Brewers Vs Red Sox: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 31, 2022

The Milwaukee Brewers (57-44) take a four-game winning streak into a road contest against the Boston Red Sox (50-52) on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET. Milwaukee’s (-140 to win) Aaron Ashby starts against Boston’s (+119) Josh Winckowski.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET.

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Brewers vs Red Sox Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Brewers Probable Starter Aaron Ashby

• Ashby (2-8) gets the starting nod for the Brewers in his 14th start of the season. He has a 4.38 ERA in 76 innings pitched, with 92 strikeouts.
• The left-hander’s last time out came on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he tossed 7 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.38, with 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents have a .253 batting average against him.
• Ashby is looking to record his third quality start of the season.
• He will take the hill against a Red Sox offense that ranks third in MLB with 895 total hits (on a .255 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .409 (ninth in MLB) with 100 total home runs (18th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Red Sox Stats vs Ashby

Red Sox Probable Starter Josh Winckowski

• The Red Sox will send Winckowski (3-5) to the mound for his ninth start this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 5.18, a 1.8 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500 in eight games this season.
• In eight starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• The Brewers rank 21st in MLB with a .239 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks seventh in the league (.416) and 139 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 31, 2022 at 1:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Brewers Stats vs Winckowski

Brewers Betting Trends

• The Brewers have won 47 of the 79 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (59.5%).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -140 or shorter, Milwaukee has a record of 34-21 (61.8%).
• The implied moneyline probablility for this matchup gives the Brewers a 58.3% chance to win.
• Milwaukee has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 101 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 51 of those games (51-46-4).
• The Brewers have covered 45.5% of their games this season, going 46-55-0 against the spread.

Red Sox Betting Trends

• This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog 49 times and won 19, or 38.8%, of those games.
• Boston has a record of 10-16, a 38.5% win rate, when they’re set as an underdog of +119 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 45.7% chance to win.
• Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 102 opportunities.
• The Red Sox are 53-49-0 ATS in their 102 games with a spread this season.

Brewers Players to Watch

• Rowdy Tellez is leading the Brewers with 79 hits, while batting .234 with 19 doubles, 20 home runs and 35 walks.
• Tellez ranks 118th in batting average, 106th in on base percentage, and 38th in slugging among qualified hitters in MLB.
• Christian Yelich leads his team with a .360 on-base percentage, and has a club-leading .396 slugging percentage. He has 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 55 walks while hitting .259.
• Among qualified batters, Yelich’s batting average ranks 66th, his on-base percentage ranks 27th, and he is 103rd in the league in slugging.
• Yelich has hit safely in nine straight games. In his last 10 games he is hitting .325 with five doubles, a triple, nine walks and four RBI.
• Andrew McCutchen has 17 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .257.
• Willy Adames is batting .219 with 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Brewers Batting Stats (2022)

Red Sox Players to Watch

• Xander Bogaerts leads Boston with an OBP of .392, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .457.
• Among all the qualifying batters in the big leagues, Bogaerts’ batting average is fifth, his on-base percentage ranks seventh, and he is 47th in slugging percentatge.
• Alex Verdugo is slugging .375 while driving in 51 runs and batting .270 this season.
• Among all qualified hitters, Verdugo’s batting average puts him 50th, his on-base percentage is 111th, and he is 123rd in slugging.
• J.D. Martinez has 96 hits this season and has a slash line of .287/.354/.457.
• Christian Vazquez is batting .283 with a .328 OBP and 41 RBI for Boston this season.

Red Sox Batting Stats (2022)

Brewers vs Red Sox Player Props

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