 Masters, finishing ahead of McIlroy, Shane Lowry, and Cam Smith. After opening at +6000 for the event, Scheffler’s outright odds went off at +1600. His price point was +200 for the final round before donning the green jacket.
That victory came 25 years after Woods won his first major at Augusta National in 1997. Like Scheffler, that was Woods’ first major championship. Even if he manages to cash more top-20 tickets this week, he has some catching up to do before the Tiger comps begin to die off.
Statistically, Scheffler is posting Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green numbers that we haven’t seen since the peak of Tiger’s dominance in 2006. Woods won eight of his 14 events that year, including a jaw-dropping six events in a row (and two majors). The difference between Tiger then and Scottie now? Scheffler’s putting. Scottie ranks outside the top 100 this season in Strokes Gained: Putting. In 2006, Tiger ranked 21st.
Related: British Open Betting Guide
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