Rowdy Tellez leads the Milwaukee Brewers (17-8) into a matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (3-21) a game after he homered twice in an 18-4 win over the Reds. It begins at 1:40 PM ET on Thursday. Adrian Houser starts for Milwaukee (
to win), and Hunter Greene is Cincinnati’s ( ) choice to start.The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of May 5, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET.
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Brewers vs Reds Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Houser (MIL) | Pitcher | Greene (CIN) |
---|---|---|
2 – 2 | W/L | 1 – 3 |
21.1 | IP | 18.0 |
2.53 | ERA | 6.00 |
1.172 | WHIP | 1.611 |
6.8 | K/9 | 11 |
4.2 | BB/9 | 5 |
Brewers Probable Starter Adrian Houser
- Houser makes the start for the Brewers, his fifth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 16 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when the right-hander threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.53, with 6.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in four games this season.
- Houser is trying to prolong a second-game quality start streak in this outing.
- He will take the mound against a Reds offense that ranks last in MLB with 152 total hits (on a .201 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .317 (29th in MLB) with 17 total home runs (24th in MLB).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 5, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Reds Stats vs Houser
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colin Moran | 12 | .667 | 8 | 2 | 3 | .667 | 1.834 |
Kyle Farmer | 7 | .286 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .375 | .946 |
Mike Moustakas | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .600 |
Tommy Pham | 3 | .667 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.417 |
Tyler Stephenson | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .667 | .667 |
Reds Probable Starter Hunter Greene
- Greene (1-3) will take the mound for the Reds, his fifth start of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed six hits in 4 2/3 innings against the Colorado Rockies.
- The 22-year-old has pitched to a 6.00 ERA this season with 11 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 5 walks per nine across four games.
- The Brewers rank 20th in MLB with a .228 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.390) and 29 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 5, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Brewers Stats vs Greene
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|
Brewers Betting Trends
- The Brewers have won 15 of the 22 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (68.2%).
- Milwaukee has won all four games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -235 or shorter.
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Brewers have an implied win probability of 70.1%.
- In the 25 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Milwaukee, it has combined with opponents to go over the total nine times (9-14-2).
- The Brewers have a 13-12-0 record ATS this season.
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Reds Betting Trends
- The Reds have won three, or 14.3%, of the 21 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Cincinnati has not won as an underdog of +197 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 33.7% chance to win.
- Games involving Cincinnati have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 14 of 24 chances this season.
- The Reds are 6-18-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Players to Watch
- Tellez has put up an on-base percentage of .337 and has 20 hits, both team-best numbers for the Brewers, while batting .267 with five doubles, seven home runs and seven walks.
- Tellez ranks 53rd in batting average, 62nd in on base percentage, and eighth in slugging among qualifying hitters in MLB.
- Willy Adames is hitting .223 with five doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
- Among qualifiers, Adames ranks 111th in batting average, 67th in on-base percentage, and 36th in slugging.
- Christian Yelich is hitting .226 with five doubles, three home runs and 13 walks.
- Andrew McCutchen’s .358 slugging percentage leads his team. He has five doubles, two home runs and seven walks while batting .242.
Brewers Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 95 | .242 | 10 | 2 | 14 | .295 | .653 |
Willy Adames | 94 | .223 | 18 | 6 | 17 | .330 | .798 |
Hunter Renfroe | 86 | .233 | 12 | 5 | 10 | .264 | .717 |
Christian Yelich | 84 | .226 | 15 | 3 | 14 | .330 | .723 |
Kolten Wong | 82 | .220 | 12 | 1 | 9 | .267 | .621 |
Rowdy Tellez | 75 | .267 | 15 | 7 | 21 | .337 | .950 |
Lorenzo Cain | 56 | .196 | 10 | 0 | 3 | .270 | .502 |
Omar Narváez | 51 | .235 | 5 | 1 | 5 | .328 | .661 |
Tyrone Taylor | 45 | .200 | 2 | 0 | 4 | .250 | .606 |
Jace Peterson | 44 | .159 | 7 | 1 | 4 | .275 | .502 |
Reds Players to Watch
- Tommy Pham has 19 hits and an OBP of .352 to go with a slugging percentage of .474. All three of those stats are tops among Cincinnati hitters this season.
- Of all qualifying hitters in the majors, Pham is 71st in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage and 31st in slugging percentage.
- Brandon Drury is batting .237 with a .508 slugging percentage and nine RBI this year.
- Kyle Farmer has an OPS of .571, fueled by an OBP of .269 and a team-best slugging percentage of .302 this season.
- Tyler Stephenson has two home runs, six RBI and a batting average of .235 this season.
Reds Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Farmer | 86 | .221 | 7 | 0 | 10 | .269 | .571 |
Tommy Pham | 76 | .250 | 13 | 4 | 7 | .352 | .826 |
Brandon Drury | 59 | .237 | 8 | 4 | 9 | .281 | .789 |
Mike Moustakas | 51 | .235 | 5 | 1 | 5 | .259 | .573 |
Colin Moran | 38 | .184 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .261 | .472 |
Tyler Stephenson | 34 | .235 | 4 | 2 | 6 | .341 | .753 |
Aramis Garcia | 32 | .219 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .265 | .609 |
Alejo Lopez | 24 | .250 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .308 | .558 |
TJ Friedl | 14 | .071 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .133 | .347 |
Matt Reynolds | 10 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .583 | 1.283 |
Brewers vs Reds Player Props
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