Mets At Brewers Game 1 Prediction: MLB Wild Card Odds, Picks, Best Bets

The New York Mets delivered a dramatic comeback on Monday, conquering two late-inning deficits in the first matchup of a doubleheader to upend the Atlanta Braves and punch their ticket into the 2024 MLB postseason. Nevertheless, the Mets could deal with some fatigue in the first leg of their best-of-three NL Wild Card series against the Brewers. Let’s break down my pick for Mets vs. Brewers Game 1 odds.

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Mets at brewers game 1 odds: moneyline, spread, total

Pitching Duel In Milwaukee?

With roughly half of New York’s core lineup playing in the doubleheader mentioned above, the road underdogs have a notable rest disadvantage. Couple that with the extreme travel from Milwaukee on Sunday before rearriving in the Cream City for their postseason series, and a downgrade is in order.

While Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor has played well since returning from a back injury on Friday, accruing a 42.9% hard-hit rate with two home runs and five RBI, there’s no telling how their recent schedule may have impacted him.

With that in mind, I anticipate Brewers righty Freddy Peralta and one of the league’s premier bullpens will shine in the series opener. Peralta’s 4.16 FIP, juxtaposed with his 3.68 ERA, should not scare off bettors. Milwaukee also boasts an elite defense, which has aided his peripherals throughout the campaign.

Related: AL Wild Card Series Preview

Conversely, Mets right-hander Luis Severino takes on the Brewers’ offense, which has manufactured an above-average whiff rate against four-seam fastballs and sweepers, Severino’s primary pitches. While New York has a moderately expended set of relievers in Edwin Diaz and Phil Maton after Monday’s playoff-clinching win, the usual suspects will be available.

In the second half of the regular season, New York’s bullpen boasted the second-highest strikeout rate and sixth-best FIP.

Thus, on Tuesday morning, I grabbed under 7.5 runs (-115) on TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord channel. Sign up to receive instant alerts whenever I place a wager. Users can access the #roles server to enroll in these push notifications.

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