Brewers Vs Twins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 27, 2022

Written By Staff on July 27, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (54-44) will look to finish off a sweep of a two-game series against the Minnesota Twins (52-45). The series finale starts at 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday. Milwaukee (-217 to win) has Corbin Burnes starting, and Minnesota (+182) will counter with Chris Archer.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 27, 2022 at 1:32 PM ET.

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Brewers vs Twins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Burnes (MIL) Pitcher Archer (MIN)
7 – 4 W/L 2 – 4
118.2 IP 66.0
2.20 ERA 3.41
0.927 WHIP 1.258
11.3 K/9 7.1
2.4 BB/9 4.2

Brewers Probable Starter Corbin Burnes

  • The Brewers are sending Burnes (7-4) out for his 20th start of the season. He is 7-4 with a 2.20 ERA and 149 strikeouts through 118 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, the righty went 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In 19 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.20, with 11.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .185 against him.
  • Burnes is trying to collect his 15th quality start of the season in this game.
  • The opposing Twins offense has a collective .253 batting average, and is eighth in the league with 829 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 444 runs scored. It has the sixth-ranked slugging percentage (.420) and ranks ninth in home runs (120) in all of MLB.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks fifth in ERA (2.20), sixth in WHIP (.927), and fifth in K/9 (11.3) among qualifying pitchers.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 27, 2022 at 1:32 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Burnes

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Byron Buxton 5 .200 1 1 1 .200 1.000
Miguel Sanó 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .600
Jorge Polanco 5 .000 0 0 0 .167 .167
Max Kepler 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200

Twins Probable Starter Chris Archer

  • The Twins will hand the ball to Archer (2-4) for his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Sunday, July 17 in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 3.41 and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .210.
  • In 16 starts this season, Archer has not yet earned a quality start.
  • The Brewers have scored 449 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They are batting .237 for the campaign with 133 home runs, fourth in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 27, 2022 at 1:32 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Archer

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Christian Yelich 14 .143 2 1 3 .294 .723
Kolten Wong 8 .500 4 1 2 .600 1.600
Andrew McCutchen 7 .714 5 1 4 .714 2.000
Omar Narváez 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .600
Victor Caratini 5 .200 1 1 1 .333 1.133
Hunter Renfroe 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have gone 44-32 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 57.9% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -217 or shorter, Milwaukee has a 10-5 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Brewers’ implied win probability is 68.5%.
  • Milwaukee has combined with opponents to go over the total 49 times this season for a 49-45-4 record against the over/under.
  • The Brewers are 43-55-0 ATS this season.
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Twins Betting Trends

  • This season, the Twins have won 15 out of the 37 games, or 40.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Minnesota has played as an underdog of +182 or more twice this season and won both games.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 35.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 97 opportunities.
  • The Twins are 41-56-0 ATS in their 97 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Rowdy Tellez is batting .226 with 18 doubles, 18 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in baseball, Tellez’s batting average ranks 129th, his on-base percentage ranks 119th, and he is 58th in the league in slugging.
  • Christian Yelich leads his team with a .350 OBP, and has a club-best .388 slugging percentage. He has 15 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 50 walks while hitting .253.
  • Yelich’s batting average ranks 82nd among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 41st, and he is 111th in the league in slugging.
  • Yelich has safely hit in six straight games. In his last eight games he is hitting .281 with three doubles, a triple, six walks and two RBI.
  • Willy Adames is hitting .215 with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks. He paces the Brewers with 64 hits.
  • Andrew McCutchen is batting .257 with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 29 walks.
  • McCutchen has safely hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Christian Yelich 348 .253 61 8 33 .350 .738
Rowdy Tellez 327 .226 38 18 58 .304 .750
Andrew McCutchen 327 .257 45 10 45 .320 .714
Willy Adames 298 .215 52 20 53 .290 .753
Kolten Wong 256 .242 41 7 24 .325 .727
Luis Urías 248 .234 33 11 35 .322 .721
Hunter Renfroe 238 .252 33 17 39 .307 .824
Tyrone Taylor 229 .227 24 10 34 .273 .697
Omar Narváez 181 .232 15 3 17 .324 .672
Victor Caratini 136 .235 16 7 20 .348 .774

Twins Players to Watch

  • Luis Arraez has an OPS of .853, fueled by an OBP of .411 to go with a slugging percentage of .442. All three of those stats lead Minnesota hitters this season.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in MLB, Arraez is first in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and 62nd in slugging percentage.
  • Jorge Polanco has collected 70 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .354.
  • Among all qualifying players, Polanco ranks 97th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage and 67th in slugging percentage.
  • Max Kepler has collected 70 base hits, an OBP of .344 and a slugging percentage of .390 this season.
  • Byron Buxton has 61 hits, which is best among Minnesota hitters this season, while batting .219 with 39 extra-base hits.

Twins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Luis Arraez 319 .339 54 5 33 .411 .853
Gio Urshela 294 .265 36 9 42 .312 .734
Max Kepler 287 .244 41 9 39 .344 .734
Jorge Polanco 286 .245 44 14 49 .354 .788
Carlos Correa 284 .278 41 12 34 .349 .803
Byron Buxton 278 .219 52 24 44 .294 .837
Gary Sánchez 263 .213 28 10 39 .278 .677
Nick Gordon 205 .249 23 4 13 .294 .674
Jose Miranda 199 .271 20 8 36 .313 .770
Alex Kirilloff 136 .265 14 3 21 .306 .688

Brewers vs Twins Player Props

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