NFL Draft Odds: Will Breece Hall, Other RB Go In First Round?

Written By Brett Gibbons on April 22, 2022
Breece Hall

Iowa State running back Breece Hall racked up over 3,000 yards and 41 touchdowns in his last two seasons in Ames, Iowa, but is he a first-round NFL prospect? With the value of running back depreciating in recent seasons, we’ll take a look at what the odds say.

The 2022 NFL Draft begins Thursday, April 28 from Las Vegas. Keep up to date with TheLines for complete NFL Draft odds and betting content.

NFL Draft Odds: Running backs

Click on the odds in the table below to bet on the 2022 running back class.

Breece Hall
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-250
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-250
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-190
Kenneth Walker III
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+200
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+200
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+175
Isaiah Spiller
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+1500
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+1400
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+1200
James Cook
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+2000
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+1400
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+1400
Tyler Allgeier
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+2500
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OTB
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+2500
Brian Robinson Jr.
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+2500
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+5000
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+4000
Kyren Williams
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+2500
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+3500
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+3000
Dameon Pierce
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+2500
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+5000
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+4000

Will Breece Hall be drafted in Round 1?

Breece Hall Draft Position

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
Top 32
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+150
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+150
Draft Position
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39.5 (O -115)
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OTB

His yardage totals at Iowa State are certainly impressive, but the short answer is: not likely. This draft class not only lacks a clear star running back, but a glut of talent at premium positions like pass rusher. FanDuel Sportsbook gives the prop for first round running backs with heavy juice on Under 0.5 (-280).

Hall is a versatile athlete and showcased his pass-catching prowess with the Cyclones. That makes him the most attractive running back candidate for NFL teams (and, as a result, a comfortable favorite to be the first back picked). However, mileage is a concern with running backs. Hall’s odometer is well over 700 carries, which could push NFL executives away from making such a high investment on him.

Teams at the back of the first round in the most need of a running back include the Bills and Buccaneers. In the litany of available mock drafts, Buffalo and Tampa Bay are projected to take a receiver or lineman to fit more pressing needs. Other running back-hungry teams include the Falcons and Dolphins, which could be potential suitors for Hall in the second round. Atlanta picks 43rd, a seemingly good landing spot. Miami doesn’t pick until No. 102.

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Are there any other backs worthy of consideration?

Heisman finalist Kenneth Walker III is second on odds boards to be the first running back taken (-200). After transferring to Michigan State from Wake Forest in 2021, Walker became an instant X-factor in East Lansing, Mich. Why isn’t he the favorite to be the first back taken? His usage in the passing game — or lack thereof — could be the answer.

An interesting name to at least monitor is Georgia’s James Cook. Cook is a versatile athlete, effective weapon through the air, and the brother of Vikings back Dalvin Cook. Other than being a good receiving back, Cook’s miles are vastly fewer than the other backs in this class. In terms of investment, Cook may be a sneaky name to consider and his odds to be the first back taken are as high as +3000 at FanDuel.

What the experts are saying

The word on Breece Hall varies depending on what analyst you’re looking at. Daniel Jeremiah of NFL Network is the most bullish analyst on Hall, ranking him as his 29th-rated prospect. His final line on Hall is, “Overall, Hall has an ideal skill set for today’s game.”

NFL NextGen State grade him out as an elite 99 out of 100 in terms of college production and athleticism. NFL.com’s Lance Zierlein grades Hall a 6.38, translating as an eventual starter. Both Zierlein and DJ have him as the top overall back prospect.

Interestingly, The Draft Network doesn’t agree. Not only does Hall fall 86th on their prospect list, but he’s fifth among their graded running backs. That’s behind Texas A&M’s Isaiah Spiller, Walker, Alabama’s Brian Robinson Jr., and Arizona State’s Rachaad White. He’s graded as a third-round prospect, with notes on his inconsistent pass catching that was not mentioned by other scouts. Ball security was also noted, which is a fixable trait in the NFL.

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Brett Gibbons Avatar
Written by
Brett Gibbons

Brett is an avid sports traveler and former Division-I football recruiter for Bowling Green and Texas State. He’s a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. He’s also contributed to Sports Illustrated and Fansided during his young writing career.

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