The Milwaukee Brewers (48-37) and Pittsburgh Pirates (33-50) square off on Saturday at American Family Field, starting at 4:10 PM ET. Brandon Woodruff takes the mound first for Milwaukee (
to win), and Zach Thompson is Pittsburgh’s ( ) pick to start.The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET.
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Brewers vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Woodruff (MIL) | Pitcher | Thompson (PIT) |
---|---|---|
7 – 3 | W/L | 3 – 6 |
54.2 | IP | 59.0 |
3.95 | ERA | 4.42 |
1.134 | WHIP | 1.390 |
11.7 | K/9 | 6.6 |
2.1 | BB/9 | 3.7 |
Brewers Probable Starter Brandon Woodruff
- Woodruff gets the start for the Brewers, his 12th of the season. He is 7-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 54 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Sunday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing six hits.
- In 11 games this season, the 29-year-old has amassed a 3.95 ERA and 11.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .233 to his opponents.
- Woodruff has registered three quality starts this year.
- The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .219 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 600 total hits and 28th in MLB action with 303 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and ranks 15th in home runs (89) in all of MLB.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Stats vs Woodruff
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Newman | 21 | .333 | 7 | 1 | 2 | .333 | .857 |
Bryan Reynolds | 14 | .071 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .188 | .331 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 11 | .273 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .606 |
Ben Gamel | 8 | .250 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.000 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 8 | .625 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.417 |
Josh VanMeter | 6 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .143 | .143 |
Michael Perez | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .600 |
Jack Suwinski | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .750 |
Yoshi Tsutsugo | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Michael Chavis | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Pirates Probable Starter Zach Thompson
- Thompson (3-6) will take the mound for the Pirates, his 14th start of the season.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 2/3 innings pitched against the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday.
- The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.42, a 1.792 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.390 in 14 games this season.
- He has earned a quality start one time in 13 starts this season.
- The Brewers are batting .235 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .412 (ninth in the league) with 117 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Brewers Stats vs Thompson
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Andrew McCutchen | 7 | .143 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .222 | .365 |
Omar Narváez | 4 | .500 | 2 | 1 | 2 | .500 | 1.750 |
Rowdy Tellez | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Victor Caratini | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .250 | .500 |
Willy Adames | 4 | .500 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .600 | 1.100 |
Christian Yelich | 4 | .500 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .600 | 2.100 |
Kolten Wong | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 1 | .400 | .733 |
Jace Peterson | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .833 |
Jonathan Davis | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Luis Urías | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
Brewers Betting Trends
- The Brewers have been the moneyline favorite 67 total times this season. They’ve gone 39-28 in those games.
- Milwaukee has played as a moneyline favorite of -281 or shorter in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
- The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Brewers a 73.8% chance to win.
- Milwaukee has had an over/under set by bookmakers 85 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 42 of those games (42-39-4).
- The Brewers have gone 39-46-0 ATS this season.
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Pirates Betting Trends
- This season, the Pirates have won 25 out of the 68 games, or 36.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
- Pittsburgh has entered three games this season as the underdog by +231 or more and is 2-1 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win by the Pirates, based on the moneyline, is 30.2%.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 84 games with a total this season.
- The Pirates have an ATS record of 41-43-0 in 84 games with a spread this season.
Brewers Players to Watch
- Rowdy Tellez has collected 65 hits, a team-high for the Brewers, on the way to hitting .234 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
- Among qualifying hitters in baseball, Tellez ranks 116th in batting average, 102nd in on-base percentage, and 36th in slugging.
- Christian Yelich’s .343 on-base percentage and .379 slugging percentage both pace his team, and he has 11 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 43 walks while hitting .248.
- Among qualified hitters, Yelich’s batting average ranks 83rd, his on-base percentage ranks 52nd, and he is 120th in the league in slugging.
- Willy Adames has 12 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .208.
- Andrew McCutchen has 12 doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks while hitting .254.
Brewers Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 311 | .248 | 54 | 8 | 31 | .343 | .722 |
Rowdy Tellez | 278 | .234 | 33 | 17 | 55 | .312 | .790 |
Andrew McCutchen | 272 | .254 | 34 | 7 | 32 | .321 | .696 |
Willy Adames | 245 | .208 | 42 | 17 | 46 | .281 | .746 |
Kolten Wong | 211 | .242 | 34 | 6 | 22 | .332 | .749 |
Luis Urías | 207 | .227 | 29 | 9 | 26 | .319 | .710 |
Jace Peterson | 196 | .245 | 30 | 7 | 28 | .315 | .749 |
Omar Narváez | 160 | .256 | 15 | 3 | 16 | .346 | .734 |
Victor Caratini | 116 | .241 | 15 | 7 | 18 | .360 | .808 |
Keston Hiura | 115 | .235 | 20 | 8 | 17 | .353 | .814 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Bryan Reynolds leads Pittsburgh in OBP (.342), slugging percentage (.470) and total hits (79) this season.
- Among all qualified hitters, Reynolds is 64th in batting average, his on-base percentage is 55th, and he is 39th in slugging percentage.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has collected 71 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .322.
- Among all qualifying hitters, Hayes’ batting average places him 85th, his on-base percentage ranks 86th, and he is 138th in slugging.
- Daniel Vogelbach has collected 52 base hits, an OBP of .343 and a slugging percentage of .453 this season.
- Jack Suwinski has 13 home runs, 24 RBI and a batting average of .208 this season.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 300 | .263 | 40 | 15 | 32 | .342 | .812 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 287 | .247 | 36 | 3 | 25 | .322 | .667 |
Michael Chavis | 223 | .238 | 23 | 9 | 29 | .279 | .692 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 212 | .245 | 26 | 11 | 29 | .343 | .796 |
Jack Suwinski | 207 | .208 | 31 | 13 | 24 | .296 | .736 |
Diego Castillo | 205 | .200 | 23 | 10 | 23 | .244 | .629 |
Ben Gamel | 155 | .258 | 22 | 3 | 18 | .343 | .730 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 128 | .180 | 8 | 2 | 15 | .273 | .523 |
Josh VanMeter | 122 | .197 | 11 | 3 | 10 | .267 | .587 |
Michael Perez | 104 | .154 | 8 | 6 | 11 | .193 | .520 |
Brewers vs Pirates Player Props
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