2021 Breeders’ Cup FanDuel Mile: May Mo Forza Be With You

Written By Dave Bontempo on November 4, 2021

The 2021 Breeders’ Cup FanDuel Mile is a dream betting board. The race offers the promise, if midweek odds hold up until Saturday, that it’s gonna pay.

A bevy of horses in the 8-1 and 10-1 range would be heavily favored in most of their races. Here, they are part of a wide-open 14-entry field and some excellent competitors are going to be overlooked.

I want to rename this field Pearls Galore, the name of the horse in post 12.

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2021 Breeders’ Cup FanDuel Mile Odds

Space Blues is a tepid favorite who must ship and stretch out from seven furlongs. Mo Forza is red-hot in California. How does he fare in a bigger field? Got Stormy won a $400,000 race and opened in double digits. Several horses have a chance in this well-balanced group.

PostHorseMorning Line OddsJockeyTrainer
1Master of The Seas (IRE)12-1James DoyleCharles Appleby
2Smooth Like Strait10-1Umberto RispoliMichael McCarthy
3Space Blues (IRE)3-1William BuickCharles Appleby
4Raging Bull (FR)15-1Irad Ortiz JrChad Brown
5Vin de Garde (JPN)20-1Yuichi FukunagaHideaki Fujiwara
6Mo Forza5-1Flavien PratPeter Miller
7In Love (BRZ)8-1Alex AchardPaulo Lobo
8Hit the Road15-1John VelazquezDan Blacker
9Mother Earth (IRE)8-1Ryan MooreAidan O'Brien
10Blowout (GB)8-1Joel RosarioChad Brown
11Got Stormy10-1Tyler GaffalioneMark Casse
12Pearls Galore (FR)12-1Billy LeePaddy Twomey
13Casa Creed15-1Junior AlvaradoWilliam Mott
14Ivar (BRZ)12-1Joseph TalamoPaulo Lobo

How To Watch Breeders’ Cup FanDuel Mile

Who: three-year-olds and up

Distance: eight furlongs (1 mile)

Where: Del Mar

Purse: $2 million

When: Saturday, Nov. 6

Post Time: 6:20 p.m. ET

TV: NBC

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Past Peformances and Analysis

1. Master of the Seas (12-1)

Was able to make a strong run from the back to win the Grade III Craven Stakes in April. Moved up to the Grade I Queen Elizabeth Stakes and finished seventh. Much to do.

2. Smooth Like Strait (10-1)

Twice he got the jump on Mo Forza in the City of Hope and DelMar mile events. Twice he got run down by Mo Forza, the last right at the wire. Will be a speed factor, but Mo Forza and the presence of a much larger field works against him.

3. Space Blues (3-1)

Impressive victory in the Grade 1 Prix de la Foret in France. Impressive because he rallied past a wall of horses to win a seven-furlong contest. Hasn’t gone a mile in a long time. Like a 50-yard field goal that would have been good from 60, his finishing surge made it look like he could get the mile that day. Now he must do it.

4. Raging Bull (15-1)

French invader sat behind a quick pace and rallied to win the Maker’s Mile last spring, but inconsistent since then. Needs a blazing pace to run at. Likes to rally into the fringes.

5. Vin de Garde (20-1)

A nice second in the Dubai Turf Grade 1 last spring. Followed with a disappointing eighth in Grade II company last month. Longshot for a good reason.

6. Mo Forza (5-1)

Hey Mo! Here’s a horse that loves DelMar and Santa Anita. Four straight one-mile wins on those tracks, including two well-timed rides to clip Smooth Like Strait. One came on a fast pace, the other a slow one. Big factors on his behalf.

7. In Love (8-1)

Brilliant win in the Keeneland Turf Mile. Jockey Alex Achard, stuck behind horses, let Ivar get ahead of him to create an opening on his right side. Achard swung In Love outside and surged past the field at 12-1. Live.

8. Hit the Road (15-1)

Was right there with Mo Forza, making that big move in the City of Hope, finishing a close third. Two straight losses to Mo Forza, but would not take much improvement to go by him. On the fringes, maybe better.

9. Mother Earth (8-1)

Tremendous heart to poke head out ahead of the pack to win a close Prix Rothschilds Grade I. Has been in six consecutive Grade I races and is usually in the mix. Runs hard.

10. Blowout (8-1)

Won the $400,000 First Lady Stakes at Keeneland. Put that with Chad Brown, Joel Rosario and, what, 8-1? That’s how deep this field is. Flavien Prat, who rode Blowout in the Great Lady Stakes, is on Mo Forza.

11. Got Stormy (10-1)

The filly did it. Nice win in the $400,000 Fourstardave Handicap at Saratoga, roaring home from the deep stretch to overtake the speed and the stalkers. Followed by not hitting the board at six furlongs, but this is a distance horse. Ran fifth behind Blowout in Grade II Distaff turf race last May, but may be rounding to form now.

12. Pearls Galore (12-1)

Won in Grade III company, moved up to the Grade I Prix de la Foret and got a good second to Space Blues. Clearly outgunned in the stretch, though.

13. Casa Creed (15-1)

Made a late move in the Fourstardave but finished a beaten third to Got Stormy. Would have to advance a notch to beat this field.

14. Ivar (12-1)

Connections were “In Love” with how the Keeneland Turf Mile set up for him. But as Ivar made his move down the stretch, In Love ate him up and won convincingly. Nice effort by Ivar, but must face In Love again.

Different Ways To Bet Breeders’ Cup FanDuel Mile

Win bets should be essential here. Build outward from there, but gamblers will be rewarded by the prices. Many of these looks live.

After that, this is a good race to spread.

I will take a couple different betting angles, starting around Mo Forza because he loves the track and has rallied against both fast and slow paces. Will add others close to post time. Any angle you like is going to pay well if it hits. There are no bad angles here.

Like the idea of taking your favorite two horses in the first and second slot and putting four or five horses underneath in the third or fourth positions for a $1 superfecta.

Budget scenario: Bettors can’t play every Breeders Cup race heavily. Some races must be skipped. A good number should be played lightly. This one? Save as much financial gunpowder as you can for it.

Good luck with this dandy of a puzzle.

Dave Bontempo Avatar
Written by
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo, who writes extensively on the emergence of legalized sports betting, is a recipient of the Sam Taub Award for Broadcast Excellence by the Boxing Writers Association of America. He has broadcast boxing for all the major networks over the last four decades and is a member of the New Jersey Boxing Hall of Fame as well as the Atlantic City Boxing Hall of Fame. His work also can be seen at the Press of Atlantic City and iGamingPlayer.

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