Brewers Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 10, 2022

Written By Staff on May 10, 2022

Colin Moran brings a two-game home run streak into the Cincinnati Reds’ (6-23) matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers (19-11) at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday at Great American Ball Park. Milwaukee (-206 to win) has Freddy Peralta starting things off, while Cincinnati (+174) will counter with Hunter Greene.

The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of May 10, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET.

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Brewers vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Peralta (MIL) Pitcher Greene (CIN)
1 – 1 W/L 1 – 4
23.0 IP 20.2
5.09 ERA 8.71
1.348 WHIP 1.887
11.7 K/9 12.6
3.9 BB/9 4.8

Brewers Probable Starter Freddy Peralta

  • Peralta gets the start for the Brewers, his sixth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 23 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 5.09, with 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in five games this season.
  • Peralta is trying to pick up his second quality start of the year in this game.
  • He will face a Reds offense that ranks 26th in MLB with 196 total hits (on a .211 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .341 (26th in MLB) with 24 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 10, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Probable Starter Hunter Greene

  • Greene (1-4) will take the mound for the Reds, his sixth start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 2 2/3 innings while giving up eight earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • The 22-year-old has pitched to an 8.71 ERA this season with 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 4.8 walks per nine across five games.
  • Greene has not earned a quality start in five starts this season.
  • The Brewers have scored 143 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 226 hits, 10th in baseball, with 37 home runs (second in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 10, 2022 at 5:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have put together a 17-8 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68% of those games).
  • Milwaukee is 5-1 (winning 83.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -206 or shorter.
  • The Brewers have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.3% in this game.
  • Milwaukee has had an over/under set by bookmakers 30 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 13 of those games (13-15-2).
  • The Brewers have a 15-15-0 record ATS this season.
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Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds have won five, or 20%, of the 25 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Cincinnati has been at least a +174 moneyline underdog eight times this season, but was upset in all of those games.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 36.5% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 19 of their 29 games with a total this season.
  • The Reds have an ATS record of 9-20-0 in 29 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Players to Watch

  • Willy Adames has put up a team-best .487 slugging percentage, while batting .221 with six doubles, eight home runs and 16 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Adames ranks 112th in batting average, 75th in on-base percentage, and 30th in slugging.
  • Rowdy Tellez’s 25 hits and .567 slugging percentage both lead his team. He has nine doubles, seven home runs and seven walks while hitting .258.
  • Tellez’s batting average ranks 62nd among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 93rd, and he is 11th in the league in slugging.
  • Christian Yelich has accumulated a team-best OBP (.336) and slugging percentage (.423). He is hitting .240 with seven doubles, four home runs and 14 walks.
  • Kolten Wong is batting .240 with five doubles, two triples, a home run and seven walks.
  • Wong has hit safely in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .333 with four doubles, a home run, five walks and three RBI.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Willy Adames 113 .221 21 8 22 .323 .810
Hunter Renfroe 105 .219 14 6 11 .259 .697
Christian Yelich 104 .240 20 4 17 .336 .759
Rowdy Tellez 97 .258 15 7 26 .314 .881
Kolten Wong 96 .240 16 1 9 .299 .664
Lorenzo Cain 66 .167 11 0 4 .233 .430
Omar Narváez 63 .238 7 2 6 .351 .716
Tyrone Taylor 60 .217 3 1 7 .266 .649
Jace Peterson 54 .204 9 1 5 .306 .584
Michael Brosseau 29 .276 2 1 5 .382 .761

Reds Players to Watch

  • Brandon Drury leads Cincinnati in slugging percentage (.600) thanks to 13 extra-base hits.
  • Tommy Pham leads Cincinnati with 22 hits and an OBP of .349 this season.
  • Pham ranks 97th in batting average, 47th in on-base percentage and 66th in slugging percentage in the majors.
  • Kyle Farmer has collected 20 base hits, an OBP of .257 and a slugging percentage of .300 this season.
  • Tyler Stephenson has been key for Cincinnati with 14 hits, an OBP of .373 plus a slugging percentage of .500.

Reds Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Kyle Farmer 100 .200 9 1 13 .257 .557
Tommy Pham 93 .237 17 4 9 .349 .768
Brandon Drury 80 .288 14 6 18 .341 .941
Tyler Naquin 78 .205 10 2 13 .271 .630
Mike Moustakas 63 .238 7 1 6 .310 .643
Colin Moran 58 .207 5 3 16 .269 .648
Tyler Stephenson 50 .280 9 3 12 .373 .873
Aramis Garcia 35 .200 4 1 1 .243 .557
TJ Friedl 34 .176 4 0 2 .216 .481
Alejo Lopez 25 .240 3 0 0 .296 .536

Brewers vs Reds Player Props

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