The Milwaukee Brewers (48-38) and Pittsburgh Pirates (34-50) play a rubber match on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET with the series tied 1-1. Milwaukee’s (
to win) Eric Lauer and Pittsburgh’s ( ) Jose Quintana will take the mound first.The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET.
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Brewers vs Pirates Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Lauer (MIL) | Pitcher | Quintana (PIT) |
---|---|---|
6 – 3 | W/L | 2 – 4 |
84.1 | IP | 81.0 |
3.84 | ERA | 3.11 |
1.186 | WHIP | 1.272 |
9.5 | K/9 | 8.2 |
2.9 | BB/9 | 2.8 |
Brewers Probable Starter Eric Lauer
- Lauer makes the start for the Brewers, his 15th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 89 strikeouts in 84 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last appeared in relief on Monday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings against the Chicago Cubs, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
- The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.84, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents are hitting .227 against him.
- Lauer is trying to record his seventh quality start of the season in this matchup.
- The opposing Pirates offense has a collective .218 batting average, and is 29th in the league with 605 total hits and 28th in MLB action with 307 runs scored. It has the 28th-ranked slugging percentage (.367) and ranks 14th in home runs (90) in all of MLB.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Pirates Stats vs Lauer
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 18 | .278 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .278 | .611 |
Kevin Newman | 16 | .250 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .625 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 11 | .091 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .167 | .349 |
Ben Gamel | 7 | .286 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .286 | .572 |
Michael Chavis | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Diego Castillo | 3 | .667 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .667 | 2.334 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .667 | 1.167 |
Pirates Probable Starter José Quintana
- The Pirates will send Quintana (2-4) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up one earned run on six hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- The 33-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 3.11, a 2.96 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.272.
- In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in four of them.
- The Brewers rank 22nd in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.412) and 118 home runs.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 10, 2022 at 1:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Brewers Stats vs Quintana
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 32 | .219 | 7 | 0 | 4 | .242 | .586 |
Andrew McCutchen | 21 | .429 | 9 | 1 | 3 | .500 | 1.119 |
Kolten Wong | 14 | .071 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .188 | .259 |
Keston Hiura | 10 | .100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .100 | .200 |
Willy Adames | 5 | .600 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .600 | 2.000 |
Mike Brosseau | 4 | .500 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1.000 |
Luis Urías | 4 | .750 | 3 | 0 | 1 | .750 | 1.500 |
Rowdy Tellez | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Omar Narváez | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Victor Caratini | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.000 |
Brewers Betting Trends
- The Brewers have been favored on the moneyline 68 total times this season. They’ve gone 39-29 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -176 or shorter, Milwaukee has an 18-10 record (winning 64.3% of its games).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Brewers have an implied win probability of 63.8%.
- In the 86 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Milwaukee, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 42 times (42-40-4).
- The Brewers have put together a 39-47-0 record against the spread this season (covering 45.3% of the time).
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Pirates Betting Trends
- This season, the Pirates have been the underdog 69 times and won 26, or 37.7%, of those games.
- This season, Pittsburgh has won 13 of its 36 games, or 36.1%, when they’re the underdog by at least +148 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 40.3% chance of a victory for the Pirates.
- So far this season, Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of their 85 games with a total.
- The Pirates are 42-43-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Players to Watch
- Rowdy Tellez has put up 66 hits, a team-best for the Brewers, on the way to batting .233 with 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 28 walks.
- Among the qualified hitters in MLB play, Tellez’s batting average ranks 116th, his on-base percentage ranks 106th, and he is 38th in the league in slugging.
- Christian Yelich has a .343 on-base percentage while slugging .381. Both are team-highs. He has 12 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 44 walks while batting .248.
- Yelich currently ranks 80th in batting average, 53rd in on base percentage, and 114th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
- Willy Adames has 13 doubles, 17 home runs and 24 walks while batting .216.
- Andrew McCutchen has 12 doubles, seven home runs and 25 walks while batting .254.
Brewers Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Christian Yelich | 315 | .248 | 55 | 8 | 31 | .343 | .724 |
Rowdy Tellez | 283 | .233 | 33 | 17 | 55 | .310 | .783 |
Andrew McCutchen | 276 | .254 | 34 | 7 | 33 | .320 | .693 |
Willy Adames | 250 | .216 | 42 | 17 | 46 | .287 | .759 |
Kolten Wong | 215 | .237 | 34 | 6 | 22 | .327 | .736 |
Luis Urías | 210 | .229 | 31 | 10 | 27 | .322 | .727 |
Jace Peterson | 199 | .241 | 30 | 7 | 28 | .311 | .738 |
Omar Narváez | 162 | .253 | 15 | 3 | 16 | .349 | .732 |
Keston Hiura | 119 | .244 | 20 | 8 | 17 | .357 | .819 |
Victor Caratini | 116 | .241 | 15 | 7 | 18 | .360 | .808 |
Pirates Players to Watch
- Bryan Reynolds has 79 hits and an OBP of .343 to go with a slugging percentage of .468. All three of those stats rank first among Pittsburgh hitters this season.
- Of all qualifying batters in MLB, Reynolds is 63rd in batting average, 53rd in on-base percentage and 41st in slugging percentage.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes is slugging .340 while driving in 25 runs and batting .244 this season.
- Among all qualified hitters, Hayes ranks 89th in batting average, 92nd in on-base percentage and 138th in slugging percentage.
- Daniel Vogelbach is batting .242 with a .447 slugging percentage and 29 RBI this year.
- Jack Suwinski is batting .204 with a .291 OBP and 24 RBI for Pittsburgh this season.
Pirates Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bryan Reynolds | 301 | .262 | 40 | 15 | 32 | .343 | .811 |
Ke’Bryan Hayes | 291 | .244 | 36 | 3 | 25 | .318 | .658 |
Michael Chavis | 223 | .238 | 23 | 9 | 29 | .279 | .692 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 215 | .242 | 26 | 11 | 29 | .341 | .788 |
Jack Suwinski | 211 | .204 | 31 | 13 | 24 | .291 | .722 |
Diego Castillo | 207 | .198 | 23 | 10 | 23 | .242 | .624 |
Ben Gamel | 159 | .258 | 23 | 4 | 20 | .341 | .744 |
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo | 132 | .189 | 9 | 2 | 15 | .279 | .544 |
Josh VanMeter | 123 | .195 | 11 | 3 | 10 | .265 | .582 |
Michael Perez | 105 | .152 | 8 | 6 | 11 | .198 | .522 |
Brewers vs Pirates Player Props
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